Somnigroup International Inc.

NYSE:SGI Stock Report

Market Cap: US$14.6b

Somnigroup International Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Somnigroup International is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 17.8% and 4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 18.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 23.5% in 3 years.

Key information

17.8%

Earnings growth rate

18.57%

EPS growth rate

Consumer Durables earnings growth7.6%
Revenue growth rate4.0%
Future return on equity23.50%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated11 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • May 09

SGI: Merger Synergies And Q4 Pullback Are Expected To Support Upside

Analysts have trimmed Somnigroup International's implied fair value slightly to $101.50 from $102.13. This reflects more cautious revenue growth assumptions, a modestly lower discount rate and a slightly lower future P/E multiple, even as profit margin expectations are adjusted upward.
Narrative Update • Apr 23

SGI: Merger Synergies And Q4 Pullback Are Expected To Drive Upside

Somnigroup International's analyst fair value estimate has been adjusted slightly lower to $102.13 from $103.38. This reflects recent mixed price target moves and list changes as analysts balance merger synergies with softer industry demand and an uncertain housing outlook.
Narrative Update • Apr 09

SGI: Merger Synergies And Q4 Pullback Poised To Drive Future Upside

Somnigroup International's updated analyst price target edges slightly lower to $103.38 from $103.63 as analysts factor in a modestly higher discount rate, along with Street research that highlights mixed list inclusions, generally constructive merger synergies, and varied but mostly supportive target revisions from firms covering the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Somnigroup International offers a mix of optimism around merger execution and synergy realization, paired with some caution on demand trends and broader housing exposure.
Narrative Update • Mar 26

SGI: Merger Synergies And Q4 Pullback Set Up Future Rebound

Analysts have nudged their average price target on Somnigroup International to $115, reflecting views that merger synergies around Mattress Firm and resilient performance at Tempur Sealy are better captured in current forecasts, despite mixed recent revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Somnigroup International shows a mix of optimism around merger execution and Tempur Sealy performance, alongside a more cautious read on industry demand and housing exposure.
Narrative Update • Mar 11

SGI: Merger Synergies And Q4 Pullback Will Drive Future Upside Potential

Narrative Update: Somnigroup International Our analyst price target update for Somnigroup edges higher to a fair value estimate of $103.63 from $102.38, reflecting analysts' generally supportive view of merger synergies and resilience at Tempur Sealy and Mattress Firm, even as some firms fine tune their targets around recent Q4 results. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Somnigroup highlights a mix of optimism around merger execution and caution around industry demand and housing exposure.
Narrative Update • Feb 25

SGI: Merger Synergies And Recent Pullback Will Shape Future Upside Potential

The analyst price target for Somnigroup International has been reset lower to $115 from $122, as analysts factor in softer Q4 industry demand, a slightly higher discount rate, and more moderate revenue growth assumptions, while still recognizing merger benefits and updated P/E and margin inputs in their models. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Somnigroup International reflects a mix of optimism around merger benefits and execution, alongside caution around softer Q4 industry trends and broader macro sensitivities.
Seeking Alpha • Feb 18

Somnigroup International's Pullback Doesn't Represent An Opportunity (Rating Downgrade)

Summary Somnigroup International (SGI), formerly Tempur Sealy, completed its Mattress Firm merger, creating a dominant player in the bedding sector. Despite operational improvements and synergy targets, SGI shares look expensive on both absolute and relative valuation metrics. Management targets $225M EBITDA improvements by 2028 and adjusted EPS growth from $3.20 (2025E) to $5.15 (2028E). I rate SGI a 'hold'—future profitability improvements are promising, but current valuation limits near-term upside. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Feb 10

SGI: Neutral Housing Outlook And Execution Will Shape Balanced Future Prospects

Analysts kept Somnigroup International's fair value estimate broadly unchanged at about US$102.29, making only small tweaks to the discount rate and assumed future P/E. This followed neutral initiation research that highlights an uncertain housing outlook as a key rationale for holding a more cautious stance on the shares.
Narrative Update • Jan 25

SGI: Mattress Recovery And Integration Progress Will Support Balanced Future Prospects

