Sprouts Farmers Market Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Sprouts Farmers Market is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 11.7% and 9.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 12.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 24.8% in 3 years.

Key information

11.7%

Earnings growth rate

12.7%

EPS growth rate

Consumer Retailing earnings growth	10.4%
Revenue growth rate	9.6%
Future return on equity	24.8%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	12 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SFM) Full-Year Report

Feb 24

Recent updates

Sprouts Farmers Market (NASDAQ:SFM) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital

Jan 14

Sprouts Farmers Market: Plenty Of Momentum, Impressive Numbers, But Unfortunately Overvalued

Dec 28

Is Now The Time To Put Sprouts Farmers Market (NASDAQ:SFM) On Your Watchlist?

Dec 10

Earnings Tell The Story For Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (NASDAQ:SFM) As Its Stock Soars 28%

Nov 09

Sprouts Farmers Market: Valuation Concerns Rising, But Growth And Stability Match Momentum

Aug 26

These 4 Measures Indicate That Sprouts Farmers Market (NASDAQ:SFM) Is Using Debt Safely

Jul 31

Sprouts Farmers Market: Expanding Horizons In Health Foods

Jul 25

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SFM) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing

Jul 16

Investors Will Want Sprouts Farmers Market's (NASDAQ:SFM) Growth In ROCE To Persist

Jun 26

Sprouts Farmers Market's Stock Momentum Has Space Left

Jun 09

Is Sprouts Farmers Market (NASDAQ:SFM) Using Too Much Debt?

Apr 27

Sprouts Farmers Market: Rating Upgrade As Differentiated Business Model Shines

Mar 30

Does This Valuation Of Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (NASDAQ:SFM) Imply Investors Are Overpaying?

Mar 27

Sprouts Farmers Market: Well Positioned To Ride Health Food Demand, But Pricey Valuation

Mar 14

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SFM) 26% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Earnings

Mar 02

Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SFM) Full-Year Report

Feb 24

Sprouts Farmers Market: Fairly Re-Rated After A Spectacular Run

Jan 30

Sprouts Farmers Market's (NASDAQ:SFM) Returns Have Hit A Wall

Jan 29

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:SFM - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027	10,309	530	409	716	2
12/31/2026	9,338	465	385	669	10
12/31/2025	8,452	421	345	610	14
12/31/2024	7,676	373	359	594	14
9/29/2024	7,422	351	354	576	N/A
6/30/2024	7,189	325	246	482	N/A
3/31/2024	6,988	297	275	505	N/A
12/31/2023	6,837	259	240	465	N/A
10/1/2023	6,715	254	265	474	N/A
7/2/2023	6,593	254	288	457	N/A
4/2/2023	6,496	249	254	398	N/A
1/1/2023	6,404	261	247	371	N/A
10/2/2022	6,320	252	262	375	N/A
7/3/2022	6,239	250	280	396	N/A
4/3/2022	6,166	249	299	412	N/A
1/2/2022	6,100	244	262	365	N/A
10/3/2021	6,209	276	284	380	N/A
7/4/2021	6,277	273	181	278	N/A
4/4/2021	6,398	279	212	322	N/A
1/3/2021	6,469	287	372	494	N/A
9/27/2020	6,232	251	310	442	N/A
6/28/2020	6,095	217	345	499	N/A
3/29/2020	5,867	185	339	520	N/A
12/29/2019	5,635	150	172	355	N/A
9/29/2019	5,539	131	207	382	N/A
6/30/2019	5,428	142	206	372	N/A
3/31/2019	5,334	148	139	302	N/A
12/30/2018	5,207	159	117	294	N/A
9/30/2018	5,082	186	97	286	N/A
7/1/2018	4,959	180	N/A	301	N/A
4/1/2018	4,821	179	N/A	300	N/A
12/31/2017	4,665	158	N/A	310	N/A
10/1/2017	4,506	136	N/A	317	N/A
7/2/2017	4,336	128	N/A	286	N/A
4/2/2017	4,184	124	N/A	271	N/A
1/1/2017	4,046	124	N/A	254	N/A
10/2/2016	3,991	136	N/A	257	N/A
7/3/2016	3,858	144	N/A	267	N/A
4/3/2016	3,729	138	N/A	270	N/A
1/3/2016	3,593	129	N/A	240	N/A
9/27/2015	3,397	119	N/A	209	N/A
6/28/2015	3,261	113	N/A	164	N/A
3/29/2015	3,102	111	N/A	173	N/A
12/28/2014	2,967	108	N/A	181	N/A
9/28/2014	2,841	99	N/A	174	N/A
6/29/2014	2,708	85	N/A	202	N/A
3/30/2014	2,587	67	N/A	173	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: SFM's forecast earnings growth (11.7% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: SFM's earnings (11.7% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (14.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: SFM's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: SFM's revenue (9.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: SFM's revenue (9.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: SFM's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (24.8%)

