Science Applications International Corporation

NasdaqGS:SAIC Stock Report

Market Cap: US$6.1b

Science Applications International Valuation

Is SAIC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SAIC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SAIC ($120.03) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($264.94)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SAIC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SAIC?

Key metric: As SAIC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SAIC. This is calculated by dividing SAIC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SAIC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.5x
EarningsUS$290.00m
Market CapUS$6.06b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SAIC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SAIC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28.5x
AMTM Amentum Holdings
21.6xn/aUS$6.1b
KBR KBR
24.3x22.9%US$7.8b
EXPO Exponent
45.8x4.7%US$4.9b
FCN FTI Consulting
22.2x6.0%US$6.9b
SAIC Science Applications International
20.5x10.2%US$6.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SAIC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.5x) compared to the peer average (28.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SAIC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Professional Services Industry?

10 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CNDT Conduent
1.4x-104.3%US$626.77m
CIH China Index Holdings
3.5xn/aUS$87.15m
ALJJ ALJ Regional Holdings
0.7xn/aUS$70.26m
STCN Steel Connect
2.9xn/aUS$62.85m
SAIC 20.5xIndustry Avg. 23.8xNo. of Companies17PE01632486480+
10 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SAIC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.5x) compared to the US Professional Services industry average (24.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SAIC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SAIC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.5x
Fair PE Ratio25.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SAIC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SAIC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$120.03
US$151.88
+26.5%
10.5%US$176.00US$124.00n/a8
Nov ’25US$144.67
US$151.88
+5.0%
10.5%US$176.00US$124.00n/a8
Oct ’25US$140.77
US$142.25
+1.1%
10.2%US$160.00US$118.00n/a8
Sep ’25US$130.59
US$132.44
+1.4%
8.5%US$155.00US$116.00n/a9
Aug ’25US$123.32
US$132.44
+7.4%
8.5%US$155.00US$116.00n/a9
Jul ’25US$115.77
US$133.89
+15.7%
8.5%US$155.00US$114.00n/a9
Jun ’25US$134.65
US$137.67
+2.2%
7.7%US$155.00US$117.00n/a9
May ’25US$128.96
US$137.51
+6.6%
7.3%US$155.00US$117.00n/a10
Apr ’25US$130.31
US$136.61
+4.8%
8.8%US$155.00US$108.00n/a10
Mar ’25US$140.81
US$135.87
-3.5%
7.8%US$155.00US$113.00n/a10
Feb ’25US$128.82
US$135.87
+5.5%
7.8%US$155.00US$113.00n/a10
Jan ’25US$124.32
US$133.89
+7.7%
9.7%US$155.00US$113.00n/a9
Dec ’24US$119.92
US$117.67
-1.9%
5.8%US$130.00US$106.00n/a9
Nov ’24US$109.76
US$117.67
+7.2%
5.8%US$130.00US$106.00US$144.679
Oct ’24US$105.54
US$117.33
+11.2%
6.3%US$130.00US$103.00US$140.779
Sep ’24US$119.02
US$116.44
-2.2%
6.5%US$130.00US$105.00US$130.599
Aug ’24US$122.38
US$116.44
-4.9%
6.5%US$130.00US$105.00US$123.329
Jul ’24US$112.48
US$114.44
+1.7%
5.6%US$127.00US$102.00US$115.779
Jun ’24US$98.92
US$114.60
+15.9%
6.8%US$127.00US$97.00US$134.6510
May ’24US$103.17
US$115.80
+12.2%
6.4%US$127.00US$97.00US$128.9610
Apr ’24US$107.46
US$116.60
+8.5%
10.2%US$141.00US$90.00US$130.3110
Mar ’24US$107.02
US$116.45
+8.8%
9.7%US$141.00US$90.00US$140.8111
Feb ’24US$103.74
US$116.45
+12.3%
9.7%US$141.00US$90.00US$128.8211
Jan ’24US$110.93
US$114.45
+3.2%
10.9%US$141.00US$94.00US$124.3211
Dec ’23US$109.66
US$102.78
-6.3%
10.2%US$120.00US$83.00US$119.929
Nov ’23US$108.44
US$102.78
-5.2%
10.2%US$120.00US$83.00US$109.769

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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