Expedia Group, Inc.

NasdaqGS:EXPE Stock Report

Market Cap: US$27.1b

Expedia Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Expedia Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 15.6% and 6.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 16.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 142.1% in 3 years.

Key information

15.6%

Earnings growth rate

16.31%

EPS growth rate

Hospitality earnings growth18.5%
Revenue growth rate6.5%
Future return on equity142.13%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated23 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • May 30

EXPE: AI And B2B Partnerships Will Support Future Margin Expansion

Narrative Update on Expedia Group Analysts have nudged Expedia Group's implied fair value slightly higher to about $286 from $283, reflecting modest adjustments to assumptions on discount rate, growth, margins and future P/E following a series of mixed but generally constructive price target revisions that cite solid recent results and improving execution. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Expedia Group clusters around two themes, with several firms fine-tuning price targets after quarterly updates and reassessing how risks such as competitive pressure and potential AI disruption could affect valuation multiples.
Seeking Alpha • May 26

Expedia: Despite Macro Shocks, ADR Expansion Is Driving Bookings Growth (Upgrade)

Summary Expedia has declined ~25% YTD, creating an attractive entry point amid resilient bookings and industry headwinds. EXPE's integrated One Key Rewards program and recent IT overhaul drive customer loyalty and operational efficiency versus fragmented peers. EXPE targets higher-income consumers, evidenced by rising ADRs, potentially insulating it from macro shocks. Trading at ~6x EBITDA and ~11x P/E, EXPE offers a compelling valuation discount to peers and is rated a 'Buy.' Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article • May 16

Shareholders Will Be Pleased With The Quality of Expedia Group's (NASDAQ:EXPE) Earnings

Even though Expedia Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:EXPE ) posted strong earnings, investors appeared to be underwhelmed. Our...
Narrative Update • May 07

EXPE: AI Disruption Fears Will Ease As Marketplace Risks Recede

Analyst price targets for Expedia Group have been adjusted lower by a wide range, including cuts of $4 to $40 alongside a few smaller upward revisions. Analysts are factoring in peer multiple compression, concerns about potential AI disruption to online travel agencies, and expectations for more limited margin expansion despite recent solid results.
Narrative Update • Apr 22

EXPE: AI Disruption Fears Will Ease And Support 2026 Upside

Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Expedia Group by a few dollars, generally citing recalibrated sector multiples, mixed views on AI related risks for online travel agents, and more measured expectations for margin expansion despite recent solid quarterly results. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Expedia Group shows a split tape, with several price target cuts reflecting sectorwide multiple compression and AI related uncertainty, while a separate group of bullish analysts has highlighted strong execution, solid quarterly beats, and specific areas of growth as reasons to lean more positive.
Narrative Update • Apr 08

EXPE: AI Efficiencies And B2B Momentum Will Support Future Margin Expansion

Expedia Group's analyst fair value estimate shifts modestly higher to $283 as recent research blends multiple price target trims with a handful of upgrades, reflecting mixed views on AI disruption risks, peer multiple resets, and the potential for continued revenue growth, margin improvement, and supportive P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Expedia Group reflects a split tape, with some bullish analysts leaning into execution on recent results and AI efficiency upside, while more cautious voices focus on reset expectations, peer multiple compression, and lingering disruption risk around online travel agency models.
Narrative Update • Mar 25

EXPE: AI Efficiencies And B2B Expansion Will Support Future Margin Strength

Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for Expedia Group to about $280.76 from $287.50, as a series of slightly lower price targets and questions around AI disruption offset models that now assume higher revenue growth, stronger profit margins, and a lower future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Expedia Group reflects a mix of optimism around execution and ongoing caution around disruption risk and valuation, with many firms adjusting their price targets rather than making major shifts in ratings.
Narrative Update • Mar 10

EXPE: B2B Strength And AI Risk Reset Will Support 2026 Upside

Analysts have modestly revised our Expedia Group fair value estimate higher to $366.92 per share, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profitability and sector wide P/E multiples, following a broad reset of Street price targets that mostly cluster in the $225 to $360 range with Neutral or equivalent ratings. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Expedia Group has centered on recalibrated price targets, mostly paired with Neutral or equivalent ratings, and a tighter range of fundamental expectations following the latest Q4 update and 2026 outlook.
Narrative Update • Feb 24

EXPE: AI Debate And Margin Focus Will Support Future Re Rating

Analysts now place Expedia Group's fair value at $225, up from $212.20. They recalibrated price targets around generally solid recent results, slightly softer revenue growth, and higher P/E assumptions, alongside continued focus on margins and marketing spend.
Analysis Article • Feb 14

