GEN Restaurant Group Future Growth
Future criteria checks 0/6
GEN Restaurant Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 39.2% and 4.7% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 74.1% per annum.
Key information
39.2%
Earnings growth rate
74.11%
EPS growth rate
| Hospitality earnings growth | 18.2% |
| Revenue growth rate | 4.7% |
| Future return on equity | n/a |
| Analyst coverage | Low |
| Last updated | 02 Apr 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Apr 22
GENK: Retail Expansion And Business Pivot Will Support Stronger Future Margins
Analysts have trimmed their price targets on GEN Restaurant Group, with at least one firm cutting its view by $0.50 as they factor in a material shift in the company’s direction and reassess future valuation multiples and margins. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the new direction as a potential reset that could eventually support more appropriate valuation multiples if execution on the updated plan is consistent and measurable.Narrative Update • Apr 07
GENK: Material Business Pivot Will Support Higher Future Profit Margins
Analysts have lowered their price target on GEN Restaurant Group to $2.50 from $4.50, citing a more cautious revenue outlook and reduced future P/E assumptions, partially offset by slightly higher expected profit margins and an unchanged discount rate following recent research downgrades. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research points to a mixed but cautious stance on GEN Restaurant Group, with multiple reports clustered around a similar time frame and highlighting both potential upside drivers and areas of concern for execution and valuation.
Narrative Update • Mar 22
GENK: Steady Discount Rate And Margins Support Future P/E Re Rating
Analysts have reiterated their price target on GEN Restaurant Group at $6.00, matching their prior $6.00 view, reflecting slightly adjusted assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples without a meaningful change to overall valuation. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Held at $6.00, indicating no change in the overall valuation outcome.Narrative Update • Mar 08
GENK: Higher Margin Outlook Will Support Sharply Compressed Future P/E
Analysts have reduced their price target on GEN Restaurant Group to reflect lower modeled revenue growth of 12.22%, a smaller fair value estimate, a higher 12.33% discount rate, and a sharply lower future P/E assumption of about 1.65x, partly offset by a slightly higher profit margin forecast of 8.39%. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Trimmed from $8.0 to $6.0, reflecting a lower modeled valuation for GEN Restaurant Group shares.Narrative Update • Feb 22
GENK: Lower Discount Rate And Higher Future P/E Will Support Upside
Analysts have adjusted their price target on GEN Restaurant Group to reflect a modest shift in valuation assumptions, citing a slightly lower discount rate, a small change in long term profit margin expectations, and a higher future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Modelled fair value remains unchanged at $4.50 per share.
Narrative Update • Feb 08
GENK: Lower Discount Rate Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have adjusted their price target on GEN Restaurant Group slightly higher to reflect small updates to revenue growth, profit margin, discount rate, and forward P/E assumptions, resulting in a modest uplift in estimated fair value per share. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Estimated fair value per share is held at 3.0, indicating no change in the central valuation anchor.Narrative Update • Jan 24
GENK: Lower Growth Assumptions Will Set Up Future Upside Potential
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for GEN Restaurant Group from US$4.50 to US$3.00. They have reset expectations around future revenue growth assumptions and the P/E multiple applied to the business, while keeping their view on long term profit margins and the discount rate broadly unchanged.Narrative Update • Jan 10
GENK: Grocery Expansion Into Hundreds Of Stores Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have reduced their price target on GEN Restaurant Group to reflect a fair value update from $5.67 to $4.50, citing revised assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News GEN Restaurant Group reported that from July 1, 2025 to September 30, 2025, it repurchased 0 shares for $0 under its existing buyback program, and has completed repurchases totaling 66,776 shares, representing 1.28% for $0.4 million under the buyback announced on March 13, 2025 (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Dec 26
GENK: Expanded Grocery Retail Presence Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on GEN Restaurant Group to approximately $4.50 per share from around $4.45, reflecting slightly higher long term revenue growth expectations that offset a marginally lower projected profit margin and valuation multiple. What's in the News GEN Restaurant Group is expanding its Ready-to-Cook Meats line from 31 Pavilions locations to more than 300 Albertsons and Vons stores across Southern California, significantly increasing grocery retail distribution (company announcement).Narrative Update • Dec 12
GENK: Expanded Retail Presence Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Analysts have reduced their price target on GEN Restaurant Group from 6.00 dollars to 4.50 dollars. This reflects more conservative assumptions on revenue growth, a higher discount rate, and a sharply lower expected future price to earnings multiple, partially offset by a slightly improved profit margin outlook.Analysis Article • Dec 05
Does GEN Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:GENK) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Seeking Alpha • Nov 19
GEN Restaurant Group's Grocery Store Sales Create A New Growth Driver
Summary GEN Restaurant Group (GENK) is undervalued, with new growth from grocery store sales not yet priced into the stock. GENK's restaurant segment faces weak same-store sales and losses, but its ready-to-cook meats are gaining traction at Albertsons' stores. The CPG business could drive significant revenue growth, with management targeting $100 million in annual grocery sales within 4-5 years. Despite risks and recent underperformance, GENK's low valuation and new grocery distribution support a buy rating for the stock. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Aug 08
New International Outlets And Automation Will Redefine Dining
GEN Restaurant Group’s consensus analyst price target has been revised down as both forecast revenue growth and future P/E have declined sharply, resulting in a lower fair value estimate from $7.33 to $5.67. What's in the News Opened 8th new restaurant in 2025, located in Waco, Texas, positioned near Baylor University to capture diverse demographics.Analysis Article • Jul 24
GEN Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:GENK) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Analysis Article • Apr 17
These 4 Measures Indicate That GEN Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:GENK) Is Using Debt Extensively
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Seeking Alpha • Mar 10
GEN Restaurant Group: Despite The Rally, It's Still One Of The Cheapest FSRs Out There
Summary GEN Restaurant Group's Q4 results exceeded expectations, driving a 20% stock price surge and an 8% premarket rise, highlighting its growth potential. With top-line sales of $54.7 million and adjusted EPS of $0.21, GEN beat Wall St. estimates and showed strong year-over-year growth. The company plans to expand aggressively, targeting 75 restaurants by FY 2026, including international openings in South Korea, maintaining a 20%+ annual growth rate. Despite impressive growth, GEN remains undervalued with a P/S of 0.11x and EV/S of 0.80x, making it a 'Strong Buy' with a $12 price target. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Mar 10
Returns On Capital Are Showing Encouraging Signs At GEN Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:GENK)
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...
