The Swatch Group AG

OTCPK:SWGA.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$9.2b

Swatch Group Valuation

Is SWGA.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SWGA.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SWGA.F ($171.61) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($237.67)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SWGA.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SWGA.F?

Key metric: As SWGA.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SWGA.F. This is calculated by dividing SWGA.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SWGA.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.2x
EarningsCHF 519.00m
Market CapCHF 8.29b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SWGA.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SWGA.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.3x
LEVI Levi Strauss
44.7x45.4%US$6.9b
RL Ralph Lauren
21x7.1%US$14.4b
TPR Tapestry
18.8x8.5%US$15.2b
PVH PVH
8.5x6.7%US$6.0b
SWGA.F Swatch Group
16.2x13.0%US$8.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SWGA.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.2x) compared to the peer average (23.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SWGA.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Luxury Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
JXG JX Luxventure
1.9xn/aUS$5.64m
DLAP.Q Delta Apparel
n/an/aUS$7.00
No more companies available in this PE range
SWGA.F 16.2xIndustry Avg. 18.7xNo. of Companies6PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SWGA.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.2x) compared to the US Luxury industry average (18.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SWGA.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SWGA.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SWGA.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SWGA.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$171.61
US$192.10
+11.9%
24.4%US$370.81US$133.62n/a23
Dec ’25US$185.25
US$199.20
+7.5%
23.6%US$378.21US$136.29n/a23
Nov ’25US$203.84
US$206.14
+1.1%
23.6%US$384.44US$138.54n/a23
Oct ’25US$222.85
US$211.64
-5.0%
24.5%US$393.51US$141.81n/a21
Sep ’25n/a
US$227.73
0%
19.7%US$391.67US$170.55n/a21
Aug ’25US$203.00
US$223.59
+10.1%
19.9%US$375.77US$163.62n/a21
Jul ’25US$205.04
US$248.85
+21.4%
16.7%US$409.65US$211.50n/a20
Jun ’25n/a
US$250.59
0%
15.8%US$403.49US$208.32n/a20
May ’25US$210.00
US$253.28
+20.6%
15.7%US$404.28US$208.73n/a20
Apr ’25US$223.10
US$264.22
+18.4%
17.7%US$406.76US$221.06n/a21
Mar ’25US$243.00
US$270.82
+11.4%
17.3%US$417.63US$226.97n/a22
Feb ’25US$224.51
US$284.28
+26.6%
16.3%US$427.07US$234.43n/a22
Jan ’25n/a
US$328.52
0%
14.7%US$429.75US$274.43n/a22
Dec ’24US$255.50
US$334.68
+31.0%
14.6%US$423.30US$270.32US$185.2522
Nov ’24n/a
US$333.26
0%
14.5%US$412.80US$263.61US$203.8422
Oct ’24US$256.00
US$333.50
+30.3%
13.8%US$401.96US$262.15US$222.8522
Sep ’24US$279.99
US$361.44
+29.1%
15.0%US$451.49US$225.75n/a23
Aug ’24US$308.00
US$373.42
+21.2%
15.1%US$465.82US$232.91US$203.0023
Jul ’24US$288.96
US$359.62
+24.5%
13.4%US$446.92US$223.46US$205.0422
Jun ’24n/a
US$369.88
0%
13.4%US$445.40US$200.43n/a22
May ’24US$340.65
US$363.67
+6.8%
13.5%US$437.62US$196.93US$210.0022
Apr ’24n/a
US$363.67
0%
13.5%US$437.62US$196.93US$223.1022
Mar ’24US$356.00
US$348.54
-2.1%
13.0%US$398.17US$191.12US$243.0023
Feb ’24US$360.90
US$345.22
-4.3%
13.8%US$407.52US$195.61US$224.5124
Jan ’24n/a
US$293.85
0%
14.5%US$374.35US$192.52n/a23
Dec ’23US$273.76
US$288.36
+5.3%
14.6%US$368.58US$189.56US$255.5023

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/25 07:53
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

The Swatch Group AG is covered by 54 analysts. 22 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Véronique Cabioc'h Le BrunAlphaValue
Atiyyah VawdaAvior Capital Markets
Christian WeizBaader Helvea Equity Research