Stock Analysis

Aqua Metals (NASDAQ:AQMS) Is Carrying A Fair Bit Of Debt

NasdaqCM:AQMS
Source: Shutterstock

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Aqua Metals, Inc. (NASDAQ:AQMS) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Aqua Metals

What Is Aqua Metals's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2023 Aqua Metals had US$8.85m of debt, an increase on none, over one year. However, it does have US$3.36m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$5.49m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqCM:AQMS Debt to Equity History June 30th 2023

How Strong Is Aqua Metals' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Aqua Metals had liabilities of US$11.8m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$3.10m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$3.36m in cash and US$15.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast US$3.72m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus suggests that Aqua Metals has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Aqua Metals's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Given it has no significant operating revenue at the moment, shareholders will be hoping Aqua Metals can make progress and gain better traction for the business, before it runs low on cash.

Caveat Emptor

While Aqua Metals's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable US$16m at the EBIT level. Looking on the brighter side, the business has adequate liquid assets, which give it time to grow and develop before its debt becomes a near-term issue. Still, we'd be more encouraged to study the business in depth if it already had some free cash flow. So it seems too risky for our taste. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Aqua Metals (of which 2 are potentially serious!) you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.