New Narrative • Mar 09
International Expansion Into South Korea Will Increase Brand Reach In 2025
Expansion plans and same-store sales initiatives could drive revenue growth and improve net margins through economies of scale and pricing strategies.Seeking Alpha • Dec 31
GEN Restaurant Group: Gift Card Craze Could Boost Top-Line Sales In Q4
Summary GEN Korean BBQ's partnership with Costco and potential Sam's Club expansion could drive significant sales growth, leveraging the holiday gift card market. GEN Restaurant Group plans aggressive expansion, aiming for 80 locations by FY 2026, more than doubling its current footprint. Despite recent stock declines, GENK's fundamentals remain strong, with positive comparable sales and a solid financial position. Trading at a low P/S ratio, GEN offers a substantial upside, making it a 'Strong Buy' with a PT of $13. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 29
GEN Restaurant Group: Lots Of Potential Growth For Peanuts
Summary GENK reported Q3 comparable sales decline of 9.6% YoY, with hurricanes and cannibalization cited as key challenges. October showed improvement, with comps down 4.5%. GEN Restaurant Group's footprint expanded to 43 locations in Q3, with plans to open 4–5 more in Q4, achieving a 27–29% YoY growth rate. AUVs remain strong at $5.5M despite a 7.5% year-over-year decline; restaurant-level margins are at 18%. Rating: Buy, Price Target: $12–13. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Nov 15
Results: GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Confounded Analyst Expectations With A Surprise Profit
It's been a sad week for GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:GENK ), who've watched their investment drop 12% to...Analysis Article • Oct 22
GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:GENK) Screens Well But There Might Be A Catch
You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:GENK ) is a stock...Seeking Alpha • Sep 25
GEN Restaurant Group: Misunderstood Potential
Summary GEN Restaurant Group, a recent IPO, operates 40 Korean BBQ restaurants with a unique value proposition and significant menu price discounts compared to peers. Management prioritizes rapid cash generation and expansion over traditional metrics like same-store sales, potentially affecting investor sentiment and valuation multiples. GENK's efficient cost structure and strong cash flow support a robust growth runway, targeting up to 250 locations without incurring debt. Despite risks like negative same-store sales and potential competition, GENK's clean balance sheet and attractive valuation present a compelling growth investment opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Aug 23
GEN Restaurant Group Has Designs On Big Growth, But Obstacles Remain
Summary GEN Restaurant Group is a small, ambitious west-coast restaurant chain with plans for nationwide growth. The company operates all-you-can-eat Korean barbecue restaurants with plans to open 7-8 locations in 2024 and 10-12 annually in 2025. While the company has potential for growth, there are risks involved including inflation, competition, and economic conditions. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jun 03
GEN Restaurant Group: Weak Profitability Worsens Investment Case
Summary GEN has continued good revenue growth through aggressive investments in new restaurants. The underlying restaurant performance has been worse than I previously anticipated, with rising COGS and SG&A, and weak same-restaurant sales pressuring margins significantly. To fuel future growth investments, GEN needs to successfully manage cash flows with currently weak earnings. The stock still seems to price in too much earnings growth from the future, making the risk-to-reward ratio poor. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Mar 22
GEN Restaurant Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:GENK) Shares Leap 28% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story
Despite an already strong run, GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:GENK ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of...Analysis Article • Jan 23
Improved Revenues Required Before GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:GENK) Stock's 29% Jump Looks Justified
GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:GENK ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 235 | -1 | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| 12/31/2026 | 218 | -4 | -3 | 17 | 2 |
| 12/31/2025 | 213 | -3 | -24 | 3 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 217 | -1 | -19 | 11 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 216 | -1 | -18 | 14 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 215 | 0 | -10 | 16 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 208 | 1 | -6 | 18 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 199 | 1 | -5 | 19 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 195 | 1 | 0 | 21 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 188 | -3 | 4 | 23 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 181 | 0 | 5 | 22 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 177 | 0 | 11 | 23 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 174 | 2 | 13 | 22 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 169 | 11 | 14 | 23 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 164 | 10 | 15 | 23 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 161 | 30 | 16 | 22 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 141 | 50 | 39 | 40 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 119 | 30 | 31 | 31 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 63 | -9 | -2 | -2 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 114 | 7 | 7 | 12 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: GENK is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
Earnings vs Market: GENK is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
High Growth Earnings: GENK is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: GENK's revenue (4.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.6% per year).
High Growth Revenue: GENK's revenue (4.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if GENK's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/11 23:58 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/11 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. is covered by 2 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Todd Brooks | Benchmark Company |
| George Kelly | Roth Capital Partners |