Loading...
VSTO logo

Vista Outdoor Inc.NYSE:VSTO Stock Report

Market Cap US$2.6b
Share Price
n/a
US$42.27
n/aintrinsic discount
1Y58.2%
7D0.9%
1D
Portfolio Value
​
View

Vista Outdoor Inc.

NYSE:VSTO Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.6b

This company has been acquired

The company may no longer be operating, as it has been acquired. Find out why through their latest events.

Vista Outdoor (VSTO) Stock Overview

Designs, manufactures, and markets outdoor recreation and shooting sports products. More details

VSTO fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation5/6
Future Growth3/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health5/6
Dividends0/6

Rewards

Trading at 67.1% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 112.83% per year

Earnings have grown 8.5% per year over the past 5 years

Trading at good value compared to peers and industry

Risk Analysis

No risks detected for VSTO from our risk checks.

VSTO Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

View all narratives

Vista Outdoor Inc. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Vista Outdoor
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$44.63
52 Week HighUS$44.72
52 Week LowUS$26.05
Beta0.79
1 Month Change1.66%
3 Month Change11.46%
1 Year Change58.21%
3 Year Change6.39%
5 Year Change451.67%
Change since IPO30.27%

Recent News & Updates

Seeking Alpha • Oct 02

Vista Outdoors: The Battle Continues, Too Messy To Get Involved

Summary Vista Outdoor Inc.'s Q1 revenue and adjusted EPS declined year-over-year, with all segments trending down, indicating inefficiency and reduced profitability. The company's gross margins decreased due to lower sales and inflationary costs, while operating expenses fell but didn't improve operating income. A bidding war between CSG and MNC Capital has caused significant uncertainty, with offers fluctuating and no clear resolution in sight. Given the company's poor performance and management's indecisiveness, I recommend staying on the sidelines until the situation stabilizes. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Oct 02

Vista Outdoors: The Battle Continues, Too Messy To Get Involved

Summary Vista Outdoor Inc.'s Q1 revenue and adjusted EPS declined year-over-year, with all segments trending down, indicating inefficiency and reduced profitability. The company's gross margins decreased due to lower sales and inflationary costs, while operating expenses fell but didn't improve operating income. A bidding war between CSG and MNC Capital has caused significant uncertainty, with offers fluctuating and no clear resolution in sight. Given the company's poor performance and management's indecisiveness, I recommend staying on the sidelines until the situation stabilizes. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jul 09

Vista Outdoor: Proposed $2.1 Billion CSG Transaction Likely Ends The Bidding

Summary The bidding for Vista Outdoor's business segments intensified, with the outstanding offer for Kinetic Group from CSG outstanding at $2.10 billion and the $42.00/share MNC buyout offer being rejected. The shareholder vote on the Kinetic Group sale to CSG is scheduled for July 23. Vista Outdoor stock has upside with or without the transaction, with the Kinetic Group sale implying a cheap EBITDA multiple but deleveraging risks considerably and releasing underlying value. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jun 27

Vista Outdoors: Bidding War Ensues

Summary Vista Outdoors is currently considering two acquisition offers: one for its Kinetic Group business segment and another for the whole company. Czechoslovak Group has bid $2B for the Kinetic Group, while MNC Capital Partners L.P. has upped its offer to $42 a share for the whole company. Shareholders may prefer the all-cash offer from MNC Capital, which could result in a quick 14% return if the deal goes through at the current share price, but uncertainty remains. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • May 21

Vista Outdoor: Segment M&A And Buyout Options Pose Upside (Rating Upgrade)

Summary Vista Outdoor reported Q4 financial results, with significant EBITDA growth for Revelyst in the quarter and FY2025 outlook. The Kinetic Group's revenues continued to decline, but flat sales are expected in FY2025. EBITDA is still guided down due to significant cost inflation. Shareholders' vote should be held on the 14th of June concerning the sale of the Kinetic Group for $1.91 billion. Simultaneously, speculation around MNC Capital's cash offer is rising. The valuation seems attractive after a good Q4 report, with the CSG offer lowering risks significantly but providing a slightly lower estimated upside if the transaction goes through. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 09