It's Down 27% But Expedia Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:EXPE) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

Expedia Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:EXPE ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough...
Narrative Update • Feb 10

EXPE: AI Disintermediation Risk Will Challenge Sustained Margin Expansion

Analysts have raised their blended fair value estimate for Expedia Group to about US$212 from roughly US$168, citing revised Street price targets that reflect expectations for stronger revenue growth, higher profit margins, and a slightly richer future P/E multiple, even though some firms remain cautious about competitive and AI related risks. Analyst Commentary Street research on Expedia Group has leaned positive on price targets, but you are also seeing a clear pocket of caution from some bearish analysts.
Narrative Update • Jan 27

EXPE: AI Efficiency And B2B Execution Will Balance Travel Disruption Risks

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Expedia Group to US$287.50 from US$273.50. This reflects a modestly lower discount rate, a slightly higher assumed profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple supported by recent price target increases across the Street that emphasize AI driven efficiencies, B2B strength, and improving travel fundamentals.
Narrative Update • Jan 11

EXPE: B2B Momentum And Tech Replatforming Will Drive Stronger 2026 Setup

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Expedia Group to US$365.80 from US$280.79, pointing to higher assumed revenue growth, a richer future P/E multiple and a slightly lower discount rate. This comes even as they factor in a more modest profit margin outlook and fading AI disintermediation concerns, supported by recent price target increases across the Street.
Narrative Update • Dec 27

EXPE: AI Disintermediation Fears And Execution Will Shape Future Risk Balance

Analysts nudged their fair value estimate for Expedia Group modestly higher to about $273.50 per share from roughly $270.24. This reflects increased confidence in the durability of recent B2B and B2C outperformance and margin leverage, while viewing perceived AI disintermediation risks as overstated.
Narrative Update • Dec 13

EXPE: AI Disintermediation Fears And Execution Improvements Will Shape Future Risk Balance

Analysts have raised their blended price target for Expedia Group slightly to approximately $270 per share, reflecting modestly improved assumptions for revenue growth and margins following a series of post Q3 target hikes. These revisions view recent AI related fears as overstating long term disintermediation risk while acknowledging solid execution in both B2B and B2C.
Narrative Update • Nov 28

EXPE: Price Upside And AI Competition Will Define Future Risk And Return Balance

Analysts have raised their price target for Expedia Group by nearly $5 per share to reflect solid quarterly results and expectations that recent investor concerns over AI-driven disruption are overstated. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst research on Expedia Group provides insights into both optimism and caution following the company's quarterly results and the introduction of new artificial intelligence tools by key industry players.
Narrative Update • Nov 14

EXPE: Future Performance Will Reflect Balance Of Opportunity And Risk Ahead

Expedia Group’s analyst price target has been raised significantly, moving from approximately $227 to $265 per share. Analysts cite stronger-than-expected third-quarter results as well as improved growth and margin expectations.
Analysis Article • Nov 11

After Leaping 27% Expedia Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:EXPE) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar

Expedia Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:EXPE ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 27% share price jump in the...
Narrative Update • Oct 31

EXPE: Improved U.S. Demand And New AI Tools Will Drive Near-Term Performance

Analysts have raised their average price target for Expedia Group to approximately $227 from about $224. This reflects cautious optimism around improved U.S. travel demand and balanced risk-reward, despite ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty and evolving industry dynamics.
Narrative Update • Oct 16

Emerging Asian Markets And AI Will Expand Global Reach

Expedia Group's analyst price target has been raised from $222 to approximately $224.30, as analysts cite improving revenue growth, stable profit margins, and sustained momentum following better-than-expected recent quarterly results. Analyst Commentary Analysts have provided a range of perspectives on Expedia Group following its recent results and outlook updates.
Narrative Update • Aug 08

Emerging Asian Markets And AI Will Expand Global Reach

Expedia Group’s consensus price target was raised notably as its forward P/E multiple declined and revenue growth forecasts improved, supporting an increase in fair value from $193.88 to $219.00. What's in the News Expedia Group raised its 2025 fiscal year revenue growth guidance to 3%-5% from 2%-4% previously.
Analysis Article • Aug 04

We Like Expedia Group's (NASDAQ:EXPE) Returns And Here's How They're Trending

Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...
Analysis Article • Jul 21

Is Expedia Group (NASDAQ:EXPE) A Risky Investment?

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Analysis Article • Jul 08

Do Expedia Group's (NASDAQ:EXPE) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...
Analysis Article • Jun 24

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Expedia Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:EXPE)?

