Stock Analysis

Dingdong (Cayman) Limited's (NYSE:DDL) 29% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

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Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (NYSE:DDL) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 29% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 65% loss during that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Dingdong (Cayman)'s P/S ratio of 0.1x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Consumer Retailing industry in the United States is also close to 0.4x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for Dingdong (Cayman)

NYSE:DDL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 26th 2023

What Does Dingdong (Cayman)'s P/S Mean For Shareholders?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Dingdong (Cayman)'s revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Dingdong (Cayman) will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Dingdong (Cayman) would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 9.9%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 87% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 1.6% during the coming year according to the six analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 3.7% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Dingdong (Cayman)'s P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Key Takeaway

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Dingdong (Cayman) looks to be in line with the rest of the Consumer Retailing industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our look at the analysts forecasts of Dingdong (Cayman)'s revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Dingdong (Cayman) with six simple checks.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Dingdong (Cayman) is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.