Vista Outdoor: A Controversial And Intriguing Segment Sale

Summary Vista Outdoor plans to separate its sporting and outdoors segments into separate entities by selling the sporting segment. The sale agreement has an implied enterprise value of $1.91 billion, implying a FY2024e EV/EBITDA of 5. Unless the segment's earnings fall back to pre-pandemic levels, the consideration seems low-priced. The remaining outdoors segment, named Revelyst, is expected to see significant improvements in efficiency and growth, but I remain conservative about my expectations for the time being. At the current price, Vista Outdoor could have some upside, but as the investment case is very volatile and can shift massively, I only have a hold rating for the time being. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article • Nov 22

Is Vista Outdoor Inc. (NYSE:VSTO) Trading At A 28% Discount?

Key Insights Vista Outdoor's estimated fair value is US$35.68 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...
Analysis Article • Nov 01

Here's Why Vista Outdoor (NYSE:VSTO) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Seeking Alpha • Oct 16

Vista Outdoor: A Big Deal To Sell Sporting Products Business Raises Questions

Summary Vista Outdoor Inc. has sold its sporting products business in a $1.91 billion deal, causing uncertainty and caution among investors. The remaining business of Vista Outdoor issued a significant profit warning, raising concerns about its future performance. The deal has resulted in the company no longer operating with a net debt position and instead having a net cash position of around $750 million. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 29

Vista Outdoor: I'll Wait For The Spin-Off

Summary Vista Outdoor Inc is planning to spin off its Outdoor products segment and focus on fixing its lackluster performance. The company's current ratio is slightly on the inefficient side because of inventory buildup. Despite some positive metrics like return on invested capital, the company's growth and efficiency metrics are lacking, leading to uncertainty and a higher margin of safety in valuation. I'll revisit once the company completed the spinoff. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jul 19

Vista Outdoor: Still Muddling Along

Summary Vista Outdoor Inc. has gotten a boost on the back of the pandemic. This saved the business from financial difficulties, with earnings being used to grow the outdoors business. The company is now splitting up the business, in what has raised questionable capital allocation decisions. Overall, earnings look rather compelling, as the business remains volatile and debt looks manageable here. Given the questionable past capital allocation decisions, I am looking for a better entry point for Vista Outdoor Inc., potentially related to the upcoming spinoff. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article • Jul 13

Is Vista Outdoor (NYSE:VSTO) A Risky Investment?

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...

Shareholder Returns

VSTOUS Aerospace & DefenseUS Market
7D0.9%5.6%1.8%
1Y58.2%32.8%28.4%

Return vs Industry: VSTO exceeded the US Aerospace & Defense industry which returned 40.6% over the past year.

Return vs Market: VSTO exceeded the US Market which returned 32.4% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is VSTO's price volatile compared to industry and market?
VSTO volatility
VSTO Average Weekly Movement3.5%
Aerospace & Defense Industry Average Movement9.0%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.7%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.0%

Stable Share Price: VSTO has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: VSTO's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
20146,400Jason Vanderbrinkwww.vistaoutdoor.com

Vista Outdoor Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets outdoor recreation and shooting sports products. in the United States and internationally. The Kinetic Group segment designs, develops, distributes, and manufactures ammunition, primers, and components for hunters, recreational shooters, federal and local law enforcement agencies, and the military.

Vista Outdoor Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do Vista Outdoor's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
VSTO fundamental statistics
Market capUS$2.61b
Earnings (TTM)-US$9.11m
Revenue (TTM)US$2.69b
1.0x
P/S Ratio
-286.3x
P/E Ratio

Is VSTO overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
VSTO income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$2.69b
Cost of RevenueUS$1.84b
Gross ProfitUS$845.94m
Other ExpensesUS$855.05m
Earnings-US$9.11m

Last Reported Earnings

Sep 30, 2024

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)-0.16
Gross Margin31.49%
Net Profit Margin-0.34%
Debt/Equity Ratio47.8%

How did VSTO perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/11/28 20:16
End of Day Share Price 2024/11/26 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Vista Outdoor Inc. is covered by 12 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Eric WoldB. Riley Securities, Inc.
Anna GlaessgenB. Riley Securities, Inc.
Andrew BurnsD.A. Davidson & Co.