Textron Inc.

NYSE:TXT Stock Report

Market Cap: US$15.4b

Textron Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Textron is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 6.6% and 3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 9.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 14.5% in 3 years.

Key information

6.6%

Earnings growth rate

9.46%

EPS growth rate

Aerospace & Defense earnings growth18.9%
Revenue growth rate3.0%
Future return on equity14.49%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated18 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • May 05

TXT: Fair View Will Balance EPS Volatility With Post Separation Margin Execution

Analysts lifted Textron's fair value estimate by $1 to $90, citing recent price target increases across several firms and updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. These changes keep the overall outlook intact while making it more finely tuned.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 26

Textron: Not My Favorite Aerospace And Defense Stock, But It Is A Strong Buy Now

Summary Textron is upgraded to strong buy, with the stock trading at a substantial discount to its median EV/EBITDA multiple. TXT's recent underperformance is attributed to geopolitical tensions, but revenue and EPS estimates have remained largely resilient. Despite modest 4.2% annual sales growth, I expect EBITDA and free cash flow CAGRs of around 10%, with margin improvement and debt reduction. TXT offers 28% upside to a $112.43 price target on current-year earnings, and up to 47% upside using 2027 estimates. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Apr 19

TXT: Fair View Will Weigh Mixed EPS Delivery Against 2026 Margin Execution

Textron's updated analyst price target has been adjusted by a small amount in recent weeks as analysts weigh mixed target revisions, along with shifts in discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin expectations, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Textron points to a mixed setup, with some firms lifting price targets while others trim them or initiate with more muted views.
Narrative Update • Apr 05

TXT: Cost Execution And Sector Momentum Will Support Future EPS Rebound

Textron's updated analyst price target edges slightly lower, reflecting refined fair value and discount rate assumptions as analysts balance modestly higher revenue growth expectations with steady margins and a similar forward P/E framework. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage on Textron shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting price targets around earnings outcomes, sector views, and margin trends.
Narrative Update • Mar 22

TXT: Higher Multiple And Ongoing Buybacks Are Expected To Support Repricing

Textron's updated narrative keeps fair value steady at $115, while analysts point to a series of higher price targets, including moves to $108, $107 and $115. These targets are backed by views that recent earnings-related share weakness was an overreaction and that recent filings and margin trends support their revised assumptions.
Narrative Update • Mar 07

TXT: Higher Multiple And Buybacks Will Support Repricing Over Coming Years

The analyst price target for Textron has been updated to $115 from $103.43 as analysts factor in recent price target increases across the Street, along with modest adjustments to growth, margins, and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are generally treating the latest round of price target moves as a reset higher, supported by updated filings, sector work, and a closer read of Textron's recent results and positioning.
Narrative Update • Feb 21

TXT: Fair Outlook Will Balance Mixed EPS Execution And Sector Momentum Tailwinds

The analyst price target for Textron edges up slightly as analysts factor in a series of recent target lifts toward the $100 plus range and incorporate updated views on margins, revenue growth and valuation multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Textron clusters around a higher target range above $100, with analysts weighing solid reported revenue against mixed earnings and sector level views.
Narrative Update • Feb 07

TXT: Fair View Will Balance Mixed Sector Outlook With 2026 Execution Risk

We are lifting our Textron fair value estimate to $89 from $86, as analysts adjust price targets and forecasts in response to updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations across recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Textron shows a wide range of price targets, with some firms moving higher and others stepping back.
Narrative Update • Jan 24

TXT: Fair Outlook Will Balance Higher Sector Optimism And Aviation Execution Risk

Analysts have lifted their blended fair value estimate for Textron by about US$5 to roughly US$98, citing updated sector work that includes higher price targets from several firms and modest tweaks to long term P/E and margin assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Textron has tilted more positive overall, with several firms lifting price targets and only one trimming expectations.
Narrative Update • Jan 10

TXT: Fair Outlook Will Balance Aerospace Demand Strength And Aviation Execution Risk

