Sabre Valuation

Is SABR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SABR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SABR ($3.77) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($1.78)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SABR is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SABR?

Key metric: As SABR is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for SABR. This is calculated by dividing SABR's market cap by their current revenue.
What is SABR's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.5x
SalesUS$3.00b
Market CapUS$1.45b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does SABR's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for SABR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.6x
PLYA Playa Hotels & Resorts
1.2x4.3%US$1.2b
BVH Bluegreen Vacations Holding
1.3x-1.8%US$1.3b
DESP Despegar.com
1.8x11.4%US$1.3b
TH Target Hospitality
2.1x-11.3%US$897.9m
SABR Sabre
0.5x3.6%US$1.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: SABR is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (1.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does SABR's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

27 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BLMN Bloomin' Brands
0.2x-2.7%US$1.12b
BALY Bally's
0.3x2.4%US$723.06m
TAST Carrols Restaurant Group
0.3x2.9%US$478.64m
GENK GEN Restaurant Group
0.2x18.1%US$271.49m
SABR 0.5xIndustry Avg. 1.6xNo. of Companies27PS01.22.43.64.86+
27 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: SABR is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (1.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SABR's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SABR PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.5x
Fair PS Ratio1.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: SABR is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SABR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$3.77
US$4.40
+16.6%
28.9%US$7.00US$3.00n/a7
Nov ’25US$3.18
US$4.43
+39.3%
28.6%US$7.00US$3.00n/a7
Oct ’25US$3.61
US$4.43
+22.7%
28.6%US$7.00US$3.00n/a7
Sep ’25US$3.05
US$4.43
+45.2%
28.6%US$7.00US$3.00n/a7
Aug ’25US$3.28
US$4.46
+35.9%
28.0%US$7.00US$3.00n/a7
Jul ’25US$2.57
US$4.16
+61.8%
32.3%US$7.00US$3.00n/a7
Jun ’25US$3.13
US$4.16
+32.8%
32.3%US$7.00US$3.00n/a7
May ’25US$2.90
US$4.31
+48.7%
30.1%US$7.00US$3.00n/a8
Apr ’25US$2.42
US$4.51
+86.5%
26.6%US$7.00US$3.00n/a8
Mar ’25US$2.61
US$4.51
+72.9%
26.6%US$7.00US$3.00n/a8
Feb ’25US$4.19
US$5.81
+38.8%
33.6%US$9.00US$4.00n/a7
Jan ’25US$4.40
US$5.60
+27.3%
37.6%US$9.00US$3.50n/a7
Dec ’24US$3.80
US$5.66
+48.9%
36.9%US$9.00US$3.50n/a7
Nov ’24US$3.50
US$5.79
+65.3%
36.3%US$9.00US$4.00US$3.187
Oct ’24US$4.49
US$5.93
+32.0%
33.9%US$9.00US$4.00US$3.617
Sep ’24US$5.37
US$5.96
+10.9%
38.8%US$10.00US$4.00US$3.057
Aug ’24US$3.89
US$4.95
+27.2%
34.4%US$8.50US$3.50US$3.286
Jul ’24US$3.19
US$4.95
+55.2%
34.4%US$8.50US$3.50US$2.576
Jun ’24US$3.21
US$5.28
+64.6%
45.7%US$10.50US$3.50US$3.136
May ’24US$3.95
US$5.53
+40.1%
43.3%US$10.50US$4.00US$2.906
Apr ’24US$4.29
US$7.03
+63.9%
30.9%US$10.50US$4.00US$2.426
Mar ’24US$4.97
US$7.64
+53.7%
24.3%US$10.50US$6.00US$2.615
Feb ’24US$7.06
US$9.53
+35.0%
36.7%US$16.00US$6.00US$4.196
Jan ’24US$6.18
US$10.20
+65.0%
32.6%US$16.00US$6.00US$4.406
Dec ’23US$6.01
US$11.00
+83.0%
36.8%US$16.00US$6.00US$3.805
Nov ’23US$5.95
US$11.60
+95.0%
31.1%US$16.00US$6.00US$3.505

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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