Owens Corning Future Growth
Future criteria checks 4/6
Owens Corning is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 113.8% and 3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 82.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 23.9% in 3 years.
Key information
113.8%
Earnings growth rate
82.27%
EPS growth rate
| Building earnings growth | 20.1% |
| Revenue growth rate | 3.0% |
| Future return on equity | 23.87% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 07 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Apr 23
OC: Q4 2026 Guidance And Completed Buybacks Will Support Undervalued Upside
Analysts have trimmed their Owens Corning price target by about $4 to $137.75, citing updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E, which collectively point to a slightly more conservative fair value outlook. What's in the News Owens Corning issued earnings guidance for the fourth quarter of 2026, with revenue from continuing operations expected in a range of $2.1b to $2.2b (company guidance).Narrative Update • Apr 09
OC: Q4 2026 Guidance And Completed Buybacks Will Support Undervalued Upside
The analyst price target for Owens Corning has edged down slightly from $142.00 to about $141.81, as analysts factor in updated assumptions around the discount rate, profit margin, and future P/E levels. What's in the News From October 1, 2025 to December 31, 2025, Owens Corning repurchased 2,138,345 shares, described as 2.6% of shares, for a total of $230.06 million under the buyback announced on December 2, 2022 (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Mar 26
OC: Q4 2026 Guidance And Completed Buybacks Will Support Undervalued Upside
Analysts maintained their Owens Corning fair value estimate at $142, making only slight adjustments to inputs such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E, which fine-tune rather than reshape their overall outlook. What's in the News Owens Corning issued earnings guidance for the fourth quarter of 2026, expecting revenue from continuing operations of about $2.1b to $2.2b (company guidance).Narrative Update • Mar 11
OC: Q4 2026 Outlook And Modest Assumption Shifts Will Support Returns
Analysts have modestly lifted their fair value estimate for Owens Corning from $137.69 to $142.00, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Owens Corning issued earnings guidance for the fourth quarter of 2026, focusing on revenue from continuing operations.Seeking Alpha • Mar 09
Owens Corning: Fairly Valued, But Not Yet Out Of The Woods
Summary Owens Corning (OC) remains a hold, as the stock is fairly valued but faces an uninspiring near-term outlook amid ongoing industry headwinds. The US residential market which accounts for 70% of OC's topline is not yet showing signs of a turnaround. OC’s EBITDA margins are expected to remain pressured, with consensus projecting only a modest recovery to 21.3% by FY27, still below last year's levels. OC offers a robust capital return program — $1B in planned shareholder returns and a 2.88% forward yield which is better than what the industry offers. After a false breakout, OC is showing signs of momentum loss again, but is also trading close to a potential pivot point. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Feb 25
OC: Higher Dividend And Steady Assumptions Will Support Future Returns
Analysts have raised their price target on Owens Corning by about $0.63 to roughly $138, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, profitability and future P/E, even without new Street research since the last review. What's in the News Owens Corning's Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.79 per common share.Narrative Update • Feb 10
OC: Higher Dividend And Slight Assumption Shifts Will Support Steady Returns
Analysts have inched their price target on Owens Corning slightly lower to about US$137.06 from roughly US$137.13, reflecting small tweaks to assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E estimates. What's in the News Owens Corning's Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of US$0.79 per common share.Narrative Update • Jan 26
OC: Dividend Hike And Buybacks Will Offset Impairment As Returns Stabilize
