Kesko Oyj Valuation

Is KKOY.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KKOY.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KKOY.F ($20) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($55.41)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KKOY.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KKOY.F?

Key metric: As KKOY.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for KKOY.F. This is calculated by dividing KKOY.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is KKOY.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18.2x
Earnings€417.10m
Market Cap€7.60b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KKOY.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KKOY.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.4x
ACI Albertsons Companies
11.2x6.2%US$11.2b
SFM Sprouts Farmers Market
41.9x11.7%US$14.7b
CART Maplebear
25.5x11.9%US$11.1b
CASY Casey's General Stores
31x8.2%US$15.9b
KKOY.F Kesko Oyj
18.2x10.4%US$7.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KKOY.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.2x) compared to the peer average (27.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KKOY.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
KKOY.F 18.2xIndustry Avg. 24.3xNo. of Companies5PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KKOY.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.2x) compared to the US Consumer Retailing industry average (24.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KKOY.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KKOY.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate KKOY.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KKOY.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$20.95
0%
8.5%US$24.21US$18.95n/a5
Nov ’25US$20.00
US$21.21
+6.0%
10.5%US$25.02US$18.49n/a5
Oct ’25US$21.00
US$18.52
-11.8%
13.6%US$20.77US$13.66n/a5
Sep ’25n/a
US$18.52
0%
13.6%US$20.77US$13.66n/a5
Aug ’25n/a
US$17.95
0%
12.6%US$19.75US$13.56n/a5
Jul ’25n/a
US$17.91
0%
11.3%US$19.59US$13.99n/a5
Jun ’25n/a
US$18.36
0%
13.0%US$20.97US$13.91n/a5
May ’25n/a
US$18.36
0%
13.0%US$20.97US$13.91n/a5
Apr ’25n/a
US$18.51
0%
17.3%US$21.12US$12.39n/a5
Mar ’25n/a
US$18.51
0%
17.3%US$21.12US$12.39n/a5
Feb ’25n/a
US$18.13
0%
19.0%US$21.18US$12.43n/a4
Jan ’25n/a
US$17.73
0%
12.1%US$19.58US$13.60n/a5
Dec ’24US$18.50
US$17.73
-4.2%
12.1%US$19.58US$13.60n/a5
Nov ’24n/a
US$17.65
0%
14.5%US$21.13US$13.21US$20.005
Oct ’24US$17.71
US$22.57
+27.4%
7.1%US$25.01US$20.66US$21.004
Sep ’24n/a
US$22.57
0%
7.1%US$25.01US$20.66n/a4
Aug ’24n/a
US$22.48
0%
8.1%US$25.22US$20.84n/a4
Jul ’24US$18.38
US$23.62
+28.5%
10.8%US$27.46US$20.32n/a4
Jun ’24n/a
US$24.49
0%
7.2%US$27.52US$23.12n/a4
May ’24n/a
US$24.79
0%
6.5%US$27.55US$23.69n/a4
Apr ’24n/a
US$24.12
0%
6.1%US$26.99US$22.89n/a5
Mar ’24n/a
US$24.12
0%
6.1%US$26.99US$22.89n/a5
Feb ’24n/a
US$25.32
0%
5.6%US$27.22US$23.96n/a4
Jan ’24US$21.89
US$22.59
+3.2%
4.2%US$23.91US$21.92n/a3
Dec ’23n/a
US$22.59
0%
4.2%US$23.91US$21.92US$18.503
Nov ’23n/a
US$22.59
0%
4.2%US$23.91US$21.92n/a3

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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