La Comer, S.A.B. de C.V.

OTCPK:LCMR.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.8b

La Comer. de Valuation

Is LCMR.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LCMR.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LCMR.F ($1.72) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($0.43)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LCMR.F is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LCMR.F?

Key metric: As LCMR.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LCMR.F. This is calculated by dividing LCMR.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LCMR.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16x
EarningsMex$2.35b
Market CapMex$37.63b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LCMR.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LCMR.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.1x
GO Grocery Outlet Holding
37x19.8%US$1.9b
WMK Weis Markets
20.1xn/aUS$1.9b
IMKT.A Ingles Markets
8.6xn/aUS$1.4b
NGVC Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage
30.8xn/aUS$1.0b
LCMR.F La Comer. de
16x11.2%US$37.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LCMR.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x) compared to the peer average (24.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LCMR.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
LCMR.F 16.0xIndustry Avg. 24.3xNo. of Companies5PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LCMR.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x) compared to the US Consumer Retailing industry average (24.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LCMR.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LCMR.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate LCMR.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LCMR.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$2.39
0%
8.9%US$2.77US$2.02n/a7
Nov ’25n/a
US$2.34
0%
8.9%US$2.73US$1.98n/a7
Oct ’25n/a
US$2.49
0%
8.9%US$2.90US$2.11n/a7
Sep ’25n/a
US$2.49
0%
8.9%US$2.90US$2.11n/a7
Aug ’25n/a
US$2.59
0%
8.9%US$2.98US$2.17n/a7
Jul ’25US$1.99
US$2.65
+33.1%
9.0%US$3.03US$2.26n/a6
Jun ’25n/a
US$2.83
0%
7.9%US$3.24US$2.48n/a7
May ’25n/a
US$2.82
0%
7.3%US$3.26US$2.49n/a8
Apr ’25n/a
US$2.82
0%
7.3%US$3.26US$2.49n/a8
Mar ’25US$2.33
US$2.80
+20.1%
7.5%US$3.21US$2.45n/a7
Feb ’25n/a
US$2.70
0%
4.7%US$2.85US$2.44n/a7
Jan ’25n/a
US$2.70
0%
4.7%US$2.85US$2.44n/a7
Dec ’24n/a
US$2.70
0%
4.7%US$2.85US$2.44n/a7
Nov ’24n/a
US$2.61
0%
2.8%US$2.71US$2.49n/a6
Oct ’24n/a
US$2.67
0%
7.1%US$2.87US$2.28n/a6
Sep ’24n/a
US$2.67
0%
7.1%US$2.87US$2.28n/a6
Aug ’24n/a
US$2.55
0%
8.6%US$2.84US$2.28n/a5
Jul ’24n/a
US$2.36
0%
8.6%US$2.68US$2.15US$1.995
Jun ’24n/a
US$2.36
0%
8.6%US$2.68US$2.15n/a5
May ’24n/a
US$2.39
0%
8.5%US$2.66US$2.13n/a4
Apr ’24n/a
US$2.30
0%
6.6%US$2.50US$2.14n/a4
Mar ’24n/a
US$2.13
0%
8.0%US$2.43US$1.90US$2.336
Feb ’24n/a
US$2.04
0%
8.0%US$2.32US$1.82n/a6
Jan ’24US$2.00
US$2.04
+2.0%
8.0%US$2.32US$1.82n/a6
Dec ’23n/a
US$2.14
0%
6.1%US$2.38US$2.00n/a6
Nov ’23n/a
US$2.06
0%
7.9%US$2.32US$1.79n/a6

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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