QXO Future Growth
Future criteria checks 5/6
QXO is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 67.2% and 25% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 67.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.7% in 3 years.
Key information
67.2%
Earnings growth rate
67.58%
EPS growth rate
| Trade Distributors earnings growth | 14.0% |
| Revenue growth rate | 25.0% |
| Future return on equity | 9.72% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 23 Jul 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
QXO's Roll-Up´s fair value is around $32 based on $40B revenue by 2031 but subject to great execution
July 21, 2026 | Price: ~$14.40 | Follow-up to my pre-TopBuild memo (basis $21.20) - Base case: QXO grows from $18.1B pro-forma revenue to $36B by 2030 (~$40B in 2031) — 3% organic plus FCF-funded tuck-ins, no new equity — while EBITDA margin transforms from 11.8% pro-forma to 12.5% ($4.5B EBITDA) via TopBuild's 18% installation mix plus the $300M procurement/pricing synergy program. That yields ~$2.05 EPS on ~1.16B diluted shares after the Series C converts at $23.25.QXO Just Finished Building The Machine, And The Market Sold The News
Summary QXO, Inc. has completed its $17B TopBuild acquisition, creating an $18B revenue platform with nationwide reach. Despite integration risks and near-term losses, QXO trades below its acquisition price for TopBuild, presenting a compelling long-term value opportunity. Management targets $4B organic EBITDA by 2030, with a clear blueprint for procurement synergies, technology rollout, and cross-selling across its diversified portfolio. Leverage and execution risks exist, but QXO’s scale, technology investments, and proven leadership underpin confidence in achieving mid-teens EBITDA margins by 2030. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaQXO, Inc. (NYSE:QXO) Just Released Its First-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates
Last week, you might have seen that QXO, Inc. ( NYSE:QXO ) released its quarterly result to the market. The early...QXO aims for $24B revenue by 2031 with AI-driven margin expansion (Priced for good execution)
Target Entry Point: Under $17 QXO represents a disciplined M&A consolidation play in the $800B building products distribution market, led by Brad Jacobs — the most proven serial acquirer in modern industrial history (300x cumulative returns across four prior platforms, ~500 acquisitions). The company has built a $1B+ EBITDA run-rate in under 10 months by acquiring Beacon Roofing Supply ($11B) and Kodiak Building Partners ($2.25B), creating the largest publicly traded building products distributor in North America.QXO, Inc. (NYSE:QXO) Looks Just Right With A 34% Price Jump
QXO, Inc. ( NYSE:QXO ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 34% after a shaky period beforehand. The last...QXO: An Intriguing Pivot That May Not Be Plain Sailing
Summary QXO, formerly SilverSun Technologies, has underperformed in 2025, dropping 16% YTD, even as it looks to build a name in the building products distribution industry. While the jury is out on the value that M&A adds to a business, we see some merit in QXO's strategy of building scale. QXO is poised to deliver exceptional revenue growth through the next few years, and for the level of revenue growth on offer, the P/S multiple looks very cheap. We also touch upon some of the dicey sub-plots associated with QXO. QXO won't appeal to momentum players, but there are signs of bearish momentum abating on the larger time frame. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaQXO: An Under-The-Radar Company Set To Disrupt A $800 Billion Industry
Summary QXO Inc. aims to disrupt the $800 billion building products distribution industry through acquisitions and technology, enhancing efficiency and customer experience. Led by Brad Jacobs, QXO has raised over $4 billion, positioning itself for strategic acquisitions and technological advancements in the industry. QXO's strategy focuses on e-commerce, logistics, and data analytics to streamline operations and drive growth in the fragmented building products market. Despite significant shareholder dilution and operational losses, QXO's substantial cash reserves and strategic acquisitions present a potential "special situation" investment opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaEarnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 24,199 | 436 | 1,509 | 1,963 | 10 |
| 12/31/2027 | 19,391 | 0 | 1,126 | 1,320 | 13 |
| 12/31/2026 | 14,154 | -366 | 492 | 849 | 14 |
| 3/31/2026 | 8,559 | -632 | 195 | 296 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 6,842 | -388 | 183 | 261 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 4,663 | -279 | 80 | 129 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 1,948 | -114 | -71 | -52 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 56 | -37 | 121 | 121 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 57 | -23 | 85 | 85 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 57 | -11 | 31 | 31 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 57 | -8 | 0 | 0 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 56 | -1 | 2 | 2 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 55 | -1 | 0 | 1 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 52 | -2 | 2 | 2 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 50 | 0 | 2 | 2 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 47 | 0 | 1 | 1 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 45 | 0 | 2 | 2 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 43 | -1 | 1 | 1 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 42 | -1 | 1 | 1 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 42 | -1 | 1 | 1 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 43 | 1 | 2 | 2 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 43 | 1 | 1 | 1 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 42 | 1 | 1 | 2 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 41 | 0 | 2 | 2 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 40 | -1 | 0 | 0 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 39 | -2 | 0 | 0 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 39 | -1 | N/A | 0 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 38 | -2 | N/A | 0 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 38 | -1 | N/A | 1 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 36 | -1 | N/A | 1 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 36 | -1 | N/A | 1 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 35 | -2 | N/A | 2 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 35 | -1 | N/A | 1 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 36 | -1 | N/A | 2 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 35 | 0 | N/A | 2 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 34 | 1 | N/A | 1 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 34 | 3 | N/A | 2 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 34 | 4 | N/A | 2 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 34 | 3 | N/A | 2 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 34 | 3 | N/A | 2 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 32 | 0 | N/A | 0 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 29 | 0 | N/A | 0 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 28 | 0 | N/A | 0 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 25 | 0 | N/A | 0 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: QXO is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: QXO is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: QXO is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: QXO's revenue (25% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (12.6% per year).
High Growth Revenue: QXO's revenue (25% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: QXO's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.7%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/07/27 04:40 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/07/24 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
QXO, Inc. is covered by 17 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| David Manthey | Baird |
| Reuben Garner | Benchmark Company |
| Seth Weber | BNP Paribas |