Stock Analysis

The Genius Brands International (NASDAQ:GNUS) Share Price Is Up 406% And Shareholders Are Delighted

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While stock picking isn't easy, for those willing to persist and learn, it is possible to buy shares in great companies, and generate wonderful returns. When you buy and hold the right company, the returns can make a huge difference to both you and your family. For example, Genius Brands International, Inc. (NASDAQ:GNUS) has generated a beautiful 406% return in just a single year. Better yet, the share price has risen 9.8% in the last week. Zooming out, the stock is actually down 47% in the last three years.

Check out our latest analysis for Genius Brands International

Genius Brands International isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally expect to see good revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

Genius Brands International actually shrunk its revenue over the last year, with a reduction of 65%. This is in stark contrast to the splendorous stock price, which has rocketed 406% since this time a year ago. It's pretty clear the market isn't basing its valuation on fundamental metrics like revenue. To us, a gain like this looks like speculation, but there might be historical trends to back it up.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqCM:GNUS Earnings and Revenue Growth January 25th 2021

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Genius Brands International's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Genius Brands International has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 406% in the last twelve months. There's no doubt those recent returns are much better than the TSR loss of 6% per year over five years. The long term loss makes us cautious, but the short term TSR gain certainly hints at a brighter future. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Genius Brands International (at least 2 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Genius Brands International is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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