York Space Systems Future Growth
Future criteria checks 5/6
Yorkce Systems is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 104.9% and 27.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 74.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 5.3% in 3 years.
Key information
104.9%
Earnings growth rate
74.34%
EPS growth rate
| Aerospace & Defense earnings growth | 17.8% |
| Revenue growth rate | 27.2% |
| Future return on equity | 5.25% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 27 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
York Space: Coming Down Following A Busy Quarter
Summary York Space Systems trades at a lower sales multiple after a sharp share price pullback and a softer Q1 performance. Q1 revenue grew 9% to $116M, but adjusted EBITDA turned negative; backlog rose to $642M, supporting a strong book-to-bill ratio. York Space Systems maintained full-year revenue guidance of $545–$595M, but organic growth remains difficult to assess amid ongoing M&A activity. I remain cautious due to uncertain growth, lack of profitability, and reliance on acquisitions, despite more attractive valuation metrics. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Constellation Demand And Fixed Price Contracts Will Pressure Margins And Future Profitability
Catalysts About York Space Systems York Space Systems designs, manufactures and operates standardized satellite platforms and end to end mission services for government and commercial customers. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Proliferated Low Earth Orbit Demand Will Support Long Term Mission Services Upside
Catalysts About York Space Systems York Space Systems designs, manufactures and operates satellites and end to end mission services for U.S. government and commercial customers. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
National Security Space Spending And Vertical Integration Will Reshape This Satellite Constellation Leader
Catalysts About York Space Systems York Space Systems designs, manufactures and operates satellite constellations and mission services for U.S. government and commercial customers. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 1,099 | 138 | 127 | 155 | 7 |
| 12/31/2027 | 863 | 73 | 287 | 307 | 9 |
| 12/31/2026 | 557 | -104 | 24 | 45 | 9 |
| 3/31/2026 | 396 | -249 | -136 | -126 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 386 | -85 | -130 | -121 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 357 | -91 | -29 | -21 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 254 | -99 | 14 | 32 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 238 | -30 | -3 | 16 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: YSS is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: YSS is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: YSS is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: YSS's revenue (27.2% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (12.7% per year).
High Growth Revenue: YSS's revenue (27.2% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: YSS's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (5.3%).
Discover growth companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/25 09:06 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/25 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
|
| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
|
* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
York Space Systems, Inc. is covered by 11 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Peter Arment | Baird |
| Austin Moeller | Canaccord Genuity |
| John Godyn | Citigroup Inc |