Stock Analysis

Should You Be Adding Booking Holdings (NASDAQ:BKNG) To Your Watchlist Today?

NasdaqGS:BKNG
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For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to investors, even if it currently lacks a track record of revenue and profit. But the reality is that when a company loses money each year, for long enough, its investors will usually take their share of those losses. A loss-making company is yet to prove itself with profit, and eventually the inflow of external capital may dry up.

In contrast to all that, many investors prefer to focus on companies like Booking Holdings (NASDAQ:BKNG), which has not only revenues, but also profits. Even if this company is fairly valued by the market, investors would agree that generating consistent profits will continue to provide Booking Holdings with the means to add long-term value to shareholders.

See our latest analysis for Booking Holdings

Booking Holdings' Improving Profits

In the last three years Booking Holdings' earnings per share took off; so much so that it's a bit disingenuous to use these figures to try and deduce long term estimates. As a result, we'll zoom in on growth over the last year, instead. Outstandingly, Booking Holdings' EPS shot from US$60.25 to US$152, over the last year. It's not often a company can achieve year-on-year growth of 152%. That could be a sign that the business has reached a true inflection point.

Top-line growth is a great indicator that growth is sustainable, and combined with a high earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margin, it's a great way for a company to maintain a competitive advantage in the market. While we note Booking Holdings achieved similar EBIT margins to last year, revenue grew by a solid 29% to US$21b. That's progress.

You can take a look at the company's revenue and earnings growth trend, in the chart below. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NasdaqGS:BKNG Earnings and Revenue History November 26th 2023

While we live in the present moment, there's little doubt that the future matters most in the investment decision process. So why not check this interactive chart depicting future EPS estimates, for Booking Holdings?

Are Booking Holdings Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

We would not expect to see insiders owning a large percentage of a US$109b company like Booking Holdings. But we are reassured by the fact they have invested in the company. We note that their impressive stake in the company is worth US$241m. We note that this amounts to 0.2% of the company, which may be small owing to the sheer size of Booking Holdings but it's still worth mentioning. So despite their percentage holding being low, company management still have plenty of reasons to deliver the best outcomes for investors.

Does Booking Holdings Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

Booking Holdings' earnings have taken off in quite an impressive fashion. That EPS growth certainly is attention grabbing, and the large insider ownership only serves to further stoke our interest. The hope is, of course, that the strong growth marks a fundamental improvement in the business economics. Based on the sum of its parts, we definitely think its worth watching Booking Holdings very closely. Before you take the next step you should know about the 1 warning sign for Booking Holdings that we have uncovered.

There's always the possibility of doing well buying stocks that are not growing earnings and do not have insiders buying shares. But for those who consider these important metrics, we encourage you to check out companies that do have those features. You can access a free list of them here.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Booking Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.