Upwork Inc.

NasdaqGS:UPWK Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.3b

Upwork Valuation

Is UPWK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UPWK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UPWK ($16.58) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($55.98)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UPWK is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UPWK?

Key metric: As UPWK is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for UPWK. This is calculated by dividing UPWK's market cap by their current earnings.
What is UPWK's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio25.8x
EarningsUS$85.79m
Market CapUS$2.28b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does UPWK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for UPWK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average55.4x
NSP Insperity
24.3x-0.4%US$3.0b
MAN ManpowerGroup
70.5x52.8%US$2.8b
KFY Korn Ferry
14.2x12.1%US$3.6b
FVRR Fiverr International
112.6x43.9%US$1.2b
UPWK Upwork
25.8x18.0%US$2.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UPWK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.8x) compared to the peer average (55.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UPWK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Professional Services Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CNDT Conduent
1.6x-104.3%US$690.72m
ALJJ ALJ Regional Holdings
0.7xn/aUS$70.26m
VCIG VCI Global
1.7xn/aUS$17.33m
LICN Lichen China
0.9xn/aUS$6.89m
UPWK 25.8xIndustry Avg. 24.1xNo. of Companies9PE01224364860+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UPWK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.8x) compared to the US Professional Services industry average (24.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UPWK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UPWK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25.8x
Fair PE Ratio27.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: UPWK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UPWK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$16.58
US$18.64
+12.4%
10.6%US$24.00US$16.00n/a11
Dec ’25US$16.97
US$18.36
+8.2%
11.7%US$24.00US$16.00n/a11
Nov ’25US$13.98
US$14.18
+1.4%
20.4%US$21.00US$11.00n/a11
Oct ’25US$10.30
US$13.91
+35.0%
19.7%US$21.00US$11.00n/a11
Sep ’25US$9.64
US$14.09
+46.2%
18.5%US$21.00US$11.00n/a11
Aug ’25US$11.11
US$17.73
+59.6%
19.0%US$24.00US$12.00n/a11
Jul ’25US$10.68
US$18.30
+71.3%
16.2%US$24.00US$13.00n/a10
Jun ’25US$10.57
US$18.60
+76.0%
13.6%US$24.00US$15.00n/a10
May ’25US$11.96
US$18.60
+55.5%
10.8%US$22.00US$15.00n/a10
Apr ’25US$12.21
US$18.60
+52.3%
10.8%US$22.00US$15.00n/a10
Mar ’25US$13.50
US$18.55
+37.4%
10.4%US$22.00US$15.00n/a11
Feb ’25US$13.97
US$17.18
+23.0%
10.5%US$20.00US$14.00n/a11
Jan ’25US$14.87
US$16.27
+9.4%
11.1%US$19.00US$13.00n/a11
Dec ’24US$14.28
US$16.27
+14.0%
11.1%US$19.00US$13.00US$16.9711
Nov ’24US$9.98
US$13.90
+39.3%
19.2%US$18.00US$8.00US$13.9810
Oct ’24US$11.36
US$14.00
+23.2%
19.9%US$18.00US$8.00US$10.309
Sep ’24US$14.96
US$14.00
-6.4%
19.9%US$18.00US$8.00US$9.649
Aug ’24US$10.02
US$12.00
+19.8%
23.9%US$17.00US$8.00US$11.1110
Jul ’24US$9.34
US$11.70
+25.3%
24.8%US$17.00US$8.00US$10.6810
Jun ’24US$8.51
US$11.64
+36.7%
26.0%US$17.00US$8.00US$10.5711
May ’24US$9.55
US$17.91
+87.5%
22.9%US$28.00US$13.00US$11.9611
Apr ’24US$11.32
US$17.91
+58.2%
22.9%US$28.00US$13.00US$12.2111
Mar ’24US$11.67
US$17.91
+53.5%
22.9%US$28.00US$13.00US$13.5011
Feb ’24US$13.55
US$19.64
+44.9%
30.0%US$34.00US$12.00US$13.9711
Jan ’24US$10.44
US$20.73
+98.5%
27.2%US$34.00US$14.00US$14.8711
Dec ’23US$12.13
US$21.40
+76.4%
25.6%US$34.00US$14.00US$14.2810

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 06:38
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Upwork Inc. is covered by 16 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Nathaniel SchindlerBofA Global Research
Marvin FongBTIG
Maria RippsCanaccord Genuity