Aqua Metals Valuation

Is AQMS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AQMS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AQMS ($0.55) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($13.21)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AQMS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AQMS?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

AQMS key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1952x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-2.7x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does AQMS's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for AQMS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28x
BNET Bion Environmental Technologies
13.1xn/aUS$47.0m
PGTK Pacific Green Technologies
1.4xn/aUS$23.6m
KARX Karbon-X
96.8xn/aUS$115.6m
TISI Team
0.7xn/aUS$32.2m
AQMS Aqua Metals
2.4x63.4%US$62.1m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: AQMS is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (2.4x) compared to the peer average (28x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AQMS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Commercial Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPB048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: AQMS is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (2.4x) compared to the US Commercial Services industry average (1.9x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AQMS's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AQMS PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio2.4x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AQMS's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AQMS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$0.55
US$3.00
+440.9%
33.3%US$4.00US$2.00n/a2
Apr ’25US$0.71
US$3.00
+324.2%
33.3%US$4.00US$2.00n/a2
Aug ’24US$1.34
US$5.00
+273.1%
20.0%US$6.00US$4.00n/a2
Jul ’24US$1.17
US$5.00
+327.4%
20.0%US$6.00US$4.00n/a2
Jun ’24US$1.06
US$5.00
+371.7%
20.0%US$6.00US$4.00n/a2
May ’24US$1.07
US$5.00
+367.3%
20.0%US$6.00US$4.00n/a2
Apr ’24US$1.00
US$5.00
+400.0%
20.0%US$6.00US$4.00US$0.712
Mar ’24US$1.12
US$5.00
+346.4%
20.0%US$6.00US$4.00US$0.492
Feb ’24US$1.20
US$5.00
+316.7%
20.0%US$6.00US$4.00US$0.602
Jan ’24US$1.25
US$5.00
+300.0%
20.0%US$6.00US$4.00US$0.762
Dec ’23US$0.74
US$5.00
+577.4%
20.0%US$6.00US$4.00US$0.872
Nov ’23US$0.86
US$5.50
+539.7%
27.3%US$7.00US$4.00US$0.842
Oct ’23US$0.76
US$5.50
+628.3%
27.3%US$7.00US$4.00US$1.132
Sep ’23US$0.86
US$5.50
+540.0%
27.3%US$7.00US$4.00US$1.132
Aug ’23US$0.94
US$5.50
+483.6%
27.3%US$7.00US$4.00US$1.342
Jul ’23US$0.83
US$5.50
+565.8%
27.3%US$7.00US$4.00US$1.172
Jun ’23US$0.82
US$5.50
+566.7%
27.3%US$7.00US$4.00US$1.062
May ’23US$0.96
US$5.50
+472.3%
27.3%US$7.00US$4.00US$1.072
Apr ’23US$1.56
US$7.50
+380.8%
6.7%US$8.00US$7.00US$1.002

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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