Science Applications International Corporation

NasdaqGS:SAIC Stock Report

Market Cap: US$6.6b

Science Applications International Valuation

Is SAIC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SAIC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SAIC ($129.47) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($216.92)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SAIC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SAIC?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

SAIC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA13.3x
PEG Ratio-1.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SAIC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SAIC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average31.4x
ULS UL Solutions
26.2xn/aUS$6.8b
FCN FTI Consulting
24.1x6.1%US$7.4b
CACI CACI International
23x9.8%US$9.0b
PSN Parsons
52.4x22.3%US$8.4b
SAIC Science Applications International
13.9x-8.8%US$6.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SAIC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.9x) compared to the peer average (31.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SAIC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Professional Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a18.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a18.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SAIC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.9x) compared to the US Professional Services industry average (26.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SAIC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SAIC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.9x
Fair PE Ratio19x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SAIC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SAIC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$129.47
US$137.51
+6.2%
7.3%US$155.00US$117.00n/a10
Apr ’25US$130.31
US$136.61
+4.8%
8.8%US$155.00US$108.00n/a10
Mar ’25US$140.81
US$135.87
-3.5%
7.8%US$155.00US$113.00n/a10
Feb ’25US$128.82
US$135.87
+5.5%
7.8%US$155.00US$113.00n/a10
Jan ’25US$124.32
US$133.89
+7.7%
9.7%US$155.00US$113.00n/a9
Dec ’24US$119.92
US$117.67
-1.9%
5.8%US$130.00US$106.00n/a9
Nov ’24US$109.76
US$117.67
+7.2%
5.8%US$130.00US$106.00n/a9
Oct ’24US$105.54
US$117.33
+11.2%
6.3%US$130.00US$103.00n/a9
Sep ’24US$119.02
US$116.44
-2.2%
6.5%US$130.00US$105.00n/a9
Aug ’24US$122.38
US$116.44
-4.9%
6.5%US$130.00US$105.00n/a9
Jul ’24US$112.48
US$114.44
+1.7%
5.6%US$127.00US$102.00n/a9
Jun ’24US$98.92
US$114.60
+15.9%
6.8%US$127.00US$97.00n/a10
May ’24US$103.17
US$115.89
+12.3%
6.8%US$127.00US$97.00n/a9
Apr ’24US$107.46
US$116.78
+8.7%
10.7%US$141.00US$90.00US$130.319
Mar ’24US$107.02
US$116.45
+8.8%
9.7%US$141.00US$90.00US$140.8111
Feb ’24US$103.74
US$116.45
+12.3%
9.7%US$141.00US$90.00US$128.8211
Jan ’24US$110.93
US$114.45
+3.2%
10.9%US$141.00US$94.00US$124.3211
Dec ’23US$109.66
US$102.78
-6.3%
10.2%US$120.00US$83.00US$119.929
Nov ’23US$108.44
US$102.78
-5.2%
10.2%US$120.00US$83.00US$109.769
Oct ’23US$88.43
US$102.67
+16.1%
10.5%US$120.00US$82.00US$105.549
Sep ’23US$94.00
US$102.67
+9.2%
10.5%US$120.00US$82.00US$119.029
Aug ’23US$96.48
US$102.67
+6.4%
10.2%US$120.00US$84.00US$122.389
Jul ’23US$94.94
US$102.67
+8.1%
10.2%US$120.00US$84.00US$112.489
Jun ’23US$86.42
US$101.10
+17.0%
9.4%US$115.00US$83.00US$98.9210
May ’23US$83.23
US$101.10
+21.5%
9.4%US$115.00US$83.00US$103.1710
Apr ’23US$92.77
US$101.00
+8.9%
9.6%US$115.00US$82.00US$107.4610

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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