PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk

OTCPK:PSBA.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$7.5b

Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Valuation

Is PSBA.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PSBA.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PSBA.F ($0.17) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($0.13)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PSBA.F is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PSBA.F?

Key metric: As PSBA.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PSBA.F. This is calculated by dividing PSBA.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PSBA.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio33.8x
EarningsRp3.61t
Market CapRp122.08t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PSBA.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PSBA.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.2x
ACI Albertsons Companies
11.4x5.8%US$11.3b
CART Maplebear
24.9x11.7%US$10.8b
SFM Sprouts Farmers Market
36.9x11.7%US$13.2b
CASY Casey's General Stores
27.7x9.0%US$15.0b
PSBA.F Sumber Alfaria Trijaya
33.8x17.9%US$122.1t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PSBA.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.8x) compared to the peer average (25.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PSBA.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
PSBA.F 33.8xIndustry Avg. 24.9xNo. of Companies4PE01224364860+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PSBA.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.8x) compared to the US Consumer Retailing industry average (24.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PSBA.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PSBA.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio33.8x
Fair PE Ratio38.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PSBA.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PSBA.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$0.17
US$0.22
+26.2%
5.3%US$0.24US$0.20n/a16
Dec ’25US$0.20
US$0.22
+12.1%
5.0%US$0.24US$0.21n/a14
Nov ’25US$0.25
US$0.23
-8.7%
5.6%US$0.25US$0.21n/a14
Oct ’25US$0.32
US$0.23
-26.5%
5.4%US$0.25US$0.22n/a14
Sep ’25US$0.18
US$0.21
+19.1%
5.9%US$0.24US$0.18n/a14
Aug ’25US$0.19
US$0.21
+6.8%
6.1%US$0.24US$0.18n/a14
Jul ’25US$0.20
US$0.21
+4.4%
6.1%US$0.24US$0.18n/a13
Jun ’25US$0.17
US$0.21
+25.6%
5.9%US$0.24US$0.18n/a14
May ’25US$0.19
US$0.21
+9.2%
5.8%US$0.24US$0.18n/a14
Apr ’25US$0.16
US$0.21
+32.8%
5.8%US$0.24US$0.18n/a13
Mar ’25US$0.17
US$0.22
+25.1%
5.9%US$0.24US$0.18n/a12
Feb ’25US$0.17
US$0.22
+30.4%
5.9%US$0.24US$0.19n/a12
Jan ’25US$0.19
US$0.22
+15.8%
5.5%US$0.25US$0.19n/a11
Dec ’24US$0.18
US$0.22
+22.2%
6.0%US$0.24US$0.19US$0.209
Nov ’24US$0.17
US$0.21
+26.0%
7.1%US$0.24US$0.19US$0.259
Oct ’24n/a
US$0.22
0%
8.8%US$0.25US$0.20US$0.326
Sep ’24US$0.20
US$0.22
+10.0%
8.6%US$0.25US$0.19US$0.187
Aug ’24US$0.21
US$0.23
+7.7%
9.6%US$0.25US$0.20US$0.194
Jul ’24n/a
US$0.23
0%
8.0%US$0.25US$0.20US$0.206
Jun ’24n/a
US$0.22
0%
9.1%US$0.26US$0.20US$0.177
May ’24n/a
US$0.21
0%
11.7%US$0.25US$0.17US$0.197
Apr ’24n/a
US$0.21
0%
11.7%US$0.25US$0.17US$0.167
Mar ’24n/a
US$0.21
0%
11.7%US$0.25US$0.17US$0.177
Feb ’24n/a
US$0.21
0%
11.6%US$0.26US$0.17US$0.177
Jan ’24n/a
US$0.19
0%
20.9%US$0.24US$0.10US$0.198
Dec ’23n/a
US$0.18
0%
23.3%US$0.25US$0.10US$0.188

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/23 13:32
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk is covered by 27 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Elvira TjandrawinataBNP Paribas Securities (Asia)
Paul Robert DewberryBofA Global Research
Baruna ArkasatyoCGS International