Stock Analysis

Paychex (NASDAQ:PAYX) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At $0.98

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NasdaqGS:PAYX

Paychex, Inc. (NASDAQ:PAYX) will increase its dividend on the 30th of May to $0.98, which is 10% higher than last year's payment from the same period of $0.89. This makes the dividend yield 3.0%, which is above the industry average.

View our latest analysis for Paychex

Paychex's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. The last payment made up 77% of earnings, but cash flows were much higher. Since the dividend is just paying out cash to shareholders, we care more about the cash payout ratio from which we can see plenty is being left over for reinvestment in the business.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 23.3% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along the course it has been charting recently, our estimates show the payout ratio being 70% which brings it into quite a comfortable range.

NasdaqGS:PAYX Historic Dividend May 4th 2024

Paychex Has A Solid Track Record

The company has a sustained record of paying dividends with very little fluctuation. Since 2014, the dividend has gone from $1.32 total annually to $3.56. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 10% per annum over that time. So, dividends have been growing pretty quickly, and even more impressively, they haven't experienced any notable falls during this period.

Dividend Growth Could Be Constrained

Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. It's encouraging to see that Paychex has been growing its earnings per share at 10% a year over the past five years. Past earnings growth has been decent, but unless this is one of those rare businesses that can grow without additional capital investment or marketing spend, we'd generally expect the higher payout ratio to limit its future growth prospects.

Our Thoughts On Paychex's Dividend

In summary, it's great to see that the company can raise the dividend and keep it in a sustainable range. The payments look pretty sustainable with good earnings coverage and a reasonable track record. This looks like it could be a good dividend stock going forward, but we would note that the payout ratio has been at higher levels in the past so it could happen again.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Companies that are growing earnings tend to be the best dividend stocks over the long term. See what the 17 analysts we track are forecasting for Paychex for free with public analyst estimates for the company. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.