Let's talk about the popular Expedia Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:EXPE ). The company's shares led the NASDAQGS gainers with a...
Seeking Alpha • Apr 22

Expedia: Brace For A Tough Q1 Ahead (Rating Downgrade)

Summary Expedia faces significant challenges due to weakened consumer confidence, currency fluctuations, and declining air travel demand, prompting a downgrade to a sell rating. U.S. airlines report substantial domestic demand weakness and capacity cuts, signaling broader travel industry struggles and potential negative impacts on Expedia's performance. The sharp fall of the dollar (which recently hit multi-year lows against the euro) will also lower travel demand among both leisure and business travelers. Expedia is cheap at ~10x forward P/E, but no longer worth the risk as it gears up for its Q1 earnings release in early May. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 10

Expedia: Excellent Momentum In A Healthy Travel Environment

Summary Despite global economic concerns, Expedia's strong Q4 results and technological progress make it a resilient investment, prompting my reiterated buy rating. Expedia's price transparency and unified One Key rewards system offer a superior customer experience compared to Booking.com, driving market share gains. Q4 revenue surged 10% y/y to $3.18 billion, significantly beating expectations, with gross bookings growth nearly doubling sequentially to 13% y/y. Strong international demand and a recovery in U.S. bookings, alongside 21% y/y growth in the B2B segment, highlight Expedia's robust performance and margin expansion. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 18

Expedia Group: Positioned For Growth Amid Industry Evolution

Summary Expedia Group has streamlined operations, unified technology, and focused on core brands, enhancing efficiency and customer experience. International expansion and a thriving B2B segment drive growth, with non-U.S. revenue outpacing U.S. growth significantly. Strong free cash flow, attractive valuations and disciplined capital allocation position Expedia well for significant shareholder returns. Despite past underperformance, Expedia's strategic initiatives and cost reductions are set to improve margins and close the performance gap with peers. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:EXPE - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202818,5252,7343,5534,47218
12/31/202717,1502,3233,6584,28934
12/31/202615,9981,9063,5533,76835
3/31/202615,1711,4884,1014,859N/A
12/31/202514,7331,2943,1103,880N/A
9/30/202514,3701,3882,9983,774N/A
6/30/202514,0181,1131,9972,778N/A
3/31/202513,7901,1692,3833,158N/A
12/31/202413,6911,2342,3293,085N/A
9/30/202413,3941,0671,9072,649N/A
6/30/202413,2638082,0062,767N/A
3/31/202413,0638071,6222,412N/A
12/31/202312,8397971,8442,690N/A
9/30/202312,5708421,9002,746N/A
6/30/202312,2608992,3213,124N/A
3/31/202312,0833292,8673,606N/A
12/31/202211,6673522,7783,440N/A
9/30/202211,3284513,2793,907N/A
6/30/202210,6713313,0463,683N/A
3/31/20229,6012153,9084,569N/A
12/31/20218,598-2693,0753,748N/A
9/30/20217,239-9572,4203,078N/A
6/30/20215,781-1,5402,8253,480N/A
3/31/20214,236-1,992-1,558-880N/A
12/31/20205,199-2,687-4,631-3,834N/A
9/30/20207,026-2,199-4,073-3,108N/A
6/30/20209,080-1,569-4,230-3,150N/A
3/31/202011,667-633-1,339-166N/A
12/31/201912,067565N/A2,767N/A
9/30/201911,879506N/A2,281N/A
6/30/201911,597622N/A2,771N/A
3/31/201911,324440N/A2,448N/A
12/31/201811,223406N/A1,975N/A
9/30/201810,983444N/A2,019N/A
6/30/201810,673271N/A1,947N/A
3/31/201810,379327N/A1,833N/A
12/31/201710,060378N/A1,845N/A
9/30/20179,834402N/A1,967N/A
6/30/20179,449330N/A2,227N/A
3/31/20179,059304N/A2,144N/A
12/31/20168,774282N/A1,549N/A
9/30/20168,379190N/A1,370N/A
6/30/20167,736194N/A1,432N/A
3/31/20167,203612N/A1,425N/A
12/31/20156,672764N/A1,368N/A
9/30/20156,330843N/A1,342N/A
6/30/20156,104817N/A1,564N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: EXPE's forecast earnings growth (15.6% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: EXPE's earnings (15.6% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (17% per year).

High Growth Earnings: EXPE's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: EXPE's revenue (6.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: EXPE's revenue (6.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: EXPE's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (142.1%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/01 20:21
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/29 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Expedia Group, Inc. is covered by 59 analysts. 35 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John StaszakArgus Research Company
Michael BellisarioBaird
Trevor YoungBarclays