The Swatch Group AG

OTCPK:SWGA.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$9.2b

Swatch Group Valuation

Is SWGA.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SWGA.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SWGA.F ($203.47) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($206.28)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SWGA.F is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SWGA.F?

Key metric: As SWGA.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SWGA.F. This is calculated by dividing SWGA.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SWGA.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.9x
EarningsCHF 519.00m
Market CapCHF 8.23b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SWGA.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SWGA.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.5x
RL Ralph Lauren
19.3x6.9%US$13.2b
TPR Tapestry
17x8.1%US$13.7b
LEVI Levi Strauss
41.8x45.4%US$6.5b
PVH PVH
7.8x5.4%US$5.8b
SWGA.F Swatch Group
15.9x13.2%US$8.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SWGA.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x) compared to the peer average (21.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SWGA.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Luxury Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
JXJT JX Luxventure
2.4xn/aUS$7.28m
DLAP.Q Delta Apparel
n/an/aUS$7.00
No more companies available in this PE range
SWGA.F 15.9xIndustry Avg. 18.5xNo. of Companies6PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SWGA.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x) compared to the US Luxury industry average (18.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SWGA.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SWGA.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SWGA.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SWGA.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$198.81
0%
23.6%US$375.60US$135.35n/a23
Nov ’25US$203.84
US$206.14
+1.1%
23.6%US$384.44US$138.54n/a23
Oct ’25US$222.85
US$211.64
-5.0%
24.5%US$393.51US$141.81n/a21
Sep ’25n/a
US$227.73
0%
19.7%US$391.67US$170.55n/a21
Aug ’25US$203.00
US$223.59
+10.1%
19.9%US$375.77US$163.62n/a21
Jul ’25US$205.04
US$248.85
+21.4%
16.7%US$409.65US$211.50n/a20
Jun ’25n/a
US$250.59
0%
15.8%US$403.49US$208.32n/a20
May ’25US$210.00
US$253.28
+20.6%
15.7%US$404.28US$208.73n/a20
Apr ’25US$223.10
US$264.22
+18.4%
17.7%US$406.76US$221.06n/a21
Mar ’25US$243.00
US$270.82
+11.4%
17.3%US$417.63US$226.97n/a22
Feb ’25US$224.51
US$284.28
+26.6%
16.3%US$427.07US$234.43n/a22
Jan ’25n/a
US$328.52
0%
14.7%US$429.75US$274.43n/a22
Dec ’24US$255.50
US$334.68
+31.0%
14.6%US$423.30US$270.32n/a22
Nov ’24n/a
US$333.26
0%
14.5%US$412.80US$263.61US$203.8422
Oct ’24US$256.00
US$333.50
+30.3%
13.8%US$401.96US$262.15US$222.8522
Sep ’24US$279.99
US$361.44
+29.1%
15.0%US$451.49US$225.75n/a23
Aug ’24US$308.00
US$373.42
+21.2%
15.1%US$465.82US$232.91US$203.0023
Jul ’24US$288.96
US$359.62
+24.5%
13.4%US$446.92US$223.46US$205.0422
Jun ’24n/a
US$369.88
0%
13.4%US$445.40US$200.43n/a22
May ’24US$340.65
US$363.67
+6.8%
13.5%US$437.62US$196.93US$210.0022
Apr ’24n/a
US$363.67
0%
13.5%US$437.62US$196.93US$223.1022
Mar ’24US$356.00
US$348.54
-2.1%
13.0%US$398.17US$191.12US$243.0023
Feb ’24US$360.90
US$345.22
-4.3%
13.8%US$407.52US$195.61US$224.5124
Jan ’24n/a
US$293.85
0%
14.5%US$374.35US$192.52n/a23
Dec ’23US$273.76
US$288.36
+5.3%
14.6%US$368.58US$189.56US$255.5023
Nov ’23US$239.34
US$283.59
+18.5%
13.8%US$362.44US$221.49n/a22

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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