Karman Holdings Future Growth
Future criteria checks 6/6
Karman Holdings is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 52.6% and 27.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 52.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 21.6% in 3 years.
Key information
52.6%
Earnings growth rate
52.41%
EPS growth rate
| Aerospace & Defense earnings growth | 18.0% |
| Revenue growth rate | 27.8% |
| Future return on equity | 21.61% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 01 Jul 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
KRMN: Expanding Defense And Space Contract Pipeline Will Drive Multi Year Upside
Karman Holdings' updated analyst price target has shifted from $83.29 to $105.60, with analysts pointing to higher modeled revenue growth, adjusted profit margins, and ongoing sector demand drivers in missiles, munitions, and space as key supports for the new valuation framework. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Karman Holdings reflects a mix of optimism on long-term growth drivers and caution around near term execution, integration work, and sector timing.Karman Holdings (KRMN) Stock Could Be 50.7% Undervalued As Growth Story Builds
Karman Holdings (KRMN) stock moved after the company’s audit committee replaced Baker Tilly with PricewaterhouseCoopers as independent auditor for 2026, following earlier disclosures about material weaknesses in internal control over financial reporting. See our latest analysis for Karman Holdings. Karman Holdings stock has shown mixed momentum, with a 7 day share price return of 13.43% and a 1 year total shareholder return of 13.11%, but a 90 day share price decline of 50.89% and a year to...
KRMN — Karman Space & Defense: Down 58% from Peak, Is the Market Mispricing a Hypergrowth Defense Compounder?
Why I'm Looking at This Karman Holdings went public in February 2025 and almost immediately became one of the most exciting stories in the aerospace and defense small-cap space. By January 2026, it was trading at $118.Karman: The Sell-Off Has Gone Too Far
Summary Karman is undervalued despite best-in-class revenue and EBITDA growth, trading at a discount to high-growth A&D peers. KRMN's robust 2026 guidance, strong Q1 results, and high revenue visibility underpin confidence in continued rapid compounding. Recent catalysts include munitions acceleration agreements, a growing Space and Launch pipeline, and a significant $250M contract pending. I set a $70 price target based on 37x 2027 EV/EBITDA, seeing the YTD drawdown as a compelling entry point despite secondary offering and CEO transition risks. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaKarman Holdings Inc.'s (NYSE:KRMN) 33% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors
Karman Holdings Inc. ( NYSE:KRMN ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 33% share price jump in the...Why We're Not Concerned Yet About Karman Holdings Inc.'s (NYSE:KRMN) 27% Share Price Plunge
Karman Holdings Inc. ( NYSE:KRMN ) shares have retraced a considerable 27% in the last month, reversing a fair amount...Karman: Shooting Higher After Its IPO
Summary Karman Holdings' IPO saw shares surge nearly 50%, driven by strong investor interest in its profitable missile, defense, and space business. Despite impressive growth and profitability, Karman's high valuation at 13 times sales and 100 times earnings warrants a cautious approach. The company boasts a diverse revenue stream from 100 programs and 70 customers, but nonetheless relies heavily on a few large clients. Key risks include high valuation, reliance on US Defense budgets, technological developments, and cybersecurity threats, prompting a wait-and-see stance. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaEarnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 1,182 | 162 | 129 | 203 | 5 |
| 12/31/2027 | 932 | 110 | 141 | 181 | 10 |
| 12/31/2026 | 732 | 61 | 110 | 88 | 11 |
| 3/31/2026 | 523 | 30 | -31 | -8 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 472 | 17 | -42 | -22 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 428 | 11 | -43 | -23 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 392 | 8 | -31 | -14 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 362 | 6 | -9 | 10 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 345 | 13 | 11 | 27 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 331 | 16 | 3 | 26 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 281 | 4 | 4 | 20 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 226 | -14 | -27 | -6 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: KRMN's forecast earnings growth (52.6% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: KRMN's earnings (52.6% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (18.1% per year).
High Growth Earnings: KRMN's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: KRMN's revenue (27.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (12.8% per year).
High Growth Revenue: KRMN's revenue (27.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: KRMN's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (21.6%)
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/07/08 09:27 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/07/08 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
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Analyst Sources
Karman Holdings Inc. is covered by 12 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Peter Arment | Baird |
| Hamed Khorsand | BWS Financial Inc. |
| Jason Gursky | Citigroup Inc |