Stock Analysis

Textron's (NYSE:TXT) Returns Have Hit A Wall

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NYSE:TXT

If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after investigating Textron (NYSE:TXT), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Textron:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.11 = US$1.3b ÷ (US$16b - US$4.4b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

Therefore, Textron has an ROCE of 11%. That's a relatively normal return on capital, and it's around the 9.6% generated by the Aerospace & Defense industry.

See our latest analysis for Textron

NYSE:TXT Return on Capital Employed July 15th 2024

In the above chart we have measured Textron's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Textron .

The Trend Of ROCE

There hasn't been much to report for Textron's returns and its level of capital employed because both metrics have been steady for the past five years. It's not uncommon to see this when looking at a mature and stable business that isn't re-investing its earnings because it has likely passed that phase of the business cycle. So don't be surprised if Textron doesn't end up being a multi-bagger in a few years time.

The Bottom Line On Textron's ROCE

In a nutshell, Textron has been trudging along with the same returns from the same amount of capital over the last five years. Since the stock has gained an impressive 80% over the last five years, investors must think there's better things to come. Ultimately, if the underlying trends persist, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger going forward.

If you'd like to know about the risks facing Textron, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.

While Textron may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Textron might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.