Hensoldt Valuation

Is HNSD.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HNSD.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HNSD.F ($33.65) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($73.47)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HNSD.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HNSD.F?

Key metric: As HNSD.F is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for HNSD.F. This is calculated by dividing HNSD.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is HNSD.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2x
Sales€2.09b
Market Cap€4.23b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does HNSD.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for HNSD.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.5x
HXL Hexcel
2.6x8.0%US$5.0b
KTOS Kratos Defense & Security Solutions
3.6x10.2%US$4.0b
SPR Spirit AeroSystems Holdings
0.6x13.3%US$3.8b
AVAV AeroVironment
7.3x12.7%US$5.5b
HNSD.F Hensoldt
2x13.2%US$4.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: HNSD.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2x) compared to the peer average (3.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does HNSD.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Aerospace & Defense Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VVX V2X
0.5x5.2%US$1.92b
LLAP Terran Orbital
0.4x29.5%US$51.22m
SIF SIFCO Industries
0.2xn/aUS$24.78m
AIRI Air Industries Group
0.3x8.9%US$15.18m
HNSD.F 2.0xIndustry Avg. 2.6xNo. of Companies10PS0246810+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: HNSD.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2x) compared to the US Aerospace & Defense industry average (2.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HNSD.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HNSD.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate HNSD.F's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HNSD.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$41.12
0%
14.5%US$51.90US$28.60n/a9
Nov ’25n/a
US$41.98
0%
14.5%US$52.99US$29.20n/a9
Oct ’25US$34.70
US$42.86
+23.5%
14.6%US$54.56US$30.06n/a9
Sep ’25US$37.50
US$43.32
+15.5%
14.5%US$54.52US$30.04n/a9
Aug ’25n/a
US$42.16
0%
14.5%US$53.06US$29.24n/a9
Jul ’25n/a
US$41.22
0%
15.3%US$52.65US$29.01n/a8
Jun ’25US$41.68
US$41.22
-1.1%
15.3%US$52.65US$29.01n/a8
May ’25n/a
US$39.14
0%
15.2%US$46.66US$28.96n/a7
Apr ’25US$45.60
US$37.02
-18.8%
16.1%US$42.78US$25.99n/a6
Mar ’25n/a
US$34.56
0%
16.8%US$42.86US$26.04n/a6
Feb ’25n/a
US$32.13
0%
15.8%US$40.83US$25.99n/a6
Jan ’25n/a
US$32.35
0%
15.6%US$40.15US$25.83n/a6
Dec ’24n/a
US$34.65
0%
13.6%US$40.98US$26.36n/a7
Nov ’24n/a
US$33.79
0%
13.1%US$39.35US$26.37n/a7
Oct ’24n/a
US$35.41
0%
11.8%US$40.69US$27.27US$34.707
Sep ’24US$32.73
US$35.41
+8.2%
11.8%US$40.69US$27.27US$37.507
Aug ’24US$35.37
US$35.41
+0.1%
11.8%US$40.69US$27.27n/a7
Jul ’24n/a
US$35.10
0%
11.7%US$40.27US$26.99n/a7
Jun ’24US$31.15
US$37.18
+19.4%
6.0%US$40.43US$34.15US$41.686
May ’24n/a
US$36.17
0%
7.8%US$40.92US$31.82n/a6
Apr ’24US$36.79
US$32.97
-10.4%
6.5%US$36.45US$30.02US$45.606
Mar ’24US$32.75
US$31.91
-2.6%
6.6%US$35.87US$29.54n/a6
Feb ’24US$29.25
US$29.73
+1.6%
4.1%US$31.58US$27.55n/a6
Jan ’24n/a
US$28.67
0%
4.9%US$30.74US$26.82n/a6
Dec ’23US$23.10
US$28.69
+24.2%
8.5%US$33.34US$25.21n/a6
Nov ’23US$23.63
US$27.80
+17.7%
3.7%US$29.35US$26.42n/a6

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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