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/01/21 07:35
End of Day Share Price	2025/01/17 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/29
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. is covered by 43 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Ishan Majumdar	Baptista Research
Meredith Adler	Barclays
Andrew Wolf	BB&T Capital Markets

Sprouts Farmers Market Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target increased by 7.2% to US$109

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Third Quarter and Full Year of 2024

Price target increased by 21% to US$86.20

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for Second Quarter of 2024 and Full Year 2024

Price target increased by 17% to US$48.64

Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SFM) Full-Year Report

Recent updates

Sprouts Farmers Market (NASDAQ:SFM) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital

Sprouts Farmers Market: Plenty Of Momentum, Impressive Numbers, But Unfortunately Overvalued

CEO & Director recently sold US$4.5m worth of stock

Is Now The Time To Put Sprouts Farmers Market (NASDAQ:SFM) On Your Watchlist?

Earnings Tell The Story For Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (NASDAQ:SFM) As Its Stock Soars 28%

Independent Non-Executive Chairman recently sold US$1.5m worth of stock

Independent Non-Executive Chairman notifies of intention to sell stock

Sprouts Farmers Market: Buy This Aggressive Acceleration

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (NASDAQ:SFM)

Price target increased by 7.2% to US$109

Sprouts Farmers Market's (NASDAQ:SFM) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher

CEO & Director notifies of intention to sell stock

Sprouts Farmers Market: No Longer On Sale

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 30, 2024

CEO & Director notifies of intention to sell stock

Now 21% undervalued

Sprouts Farmers Market: A Great Business To Buy, But Not At Current Valuation

Independent Director recently sold US$1.0m worth of stock

Do Sprouts Farmers Market's (NASDAQ:SFM) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

Independent Director notifies of intention to sell stock

Sprouts Farmers Market: Valuation Concerns Rising, But Growth And Stability Match Momentum

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%

Independent Non-Executive Chairman recently sold US$777k worth of stock

Chief Human Resources Officer notifies of intention to sell stock

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Third Quarter and Full Year of 2024

These 4 Measures Indicate That Sprouts Farmers Market (NASDAQ:SFM) Is Using Debt Safely

Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Price target increased by 21% to US$86.20

Sprouts Farmers Market: Expanding Horizons In Health Foods

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SFM) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing

CEO & Director notifies of intention to sell stock

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Jul 29, 2024

Investors Will Want Sprouts Farmers Market's (NASDAQ:SFM) Growth In ROCE To Persist

CEO & Director notifies of intention to sell stock

Sprouts Farmers Market's Stock Momentum Has Space Left

Independent Director recently sold US$947k worth of stock

Independent Director notifies of intention to sell stock

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (NasdaqGS:SFM) announces an Equity Buyback for $600 million worth of its shares.

Chief Strategy Officer notifies of intention to sell stock

President & COO recently sold US$2.3m worth of stock

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for Second Quarter of 2024 and Full Year 2024

First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Now 31% overvalued after recent price rise

Is Sprouts Farmers Market (NASDAQ:SFM) Using Too Much Debt?

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 22, 2024

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 01, 2024

Sprouts Farmers Market: Rating Upgrade As Differentiated Business Model Shines

President & COO recently sold US$2.0m worth of stock

Does This Valuation Of Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (NASDAQ:SFM) Imply Investors Are Overpaying?

CEO & Director notifies of intention to sell stock

Sprouts Farmers Market: Well Positioned To Ride Health Food Demand, But Pricey Valuation

Independent Non-Executive Chairman recently sold US$828k worth of stock

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SFM) 26% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Earnings

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%

Insider notifies of intention to sell stock

Now 21% overvalued after recent price rise

Price target increased by 17% to US$48.64

Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SFM) Full-Year Report

Full year 2023 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectations

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the First Quarter and Full Year 2024

Now 21% overvalued after recent price rise

Sprouts Farmers Market: Fairly Re-Rated After A Spectacular Run

Sprouts Farmers Market's (NASDAQ:SFM) Returns Have Hit A Wall

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 22, 2024

Insider notifies of intention to sell stock

CEO & Director recently sold US$2.5m worth of stock

CEO & Director notifies of intention to sell stock