Analysts have raised their price target on Textron by about $0.77 to roughly $93.34, reflecting updated views on fair value, discount rate, and long-term P/E assumptions following recent research that included both upward and downward target revisions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Textron reflects a mix of optimism about the sector backdrop and caution around company specific execution, which helps explain the relatively modest move in the average price target to about $93.34.
Narrative Update • Dec 26

TXT: Fair View Will Weigh Softer Aviation Outlook Against Long-Term Prospects

Analysts have modestly reduced their price target on Textron, trimming it by $2 to reflect slightly lower aviation estimates following recent earnings and a marginally higher assumed future valuation multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary reflects a more cautious stance on Textron, with at least one major firm lowering its price target and underscoring execution risks in the aviation segment.
Narrative Update • Dec 12

TXT: Fair View Will Balance Higher Long-Term Prospects And Near-Term Aviation Headwinds

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Textron from $73.00 to $86.00 per share, citing slightly higher long term revenue growth assumptions and a richer future earnings multiple, even as near term aviation estimates have been reduced following recent results. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a more cautious stance on Textron, with at least one major firm trimming its price target and reinforcing a Neutral view after the latest earnings update.
Analysis Article • Sep 08

Investors Will Want Textron's (NYSE:TXT) Growth In ROCE To Persist

To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Firstly, we'll want to...
Analysis Article • Jul 21

Textron (NYSE:TXT) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Analysis Article • Jul 06

Is There An Opportunity With Textron Inc.'s (NYSE:TXT) 40% Undervaluation?

Key Insights Textron's estimated fair value is US$137 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Textron is estimated to...
Analysis Article • Jun 22

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Textron Inc. (NYSE:TXT)?

Textron Inc. ( NYSE:TXT ) led the NYSE gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks...
Seeking Alpha • Apr 22

Textron: High Risk Of Underperformance, But Also Potential For Big Upside

Summary Textron has underperformed the S&P 500 and Aerospace ETF over the past decade, with a minimal dividend yield of 0.12%. Despite risks, Textron has opportunities like the NetJets agreement and FLRAA program, though margins face pressure from labor and material costs. Analysts expect Q1 revenues to rise by 3.8%, but EPS estimates have been revised down by 15.5% over the past three months. Despite poor stock performance and low dividend yield, Textron has substantial upside potential, supporting a buy rating with a price target of $98.26. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 04

Textron: A Quality Company Ready For Takeoff

Summary Textron Inc. is undervalued, despite promising medium-term growth prospects and strong cash generation, trading at a significant discount to historical and sector averages. The company has stable profitability, a strong balance sheet, and has effectively used excess cash for share buybacks and debt reduction. Recent financials show disruptions due to a union strike and softness in the Industrial segment, but management's guidance indicates robust future growth. With higher expected growth rates and trading below historical and sector PE averages, TXT presents a compelling buy opportunity with potential upside of over 30%. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 09

Textron: Buy This Overlooked Aviation, Defense, And Industrial Conglomerate

Summary Textron Inc. is a mid-cap blend conglomerate, undervalued and overlooked, offering a potential shelter from overpriced tech stocks, with strong brand awareness. Textron's diverse revenue streams include aviation, helicopters, industrial products, and defense systems, with significant backlogs and promising future contracts like the FLRAA project. Textron's financial health is solid, with a BBB credit rating, consistent share buybacks, and steady debt reduction, supporting long-term EPS growth. Trading at $76.90 with a forward PE of 13x, TXT is rated a Buy for its 20-30% potential gain and 14-15% annual return. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 30

Textron Fails To Impress, But Long-Term Growth Still Holds Promise

Summary Textron's Q2 revenue grew by 3%, but missed estimates, while EPS beat expectations due to share repurchases, despite a decline in net income. Aviation and Bell segments showed strong performance, but the Industrial segment's decline significantly offset overall gains, raising concerns about its impact on the business. Significant backlogs in Aviation, Bell, and Systems present opportunities, but supply chain inefficiencies and a potential strike pose risks. Despite challenges, Textron's stock has upside potential, driven by share repurchases and undervaluation compared to peers, though it lacks a meaningful dividend. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 20

