Stock Analysis

US Foods Holding (NYSE:USFD) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

NYSE:USFD
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies US Foods Holding Corp. (NYSE:USFD) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for US Foods Holding

How Much Debt Does US Foods Holding Carry?

As you can see below, US Foods Holding had US$4.93b of debt at April 2022, down from US$5.61b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$190.0m, its net debt is less, at about US$4.74b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:USFD Debt to Equity History July 2nd 2022

How Strong Is US Foods Holding's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that US Foods Holding had liabilities of US$3.03b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$5.68b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$190.0m in cash and US$1.86b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$6.66b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of US$7.01b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Weak interest cover of 2.2 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.7 hit our confidence in US Foods Holding like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. However, it should be some comfort for shareholders to recall that US Foods Holding actually grew its EBIT by a hefty 371%, over the last 12 months. If it can keep walking that path it will be in a position to shed its debt with relative ease. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine US Foods Holding's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, US Foods Holding produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 73% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

We feel some trepidation about US Foods Holding's difficulty net debt to EBITDA, but we've got positives to focus on, too. For example, its EBIT growth rate and conversion of EBIT to free cash flow give us some confidence in its ability to manage its debt. We think that US Foods Holding's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for US Foods Holding (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.