Analysts have raised their price target on Somnigroup International to $92 from $83, citing recovering mattress demand, ongoing Mattress Firm integration, brand refresh efforts, and steady international expansion as key reasons for the updated view. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around Somnigroup International highlights a mix of optimism on the setup for the business and caution on the near term trading backdrop, which helps explain the updated US$92 price target.
Narrative Update • Jan 09

SGI: Mattress Recovery And Integration Progress Will Support Balanced Future Returns

Narrative Update Analysts have lifted their price target on Somnigroup International to US$92 from US$83, citing expectations that recovering mattress demand, progress on the Mattress Firm integration, stronger brand activity, and steady international growth could support future performance, while still flagging near term caution until industry demand trends are clearer. Analyst Commentary The recent price target lift to US$92 reflects a mixed but generally constructive view on Somnigroup International, with optimism around its core growth drivers tempered by caution about how quickly mattress demand stabilizes.
Analysis Article • Jan 09

What Does Somnigroup International Inc.'s (NYSE:SGI) Share Price Indicate?

Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Somnigroup International Inc. ( NYSE:SGI ). The company's...
Narrative Update • Dec 24

SGI: Mattress Recovery And Integration Benefits Will Drive Shares Higher

Analysts have raised their price target on Somnigroup International to $92.00 from $83.00, citing improving mattress demand, benefits from the Mattress Firm integration, and resilient international growth, even as they remain cautious on the pace of broader industry recovery. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research highlights a balanced view on Somnigroup International, with upside potential tied to execution on strategic initiatives and downside risks linked to the broader industry cycle.
Narrative Update • Dec 10

SGI: Mattress Recovery And Integration Synergies Will Drive Outperformance Ahead

Analysts have modestly raised their consolidated price target for Somnigroup International, reflecting a roughly $1 to $2 increase in fair value estimates. They point to recovering mattress demand, benefits from the Mattress Firm integration, and improving international trends, while still flagging near term uncertainty around broader discretionary spending.
Analysis Article • Dec 05

Investors Still Waiting For A Pull Back In Somnigroup International Inc. (NYSE:SGI)

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 60.1x Somnigroup International Inc. ( NYSE:SGI ) may be sending very...
Narrative Update • Nov 26

SGI: International Momentum And Integration Progress Will Drive Outperformance Ahead

Analysts have increased Somnigroup International's fair value estimate from $97.50 to $101.00, citing improving growth prospects, as well as continued momentum in international markets and integration initiatives. Analyst Commentary Following recent reassessments, analysts presented a mix of optimism and caution regarding Somnigroup International’s near- and medium-term prospects.
Analysis Article • Nov 14

Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Somnigroup International (NYSE:SGI)

Despite Somnigroup International Inc.'s ( NYSE:SGI ) recent earnings report having lackluster headline numbers, the...
Narrative Update • Nov 11

SGI: Ongoing Integration and Margin Gains Will Drive Balanced Outlook Ahead

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Somnigroup International from $88.38 to $97.50. They cite expectations for renewed industry demand, improved profit margins, and positive trends in brand innovation and integration.
Narrative Update • Oct 27

Integration Will Drive Global Expansion Despite Discretionary Category Uncertainty

Somnigroup International's analyst price target has been raised from $90 to $97. Analysts cite strong underlying trends and a positive outlook for 2026, while noting potential near-term risks in discretionary spending categories.
Narrative Update • Oct 13

Mattress Firm Integration Will Power Global Market Expansion

Analysts have raised their price target for Somnigroup International from $85.78 to $87.44, citing stronger revenue growth projections and an optimistic outlook for 2026 despite lingering risks related to tariffs and discretionary spending. Analyst Commentary Bullish and bearish analysts have weighed in on Somnigroup International's latest outlook, with new insights for investors as year-end approaches.
Narrative Update • Sep 16

Mattress Firm Integration Will Power Global Market Expansion

The modest increase in Somnigroup International’s consensus price target is primarily driven by a higher forecasted future P/E multiple, reflecting improved growth or sentiment expectations, resulting in a revised fair value estimate of $85.78. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Somnigroup International The Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen slightly from $83.56 to $85.78.
Analysis Article • Sep 01

Is Somnigroup International (NYSE:SGI) Using Too Much Debt?

