Dingdong (Cayman) Limited

NYSE:DDL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$867.1m

Dingdong (Cayman) Valuation

Is DDL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DDL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DDL ($4.16) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($77.87)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DDL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DDL?

Key metric: As DDL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DDL. This is calculated by dividing DDL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DDL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio32.9x
EarningsCN¥198.47m
Market CapCN¥6.27b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DDL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DDL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.5x
NGVC Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage
24.4xn/aUS$748.5m
IMKT.A Ingles Markets
8.3xn/aUS$1.3b
VLGE.A Village Super Market
9.6xn/aUS$485.3m
WMK Weis Markets
19.8xn/aUS$1.9b
DDL Dingdong (Cayman)
32.9x20.6%US$867.1m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DDL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.9x) compared to the peer average (15.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DDL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
DDL 32.9xIndustry Avg. 22.9xNo. of Companies4PE01224364860+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DDL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.9x) compared to the US Consumer Retailing industry average (23x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DDL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DDL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio32.9x
Fair PE Ratio19.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DDL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DDL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$4.16
US$3.43
-17.5%
51.5%US$5.47US$1.33n/a6
Nov ’25US$3.72
US$3.15
-15.3%
46.8%US$5.10US$1.35n/a6
Oct ’25US$3.82
US$2.05
-46.4%
23.3%US$2.52US$1.35n/a5
Sep ’25US$2.16
US$2.04
-5.7%
22.9%US$2.50US$1.36n/a5
Aug ’25US$1.81
US$1.96
+8.5%
21.8%US$2.50US$1.34n/a5
Jul ’25US$2.04
US$1.97
-3.3%
21.6%US$2.50US$1.35n/a5
Jun ’25US$2.08
US$1.97
-5.2%
21.6%US$2.50US$1.35n/a5
May ’25US$1.41
US$2.10
+49.3%
57.8%US$4.39US$1.00n/a5
Apr ’25US$1.22
US$2.12
+73.4%
57.8%US$4.42US$1.00n/a5
Mar ’25US$1.16
US$2.30
+98.6%
52.1%US$4.41US$1.00n/a5
Feb ’25US$1.41
US$2.31
+64.1%
52.1%US$4.43US$1.00n/a5
Jan ’25US$1.50
US$2.63
+75.4%
38.0%US$4.40US$1.42n/a5
Dec ’24US$2.01
US$2.63
+30.9%
38.0%US$4.40US$1.42n/a5
Nov ’24US$1.93
US$2.64
+36.6%
37.8%US$4.40US$1.40US$3.725
Oct ’24US$1.95
US$3.12
+59.9%
47.7%US$5.58US$1.40US$3.825
Sep ’24US$1.90
US$4.20
+121.1%
41.4%US$6.50US$2.10US$2.167
Aug ’24US$2.83
US$4.32
+52.8%
38.1%US$6.57US$2.50US$1.817
Jul ’24US$3.09
US$5.66
+83.2%
24.3%US$7.09US$2.60US$2.047
Jun ’24US$2.31
US$5.78
+150.2%
24.7%US$7.31US$2.58US$2.087
May ’24US$3.80
US$6.36
+67.2%
24.5%US$7.43US$2.62US$1.417
Apr ’24US$3.86
US$6.36
+64.6%
24.5%US$7.43US$2.62US$1.227
Mar ’24US$4.39
US$6.29
+43.3%
24.5%US$7.37US$2.60US$1.167
Feb ’24US$5.60
US$6.23
+11.3%
25.0%US$7.87US$2.79US$1.417
Jan ’24US$4.27
US$6.04
+41.4%
24.8%US$7.66US$2.71US$1.507
Dec ’23US$4.50
US$5.75
+27.7%
26.2%US$7.54US$2.67US$2.016
Nov ’23US$2.72
US$9.78
+259.6%
61.6%US$22.00US$2.60US$1.936

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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