Stock Analysis

Would Redwire (NYSE:RDW) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

Published
NYSE:RDW

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Redwire Corporation (NYSE:RDW) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Redwire

What Is Redwire's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Redwire had US$95.4m of debt, up from US$75.8m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$30.8m, its net debt is less, at about US$64.6m.

NYSE:RDW Debt to Equity History November 2nd 2024

How Healthy Is Redwire's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Redwire had liabilities of US$107.3m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$122.5m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$30.8m and US$65.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$133.4m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Redwire is worth US$511.7m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Redwire can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

In the last year Redwire wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 40%, to US$292m. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.

Caveat Emptor

Even though Redwire managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. Indeed, it lost US$20m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled US$4.1m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So to be blunt we think it is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Redwire that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.