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Narrative Update • Aug 09

Mattress Firm Integration Will Power Global Market Expansion

With both Net Profit Margin and Consensus Revenue Growth forecasts remaining stable, analysts have left their fair value estimate for Somnigroup International unchanged at $80.89. What's in the News Somnigroup International completed a follow-on equity offering, raising $953.36 million through the sale of 15,376,743 common shares at $62 per share with a $0.458 per share discount.
Narrative Update • Aug 09

Growing Global Demand Will Expand Sleep And Wellness Markets

Despite a notable downgrade in consensus revenue growth forecasts, Somnigroup International’s price target has been significantly increased, reflecting higher valuation multiples and resulting in a fair value shift from $73.00 to $80.89. What's in the News Somnigroup International completed a follow-on equity offering, raising $953 million by issuing 15,376,743 common shares at $62 per share with a $0.458 discount per share.
Analysis Article • Aug 09

Somnigroup International Inc. (NYSE:SGI) Not Lagging Market On Growth Or Pricing

Somnigroup International Inc.'s ( NYSE:SGI ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 58.4x might make it look like a...
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New Narrative • Jul 16

Growing Global Demand Will Expand Sleep And Wellness Markets

International expansion, new products, and customization are driving long-term growth opportunities in both revenue and margins for Somnigroup.
Seeking Alpha • Nov 21

Tempur Sealy International: Rating Downgrade As Upside Is Limited From Current Share Price

Summary I downgraded Tempur Sealy International from buy to hold due to limited upside potential despite strong fundamentals and a recent share price increase. TPX's 3Q24 results show 2% y/y revenue growth, driven by international sales, and a 7% y/y increase in adj EPS to $0.82. The upcoming Sealy Posturepedic launch and potential consumer spending recovery in 2025 could drive volume growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:SGI - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20288,6631,0101,1081,4414
12/31/20278,1788369081,16310
12/31/20267,8026557141,00010
3/31/20267,673521737940N/A
12/31/20257,477384633800N/A
9/30/20256,816315700830N/A
6/30/20255,993268580678N/A
3/31/20255,346275553643N/A
12/31/20244,931384569667N/A
9/30/20244,894390520629N/A
6/30/20244,871373468601N/A
3/31/20244,907359436601N/A
12/31/20234,925368385570N/A
9/30/20234,942392331575N/A
6/30/20234,949413274563N/A
3/31/20234,89041194393N/A
12/31/20224,92145672379N/A
9/30/20225,093531151408N/A
6/30/20225,168575276476N/A
3/31/20225,127625562722N/A
12/31/20214,931625599722N/A
9/30/20214,628595633752N/A
6/30/20214,402537683798N/A
3/31/20213,898419618727N/A
12/31/20203,677349544655N/A
9/30/20203,491250512612N/A
6/30/20203,180203341438N/A
3/31/20203,238223228323N/A
12/31/20193,106191N/A313N/A
9/30/20192,911163N/A270N/A
6/30/20192,819136N/A225N/A
3/31/20192,756121N/A197N/A
12/31/20182,703118N/A183N/A
9/30/20182,658165N/A133N/A
6/30/20182,640177N/A149N/A
3/31/20182,616174N/A146N/A
12/31/20172,701182N/A223N/A
9/30/20172,840168N/A258N/A
6/30/20172,961189N/A189N/A
3/31/20173,130185N/A252N/A
12/31/20163,080203N/A166N/A
9/30/20163,125127N/A211N/A
6/30/20163,17390N/A285N/A
3/31/20163,13390N/A222N/A
12/31/20153,15565N/A234N/A
9/30/20153,129131N/A178N/A
6/30/20153,077128N/A154N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: SGI's forecast earnings growth (17.8% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: SGI's earnings (17.8% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (16.7% per year).

High Growth Earnings: SGI's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: SGI's revenue (4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: SGI's revenue (4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: SGI's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (23.5%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/11 10:08
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/11 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Somnigroup International Inc. is covered by 20 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Robert DrbulBarclays
Rafe JadrosichBofA Global Research
Laura ChampineCantor Fitzgerald & Co.