Bunzl Valuation

Is BZLF.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BZLF.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BZLF.F ($44.51) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($47.65)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BZLF.F is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BZLF.F?

Key metric: As BZLF.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BZLF.F. This is calculated by dividing BZLF.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BZLF.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio24x
EarningsUK£487.70m
Market CapUK£11.71b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BZLF.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BZLF.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.4x
WSO Watsco
43x11.5%US$20.8b
WCC WESCO International
16x9.1%US$10.2b
AIT Applied Industrial Technologies
27.4x5.2%US$10.5b
AER AerCap Holdings
7.2x-9.6%US$18.3b
BZLF.F Bunzl
24x7.0%US$11.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BZLF.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24x) compared to the peer average (23.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BZLF.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Trade Distributors Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BYU BAIYU Holdings
0.8xn/aUS$8.94m
No more companies available in this PE range
BZLF.F 24.0xIndustry Avg. 18.4xNo. of Companies6PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BZLF.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24x) compared to the US Trade Distributors industry average (18.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BZLF.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BZLF.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio24x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate BZLF.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BZLF.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$44.51
US$44.12
-0.9%
10.2%US$50.38US$35.27n/a16
Nov ’25n/a
US$45.26
0%
10.2%US$51.68US$36.18n/a16
Oct ’25US$46.50
US$45.27
-2.6%
9.7%US$52.65US$36.86n/a16
Sep ’25US$42.25
US$44.55
+5.4%
10.6%US$52.53US$34.14n/a16
Aug ’25n/a
US$41.69
0%
11.4%US$49.06US$33.57n/a17
Jul ’25n/a
US$40.40
0%
11.4%US$46.78US$32.87n/a17
Jun ’25n/a
US$39.58
0%
11.3%US$46.24US$32.49n/a17
May ’25US$38.50
US$39.46
+2.5%
11.4%US$46.12US$32.41n/a17
Apr ’25n/a
US$39.53
0%
11.4%US$46.42US$32.62n/a17
Mar ’25US$39.19
US$39.82
+1.6%
12.0%US$46.83US$31.64n/a16
Feb ’25n/a
US$38.80
0%
12.3%US$46.98US$31.75n/a15
Jan ’25US$40.17
US$38.09
-5.2%
12.0%US$45.46US$31.57n/a15
Dec ’24n/a
US$36.45
0%
11.8%US$43.75US$30.38n/a15
Nov ’24n/a
US$36.45
0%
11.8%US$43.75US$30.38n/a15
Oct ’24n/a
US$36.69
0%
12.3%US$44.57US$30.95US$46.5016
Sep ’24US$34.03
US$37.41
+9.9%
12.2%US$45.31US$31.46US$42.2517
Aug ’24n/a
US$39.19
0%
12.3%US$46.77US$32.48n/a18
Jul ’24n/a
US$38.58
0%
11.7%US$45.79US$31.80n/a18
Jun ’24n/a
US$38.33
0%
11.5%US$45.00US$31.19n/a19
May ’24n/a
US$37.83
0%
11.5%US$44.96US$30.78US$38.5018
Apr ’24n/a
US$37.15
0%
11.1%US$44.69US$30.60n/a17
Mar ’24n/a
US$35.80
0%
12.0%US$43.36US$28.12US$39.1918
Feb ’24n/a
US$36.22
0%
11.9%US$44.55US$28.90n/a18
Jan ’24n/a
US$35.49
0%
12.4%US$43.60US$27.20US$40.1719
Dec ’23n/a
US$34.84
0%
12.7%US$42.64US$26.60n/a19
Nov ’23n/a
US$33.72
0%
12.4%US$40.14US$25.80n/a19

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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