Analysts have nudged their price target on Owens Corning higher to about US$137.13 from roughly US$136.94, reflecting slightly updated views on fair value, discount rate, revenue expectations, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Board declares a quarterly cash dividend of US$0.79 per common share, a 15% increase compared to the prior quarterly dividend.Narrative Update • Jan 12
OC: Shares Will Rise As Higher Dividend And Buybacks Support Future Returns
Narrative Update on Owens Corning Analysts have adjusted their price target on Owens Corning to US$136.94 from US$140.56, citing updated assumptions around slightly softer revenue trends, a lower profit margin outlook at 18.68%, and a future P/E of 6.70. What's in the News The Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of US$0.79 per common share, a 15% increase compared to the prior quarterly dividend.Narrative Update • Dec 19
OC: Shares Will Rise As Dividend And Buybacks Offset Impairment
Analysts have nudged their price target on Owens Corning slightly lower to approximately $140.56 from about $140.63, reflecting modestly softer long term revenue and margin assumptions that are only partly offset by a slightly lower discount rate and a marginally higher future valuation multiple. What's in the News The Board of Directors approved a 15% increase in the quarterly cash dividend to $0.79 per share, payable January 21, 2026, to shareholders of record on January 5, 2026 (company announcement).Analysis Article • Dec 08
Owens Corning (NYSE:OC) Is Increasing Its Dividend To $0.79
Owens Corning's ( NYSE:OC ) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to $0.79 on 21st of...Narrative Update • Dec 05
OC: Shares Will Rise As Dividend Hike And Buybacks Support Expansion
Analysts have modestly reduced their price target on Owens Corning to approximately $140.63 from about $140.88, reflecting slightly lower long term profit margin assumptions and a marginally higher forward valuation multiple, despite a small improvement in the discount rate. What's in the News The Board approved a 15% increase in the quarterly dividend to $0.79 per share, payable January 21, 2026, signaling confidence in ongoing cash generation (dividend announcement).Narrative Update • Nov 21
OC: Shares Will Advance as Manufacturing Expansion Drives Future Opportunity
Analysts have revised their price target for Owens Corning downward from $152.56 to $140.88. They cite updated expectations for lower profit margins and modestly weaker revenue growth.Narrative Update • Nov 07
OC: Shares Will Gain Momentum as Margin Expansion Is Projected
Analysts have reduced their price target for Owens Corning from $167.31 to $152.56. They cite a higher discount rate, a projection for lower revenue growth, stronger expected profit margins, and a lower future price-to-earnings ratio.Narrative Update • Oct 23
Analysts Lower Owens Corning Price Target as Valuation Slips Amid New Developments
Analysts have revised Owens Corning's fair value downward, lowering their price target from $174.07 to $167.31. They cite minor adjustments to growth and margin expectations.Narrative Update • Oct 09
Sustainable Construction Trends Will Spur Resilient Building Demand
Narrative Update on Owens Corning Analyst Price Target Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value estimate for Owens Corning from $175.93 to $174.07, citing more conservative forecasts for future growth and profit margins. What's in the News Owens Corning has chosen Prattville, Alabama as the site for a new shingle manufacturing plant.Narrative Update • Sep 04
Sustainable Construction Trends Will Spur Resilient Building Demand
As the analyst reasoning is unavailable and both the discount rate and future P/E remain unchanged, key valuation inputs for Owens Corning are stable, leaving the consensus analyst price target effectively unchanged at $175.93. What's in the News The company did not repurchase any shares under the buyback announced on May 14, 2025.Analysis Article • Aug 14
Investors Can Find Comfort In Owens Corning's (NYSE:OC) Earnings Quality
NYSE:OC 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Owens Corning's Fair Values from the Community and select yours...Analysis Article • Jul 01
What Does Owens Corning's (NYSE:OC) Share Price Indicate?
Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Owens Corning ( NYSE:OC ). The company's stock received a lot...Seeking Alpha • Feb 26
Owens Corning Q4: In Continued Transition
Summary Owens Corning's strategic focus on ESG, insulation, and energy transition, along with the Masonite acquisition, provides a solid growth platform despite current market challenges. The company reported 2024 sales of $10.98 billion, with adjusted earnings of $15.91 per share, but GAAP earnings were significantly lower due to various charges. Despite a reasonable valuation at 10 times adjusted earnings and reduced leverage, the lack of organic growth and high margins limit near-term earnings growth potential. The sale of the glass reinforcement business and cautious 2025 outlook, including soft construction activity and tariff impacts, raise small concerns. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 05
Owens Corning: Steady Post The Masonite Deal
Summary Owens Corning's transformation focusing on ESG, insulation, and energy transition has driven significant advancements, including the strategic acquisition of Masonite to boost earnings growth. The company is on track to earn $16 per share in 2024, aided by the purchase of door manufacturer Masonite. The company's high margins and strategic buybacks, alongside a 15% dividend increase, underscore its strong financial health and investor returns. With a current earnings multiple of 9-10 times and ongoing business diversification, I remain optimistic about Owens Corning's long-term growth and market re-rating potential even if margin pressure arrives. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 18
Owens Corning: Balanced Prospects Amid Fair Valuation
Summary Owens Corning's strong market position and pricing power are bolstered by strategic acquisitions like Masonite and a focus on energy-efficient building materials. Financially, the company faces higher debt levels and margin pressures, but maintains a strong balance sheet and sufficient free cash flow for dividends and share repurchases. Despite current market challenges, the DCF model indicates OC stock is slightly undervalued, with a price target of $202.24, contingent on Masonite acquisition synergies and European market recovery. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Aug 22
Masonite Acquisition And Critical Investments Poised To Accelerate Growth And Value
The acquisition of Masonite is set to significantly increase Owens Corning's footprint in the residential building sector, aiming for enhanced revenue growth through market expansion.Seeking Alpha • Aug 13
Owens Corning Price Dips, While Acquisition Will Generate Growth
Summary Owens Corning is undervalued at $157.03, with a one-year target price of $186.46. Recent acquisition of Masonite is expected to boost revenue by 30.16% to $12.6 billion in 2025. Strong financial performance, with a dividend CAGR of 21.48% and solid growth potential in the building materials industry. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaEarnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 10,795 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 5 |
| 12/31/2027 | 10,242 | 882 | 871 | 1,546 | 17 |
| 12/31/2026 | 9,915 | 615 | 706 | 1,462 | 15 |
| 3/31/2026 | 9,838 | -405 | 827 | 1,681 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 10,103 | -188 | 962 | 1,786 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 11,659 | -80 | 1,108 | 1,872 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 11,738 | 702 | 914 | 1,653 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 11,488 | 624 | 1,121 | 1,819 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 9,851 | 947 | 1,245 | 1,892 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 9,581 | 952 | 1,328 | 1,914 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 9,297 | 1,002 | 1,351 | 1,906 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 9,363 | 1,091 | 1,387 | 1,907 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 8,372 | 1,064 | 1,193 | 1,719 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 9,658 | 1,189 | 1,166 | 1,696 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 9,708 | 1,322 | 952 | 1,466 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 9,746 | 1,320 | 941 | 1,438 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 9,761 | 1,241 | 1,314 | 1,760 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 9,607 | 1,344 | 941 | 1,420 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 9,291 | 1,134 | 974 | 1,425 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 8,929 | 1,089 | 1,018 | 1,457 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 8,498 | 995 | 1,087 | 1,503 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 8,292 | 1,000 | 1,239 | 1,586 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 7,983 | 946 | 1,264 | 1,608 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 7,369 | 744 | 1,092 | 1,391 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 7,055 | -383 | 828 | 1,135 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 6,822 | -542 | 822 | 1,158 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 6,801 | -598 | 605 | 979 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 7,094 | -556 | 695 | 1,136 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 7,160 | 405 | N/A | 1,037 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 7,192 | 503 | N/A | 893 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 7,127 | 514 | N/A | 784 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 7,033 | 497 | N/A | 742 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 7,057 | 545 | N/A | 803 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 6,939 | 370 | N/A | 828 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 6,824 | 305 | N/A | 930 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 6,597 | 280 | N/A | 919 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 6,384 | 289 | N/A | 1,016 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 6,161 | 379 | N/A | 958 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 5,976 | 395 | N/A | 1,009 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 5,924 | 437 | N/A | 887 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 5,677 | 393 | N/A | 943 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 5,591 | 416 | N/A | 1,011 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 5,520 | 416 | N/A | 962 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 5,378 | 369 | N/A | 921 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 5,350 | 330 | N/A | 742 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 5,298 | 254 | N/A | 800 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 5,233 | 194 | N/A | 675 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: OC is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: OC is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: OC is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: OC's revenue (3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.5% per year).
High Growth Revenue: OC's revenue (3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: OC's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (23.9%)
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/07 11:37 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/07 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Owens Corning is covered by 32 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| John Eade | Argus Research Company |
| Stephen Kim | Barclays |
| Matthew Bouley | Barclays |