Textron: The Share Price Hasn't Reached Cruising Altitude, Maintain Buy

Summary Textron's Aviation and Bell segments achieved decent revenue growth, up by 10% and 13% YoY, respectively, despite ongoing supply chain delays. Nonetheless, revenue in the industrial segment fell by 11%, with profit dropping nearly 47% YoY in this segment. Weak demand in automotive and consumer goods is likely to persist. Key risks include reliance on US government contracts and ongoing development costs in the eAviation segment. Despite headwinds and lack of insider buying, Textron's strong growth, with several milestones achieved during the second quarter and good fundamentals, led to my buy rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jul 03

Textron Cruising With A Healthy Backlog, But Turbulence Seems All But Inevitable

Summary Textron is in a tricky place today, as the bizjet cycle is likely past its peak, the FLRAA win is some distance from full production, and macroeconomic headwinds pressure Industrial. The FLRAA contract win was crucial for Bell's viability, and there's significant upside from potential add-orders and/or foreign sales, but it's tough to model given long timelines and order uncertainty. Bizjet orders remain healthy, but more moderate expectations are advised as the segment faces a potential cyclical downturn and macro pressures. Long-term revenue growth around 6% and improving margins/FCF generation can support a fair value in the $90's, but I'd like more upside given the potential business risks and headwinds. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:TXT - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202816,6101,1431,2011,61613
12/31/202716,1961,0689261,52517
12/31/202615,5929877131,34217
4/4/202615,1889368591,319N/A
1/3/202614,7999239291,312N/A
9/27/202514,2378286951,058N/A
6/28/202514,062816559917N/A
3/29/202513,873831543897N/A
12/28/202413,7028256501,014N/A
9/28/202413,9818837281,117N/A
6/29/202413,8979297701,167N/A
3/30/202413,7949326901,096N/A
12/30/202313,6839228641,266N/A
9/30/202313,4279498581,244N/A
7/1/202313,1629059491,334N/A
4/1/202312,8928601,0421,410N/A
12/31/202212,8698621,1341,488N/A
10/1/202212,5558431,0231,386N/A
7/2/202212,4678031,0781,439N/A
4/2/202212,5047691,2881,658N/A
1/1/202212,3827471,2231,598N/A
10/2/202112,7277761,3721,742N/A
7/3/202112,4727061,3431,692N/A
4/3/202111,7534301,0241,344N/A
1/2/202111,651309451768N/A
10/3/202012,019272716990N/A
7/4/202012,543377623923N/A
4/4/202013,298686505835N/A
1/4/202013,630815N/A1,014N/A
9/28/201913,345862N/A634N/A
6/29/201913,2861,205N/A649N/A
3/30/201913,7851,212N/A976N/A
12/29/201813,9721,222N/A1,107N/A
9/29/201814,239870N/A1,291N/A
6/30/201814,523466N/A1,089N/A
3/31/201814,401395N/A1,067N/A
12/30/201714,198306N/A936N/A
9/30/201714,006627N/A1,210N/A
7/1/201713,773767N/A1,287N/A
4/1/201713,680792N/A946N/A
12/31/201613,788843N/A925N/A
10/1/201613,886853N/A818N/A
7/2/201613,815730N/A857N/A
4/2/201613,551721N/A961N/A
1/2/201613,423698N/A1,090N/A
10/3/201513,596686N/A1,057N/A
7/4/201513,846670N/A1,059N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: TXT's forecast earnings growth (6.6% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: TXT's earnings (6.6% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (16.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: TXT's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: TXT's revenue (3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: TXT's revenue (3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: TXT's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (14.5%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/18 23:16
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/18 00:00
Earnings2026/04/04
Annual Earnings2026/01/03

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Textron Inc. is covered by 29 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullAlembic Global Advisors
null nullArgus Research Company
Peter ArmentBaird