Guardian Pharmacy Services Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of GRDN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

GRDN ($17.55) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] ($30.33)

Is GRDN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GRDN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GRDN ($17.55) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($30.33)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GRDN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GRDN?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for GRDN. This is calculated by dividing GRDN's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is GRDN's n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	US$1.14b

GRDN key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	23.6x
PEG Ratio	2.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GRDN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GRDN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	34.9x
IMKT.A Ingles Markets	7.7x	n/a	US$1.2b
GO Grocery Outlet Holding	25.1x	17.6%	US$1.6b
ANDE Andersons	15.1x	13.1%	US$1.6b
DDL Dingdong (Cayman)	91.5x	46.4%	US$869.3m
GRDN Guardian Pharmacy Services	78.6x	34.3%	US$1.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GRDN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (78.6x) compared to the peer average (34.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GRDN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	12.3%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	12.3%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GRDN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (78.6x) compared to the US Consumer Retailing industry average (21.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GRDN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GRDN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	78.6x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GRDN's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.