SECOM CO., LTD.

OTCPK:SOML.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$14.2b

SECOM Valuation

Is SOML.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SOML.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SOML.F ($34.79) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($33.14)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SOML.F is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SOML.F?

Key metric: As SOML.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SOML.F. This is calculated by dividing SOML.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SOML.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio21.6x
EarningsJP¥103.15b
Market CapJP¥2.23t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SOML.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SOML.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average51.8x
BCO Brink's
34.4x73.6%US$4.1b
GEO GEO Group
110.5x89.3%US$4.0b
CXW CoreCivic
32.2x21.0%US$2.5b
CLH Clean Harbors
30x11.2%US$12.5b
SOML.F SECOM
21.6x3.1%US$2.2t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SOML.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.6x) compared to the peer average (51.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SOML.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Commercial Services Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SGTM Sustainable Green Team
3.1xn/aUS$34.46m
PGTK Pacific Green Technologies
3.6xn/aUS$29.09m
OMEX Odyssey Marine Exploration
1.3xn/aUS$16.06m
BLPG Blue Line Protection Group
4.1xn/aUS$510.68k
SOML.F 21.6xIndustry Avg. 31.1xNo. of Companies9PE020406080100+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SOML.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.6x) compared to the US Commercial Services industry average (31.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SOML.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SOML.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SOML.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SOML.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$34.79
US$36.42
+4.7%
3.8%US$38.79US$34.91n/a6
Dec ’25n/a
US$35.47
0%
6.8%US$38.75US$31.00n/a6
Nov ’25n/a
US$37.45
0%
6.5%US$40.44US$33.76n/a6
Oct ’25n/a
US$37.45
0%
6.5%US$40.44US$33.76n/a6
Sep ’25n/a
US$36.11
0%
5.4%US$39.33US$33.12n/a6
Aug ’25n/a
US$32.36
0%
4.1%US$34.70US$30.56n/a6
Jul ’25US$29.26
US$32.36
+10.6%
4.1%US$34.70US$30.56n/a6
Jun ’25n/a
US$34.17
0%
3.0%US$35.93US$32.96n/a6
May ’25US$34.78
US$34.17
-1.8%
3.0%US$35.93US$32.96n/a6
Apr ’25US$36.64
US$34.17
-6.7%
3.0%US$35.93US$32.96n/a6
Mar ’25n/a
US$34.49
0%
3.1%US$36.21US$33.22n/a6
Feb ’25US$37.24
US$33.41
-10.3%
7.6%US$36.06US$29.32n/a7
Jan ’25n/a
US$34.44
0%
8.2%US$37.22US$30.26US$33.776
Dec ’24n/a
US$32.41
0%
7.4%US$35.33US$28.73n/a7
Nov ’24US$34.95
US$32.75
-6.3%
6.8%US$35.60US$29.50n/a7
Oct ’24n/a
US$32.75
0%
6.8%US$35.60US$29.50n/a7
Sep ’24US$35.58
US$32.85
-7.7%
6.3%US$35.99US$29.82n/a7
Aug ’24n/a
US$31.76
0%
6.3%US$34.52US$27.96n/a7
Jul ’24US$34.38
US$31.76
-7.6%
6.3%US$34.52US$27.96US$29.267
Jun ’24US$33.36
US$32.68
-2.0%
5.6%US$35.66US$29.18n/a7
May ’24US$31.68
US$34.15
+7.8%
6.1%US$38.26US$30.68US$34.787
Apr ’24n/a
US$34.15
0%
6.1%US$38.26US$30.68US$36.647
Mar ’24n/a
US$34.30
0%
6.1%US$38.37US$30.77n/a7
Feb ’24US$29.85
US$34.59
+15.9%
5.8%US$38.11US$30.80US$37.247
Jan ’24US$28.06
US$33.83
+20.5%
7.2%US$39.59US$31.96n/a7

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/05 18:57
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/02 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

SECOM CO., LTD. is covered by 15 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
James MoonBNP Paribas Securities (Asia)
Masaaki KitamiBofA Global Research
Soichiro FukudaCitigroup Inc