A Look at T1 Energy’s Valuation Following Equity Offerings and 2025 Production Guidance Announcements

T1 Energy (NYSE:TE) has been in the spotlight after revealing two follow-on equity offerings totaling over $120 million. In addition, updated 2025 production guidance gives investors plenty to consider regarding the company’s next phase.

See our latest analysis for T1 Energy.

T1 Energy’s flurry of capital raises and fresh production targets has clearly caught investors’ attention, with the company’s share price rising 46% over the past month and 222% in the last 90 days. While recent moves generated a burst of momentum, T1’s one-year total shareholder return of 134% highlights a significant comeback. However, long-term holders are still underwater over three and five years. For many, this signals growing optimism around the turnaround story and shifting risk perceptions as fresh capital and strategic updates take shape.

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But with such a sharp rally and new capital in play, does the current price give investors a rare chance to buy at a discount? Or has the market already factored in all the company’s future growth?

Most Popular Narrative: 37% Undervalued

With T1 Energy closing at $4.09 and the most widely followed narrative assigning a fair value of $6.50, market optimism is running well ahead of last quarter’s skepticism. This divergence sets the stage for a closer look at bold assumptions behind the new consensus.

The acceleration of domestic supply chain integration and the Corning partnership enable T1 to offer high U.S.-content, FEOC-compliant modules. This differentiates the company from competitors and allows customers to access valuable investment tax credits, which is expected to drive greater market share and revenue reliability through long-term contracts.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to understand what’s fueling this major shift in value? The defining factor in this narrative is a future profit turnaround and aggressive revenue ramp that few expected. Curious how these numbers could justify today’s optimism? Dig deeper to reveal the projections the market is buzzing about.

Result: Fair Value of $6.50 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, substantial reliance on U.S. policy incentives and ongoing capital demands could challenge T1 Energy’s ambitious growth outlook if market or regulatory conditions shift.

Find out about the key risks to this T1 Energy narrative.

Build Your Own T1 Energy Narrative

If you have a different take on T1 Energy’s outlook or want to dig into the numbers independently, creating your own perspective takes just minutes. Do it your way.

A great starting point for your T1 Energy research is our analysis highlighting 1 key reward and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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