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With A 27% Price Drop For Knightscope, Inc. (NASDAQ:KSCP) You'll Still Get What You Pay For
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Knightscope, Inc. (NASDAQ:KSCP) share price has dived 27% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 65% loss during that time.
Although its price has dipped substantially, when almost half of the companies in the United States' Commercial Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.3x, you may still consider Knightscope as a stock not worth researching with its 3.9x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for Knightscope
How Has Knightscope Performed Recently?
For instance, Knightscope's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Knightscope, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Knightscope's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Knightscope's to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 9.3%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 211% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 8.8% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this in consideration, it's not hard to understand why Knightscope's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the wider industry.
What Does Knightscope's P/S Mean For Investors?
A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Knightscope's very lofty P/S. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Knightscope maintains its high P/S on the strength of its recent three-year growth being higher than the wider industry forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential continued revenue growth in the future is great enough to warrant an inflated P/S. Barring any significant changes to the company's ability to make money, the share price should continue to be propped up.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 4 warning signs for Knightscope (3 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to be mindful of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Knightscope might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqCM:KSCP
Knightscope
Designs, develops, manufactures, markets, deploys, and supports autonomous security robots (ASR) in the United States.