Paylocity Holding Corporation

NasdaqGS:PCTY Stock Report

Market Cap: US$10.9b

Paylocity Holding Valuation

Is PCTY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PCTY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PCTY ($195.28) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($196.42)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PCTY is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PCTY?

Key metric: As PCTY is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PCTY. This is calculated by dividing PCTY's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PCTY's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio49.1x
EarningsUS$221.82m
Market CapUS$10.86b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PCTY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PCTY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.8x
PAYC Paycom Software
26.1x2.4%US$12.1b
RHI Robert Half
25.9x17.3%US$7.2b
TNET TriNet Group
17.8x2.8%US$4.4b
KFY Korn Ferry
21.6x24.7%US$3.9b
PCTY Paylocity Holding
49.1x14.9%US$10.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PCTY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49.1x) compared to the peer average (22.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PCTY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Professional Services Industry?

10 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CNDT Conduent
1.3x-104.3%US$569.21m
CIH China Index Holdings
3.5xn/aUS$87.15m
ALJJ ALJ Regional Holdings
0.7xn/aUS$70.26m
STCN Steel Connect
3.2xn/aUS$62.29m
PCTY 49.1xIndustry Avg. 23.7xNo. of Companies16PE01632486480+
10 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PCTY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49.1x) compared to the US Professional Services industry average (23.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PCTY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PCTY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio49.1x
Fair PE Ratio30.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PCTY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PCTY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$195.28
US$201.32
+3.1%
8.6%US$250.00US$175.00n/a19
Nov ’25US$191.76
US$201.32
+5.0%
8.6%US$250.00US$175.00n/a19
Oct ’25US$162.87
US$182.32
+11.9%
12.8%US$250.00US$145.00n/a20
Sep ’25US$161.40
US$181.57
+12.5%
13.0%US$250.00US$145.00n/a20
Aug ’25US$148.23
US$181.62
+22.5%
13.7%US$250.00US$145.00n/a20
Jul ’25US$132.00
US$186.27
+41.1%
13.0%US$250.00US$145.00n/a20
Jun ’25US$142.17
US$194.52
+36.8%
10.0%US$250.00US$155.00n/a20
May ’25US$149.24
US$193.33
+29.5%
10.6%US$250.00US$155.00n/a21
Apr ’25US$167.70
US$192.61
+14.9%
11.1%US$250.00US$155.00n/a21
Mar ’25US$168.68
US$192.52
+14.1%
11.1%US$250.00US$155.00n/a21
Feb ’25US$160.00
US$202.59
+26.6%
14.4%US$280.00US$160.00n/a20
Jan ’25US$164.85
US$206.26
+25.1%
14.7%US$280.00US$160.00n/a19
Dec ’24US$159.88
US$204.95
+28.2%
14.8%US$280.00US$160.00n/a19
Nov ’24US$164.14
US$250.72
+52.7%
12.2%US$325.00US$210.00US$191.7618
Oct ’24US$181.70
US$253.47
+39.5%
12.0%US$325.00US$213.00US$162.8717
Sep ’24US$203.78
US$253.00
+24.2%
12.0%US$325.00US$213.00US$161.4018
Aug ’24US$226.54
US$251.67
+11.1%
12.8%US$325.00US$204.00US$148.2318
Jul ’24US$184.53
US$243.44
+31.9%
14.6%US$325.00US$199.00US$132.0018
Jun ’24US$171.23
US$243.00
+41.9%
14.8%US$325.00US$199.00US$142.1718
May ’24US$195.57
US$264.00
+35.0%
14.2%US$325.00US$210.00US$149.2417
Apr ’24US$198.78
US$268.76
+35.2%
13.1%US$325.00US$210.00US$167.7017
Mar ’24US$188.89
US$274.06
+45.1%
10.9%US$325.00US$210.00US$168.6817
Feb ’24US$219.52
US$264.18
+20.3%
12.9%US$325.00US$200.00US$160.0017
Jan ’24US$194.26
US$268.47
+38.2%
11.6%US$325.00US$200.00US$164.8517
Dec ’23US$223.37
US$270.24
+21.0%
11.0%US$325.00US$200.00US$159.8817
Nov ’23US$224.89
US$272.18
+21.0%
11.4%US$325.00US$200.00US$164.1417

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies