Stock Analysis

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Performance Food Group Company (NYSE:PFGC)?

NYSE:PFGC
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Performance Food Group Company (NYSE:PFGC), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a decent share price growth in the teens level on the NYSE over the last few months. As a mid-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Let’s examine Performance Food Group’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

View our latest analysis for Performance Food Group

What Is Performance Food Group Worth?

Performance Food Group appears to be expensive according to my price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Performance Food Group’s ratio of 29.95x is above its peer average of 21.12x, which suggests the stock is trading at a higher price compared to the Consumer Retailing industry. If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Since Performance Food Group’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What does the future of Performance Food Group look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:PFGC Earnings and Revenue Growth July 24th 2023

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Performance Food Group's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 90%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? PFGC’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above industry price multiples. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe PFGC should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on PFGC for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for PFGC, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you'd like to know more about Performance Food Group as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with Performance Food Group, and understanding it should be part of your investment process.

If you are no longer interested in Performance Food Group, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.