Tsuruha Holdings Inc.

OTCPK:TSUS.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.6b

Tsuruha Holdings Valuation

Is TSUS.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TSUS.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TSUS.F ($55) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($22.48)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TSUS.F is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TSUS.F?

Key metric: As TSUS.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TSUS.F. This is calculated by dividing TSUS.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TSUS.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.3x
EarningsJP¥24.81b
Market CapJP¥401.75b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TSUS.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TSUS.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.6x
PSMT PriceSmart
19.1x9.2%US$2.6b
WMK Weis Markets
19.8xn/aUS$1.9b
GO Grocery Outlet Holding
33.8x19.8%US$1.7b
ANDE Andersons
13.6x18.2%US$1.6b
TSUS.F Tsuruha Holdings
16.3x8.5%US$401.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TSUS.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.3x) compared to the peer average (21.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TSUS.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
TSUS.F 16.3xIndustry Avg. 22.9xNo. of Companies4PE01224364860+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TSUS.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.3x) compared to the US Consumer Retailing industry average (22.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TSUS.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TSUS.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.3x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate TSUS.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TSUS.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$68.90
0%
8.8%US$81.71US$61.96n/a11
Nov ’25US$55.00
US$68.90
+25.3%
8.8%US$81.71US$61.96n/a11
Oct ’25US$60.60
US$70.70
+16.7%
8.9%US$83.77US$63.53n/a11
Sep ’25n/a
US$69.70
0%
8.6%US$81.83US$60.83n/a11
Aug ’25n/a
US$66.99
0%
6.9%US$74.64US$59.71n/a10
Jul ’25n/a
US$68.97
0%
7.6%US$77.68US$60.14n/a10
Jun ’25n/a
US$74.70
0%
8.7%US$85.61US$64.68n/a10
May ’25n/a
US$77.92
0%
7.4%US$88.10US$69.17n/a10
Apr ’25n/a
US$80.82
0%
6.5%US$89.14US$69.99n/a10
Mar ’25n/a
US$79.99
0%
8.9%US$94.90US$70.35n/a10
Feb ’25US$76.12
US$83.29
+9.4%
9.3%US$100.37US$74.40n/a11
Jan ’25n/a
US$83.29
0%
9.3%US$100.37US$74.40n/a11
Dec ’24n/a
US$74.56
0%
8.1%US$87.21US$67.09n/a11
Nov ’24n/a
US$74.56
0%
8.1%US$87.21US$67.09US$55.0011
Oct ’24n/a
US$74.21
0%
8.4%US$86.99US$66.92US$60.6010
Sep ’24n/a
US$73.95
0%
13.4%US$91.19US$56.82n/a12
Aug ’24n/a
US$73.75
0%
14.2%US$91.38US$56.23n/a12
Jul ’24n/a
US$69.79
0%
14.7%US$89.76US$55.23n/a12
Jun ’24n/a
US$69.22
0%
13.5%US$89.34US$56.20n/a12
May ’24n/a
US$69.85
0%
11.1%US$82.95US$58.82n/a11
Apr ’24n/a
US$69.85
0%
11.1%US$82.95US$58.82n/a11
Mar ’24n/a
US$68.36
0%
11.1%US$84.45US$54.34n/a11
Feb ’24n/a
US$72.68
0%
12.4%US$88.14US$56.72US$76.1211
Jan ’24n/a
US$70.80
0%
13.1%US$86.11US$55.41n/a11
Dec ’23n/a
US$61.95
0%
12.7%US$80.85US$51.26n/a11
Nov ’23n/a
US$59.07
0%
12.8%US$77.42US$49.08n/a11

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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