Stock Analysis

Slowing Rates Of Return At Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR) Leave Little Room For Excitement

Published
NasdaqGS:DLTR

Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. In light of that, when we looked at Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Dollar Tree, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.10 = US$1.7b ÷ (US$23b - US$6.0b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to August 2024).

Therefore, Dollar Tree has an ROCE of 10%. That's a pretty standard return and it's in line with the industry average of 9.8%.

View our latest analysis for Dollar Tree

NasdaqGS:DLTR Return on Capital Employed November 5th 2024

In the above chart we have measured Dollar Tree's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Dollar Tree .

What Can We Tell From Dollar Tree's ROCE Trend?

Things have been pretty stable at Dollar Tree, with its capital employed and returns on that capital staying somewhat the same for the last five years. Businesses with these traits tend to be mature and steady operations because they're past the growth phase. So don't be surprised if Dollar Tree doesn't end up being a multi-bagger in a few years time.

What We Can Learn From Dollar Tree's ROCE

We can conclude that in regards to Dollar Tree's returns on capital employed and the trends, there isn't much change to report on. And investors appear hesitant that the trends will pick up because the stock has fallen 39% in the last five years. On the whole, we aren't too inspired by the underlying trends and we think there may be better chances of finding a multi-bagger elsewhere.

Dollar Tree does have some risks though, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Dollar Tree that you might be interested in.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.