Stock Analysis

Perdoceo Education (PRDO): Assessing Valuation After Quarterly Growth, Fresh Guidance, and Capital Return Updates

Perdoceo Education (PRDO) recently announced third quarter results showing higher revenue and net income compared to last year. The company also provided updated earnings guidance, affirmed its dividend, and reported the completion of a share repurchase.

See our latest analysis for Perdoceo Education.

Momentum has cooled a bit for Perdoceo Education after a strong stretch, with a 23.1% total shareholder return over the past year and an impressive 119.9% three-year total return. This comes even as the latest quarterly results and fresh guidance drew attention. Shares recently pulled back from their highs, but the long-term performance underscores investors’ confidence in Perdoceo’s growth and capital return strategy.

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With analyst price targets suggesting upside from current levels and Perdoceo’s shares pulling back from recent highs, the question now is whether the stock remains undervalued or if expectations for future growth are already reflected in the current price.

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Most Popular Narrative: 28.3% Undervalued

Perdoceo Education’s widely followed narrative suggests a fair value well above the last close, indicating a strong case for future upside based on current valuation. With analyst consensus pointing to higher revenue and earnings, the stage is set for ambitious growth assumptions and financial projections.

Strategic investment in data-driven student support, enrollment technologies, and generative AI for targeted marketing is driving multiyear highs in retention and engagement. These developments are expected to reduce revenue leakage from dropouts and increase the efficiency of marketing spend, positively impacting net margins.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to know how these advanced technologies and strategic choices translate into the bold price target? The secret mix of projected revenue growth, expanding margins, and innovative investment lies at the core of this narrative. Uncover how ambitious financial forecasts light the path to this much higher fair value.

Result: Fair Value of $42 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, rising student acquisition costs and increasing competition from nonprofit and public programs could put pressure on margins and challenge the current growth outlook.

Find out about the key risks to this Perdoceo Education narrative.

Build Your Own Perdoceo Education Narrative

If you’re curious to dig deeper and chart your own course, you can analyze the numbers and build your personal view in just a few minutes, or Do it your way

A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding Perdoceo Education.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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