Masco Valuation

Is MAS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MAS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MAS ($76.17) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($79.71)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MAS is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MAS?

Key metric: As MAS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MAS. This is calculated by dividing MAS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MAS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.8x
EarningsUS$831.00m
Market CapUS$16.43b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MAS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MAS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21x
OC Owens Corning
16.1x14.3%US$16.6b
CSL Carlisle Companies
22x6.5%US$19.7b
BLDR Builders FirstSource
16.6x4.4%US$20.6b
LII Lennox International
29.5x7.9%US$22.2b
MAS Masco
19.8x8.8%US$16.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MAS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.8x) compared to the peer average (21x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MAS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Building Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AUVI.Q Applied UV
n/an/aUS$4.00
No more companies available in this PE range
MAS 19.8xIndustry Avg. 21.5xNo. of Companies9PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MAS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.8x) compared to the US Building industry average (21.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MAS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MAS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.8x
Fair PE Ratio22.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MAS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MAS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$76.17
US$87.22
+14.5%
6.7%US$96.00US$75.00n/a18
Nov ’25US$80.18
US$87.03
+8.5%
6.9%US$96.00US$75.00n/a18
Oct ’25US$83.82
US$82.42
-1.7%
7.8%US$90.00US$68.00n/a18
Sep ’25US$79.56
US$82.42
+3.6%
7.8%US$90.00US$68.00n/a18
Aug ’25US$76.21
US$82.42
+8.1%
7.8%US$90.00US$68.00n/a18
Jul ’25US$64.71
US$80.61
+24.6%
7.7%US$90.00US$69.00n/a18
Jun ’25US$69.92
US$80.50
+15.1%
7.7%US$90.00US$69.00n/a18
May ’25US$68.58
US$79.90
+16.5%
8.6%US$90.00US$64.92n/a19
Apr ’25US$77.69
US$79.61
+2.5%
7.7%US$89.00US$64.92n/a20
Mar ’25US$77.60
US$79.61
+2.6%
7.7%US$89.00US$64.92n/a20
Feb ’25US$69.12
US$69.97
+1.2%
10.0%US$82.00US$59.50n/a19
Jan ’25US$66.98
US$66.58
-0.6%
10.6%US$82.00US$52.00n/a18
Dec ’24US$62.16
US$62.81
+1.0%
9.5%US$75.00US$52.00n/a18
Nov ’24US$52.71
US$62.63
+18.8%
9.7%US$75.00US$52.00US$80.1818
Oct ’24US$53.45
US$67.44
+26.2%
10.4%US$75.00US$51.40US$83.8217
Sep ’24US$59.72
US$66.47
+11.3%
12.7%US$75.00US$45.00US$79.5618
Aug ’24US$61.45
US$66.19
+7.7%
12.4%US$75.00US$45.00US$76.2118
Jul ’24US$57.38
US$59.24
+3.2%
11.5%US$71.00US$45.00US$64.7118
Jun ’24US$49.06
US$59.24
+20.8%
11.5%US$71.00US$45.00US$69.9218
May ’24US$53.36
US$59.24
+11.0%
11.5%US$71.00US$45.00US$68.5818
Apr ’24US$49.72
US$58.12
+16.9%
11.5%US$71.00US$45.00US$77.6917
Mar ’24US$51.61
US$58.12
+12.6%
11.5%US$71.00US$45.00US$77.6017
Feb ’24US$54.35
US$56.17
+3.3%
15.6%US$74.00US$40.00US$69.1218
Jan ’24US$46.67
US$55.44
+18.8%
16.3%US$74.00US$40.00US$66.9818
Dec ’23US$51.76
US$55.06
+6.4%
16.6%US$74.00US$40.00US$62.1618
Nov ’23US$45.66
US$55.06
+20.6%
16.6%US$74.00US$40.00US$52.7118

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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