The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Gates Industrial Corporation plc's (NYSE:GTES) Earnings Yet

Gates Industrial Corporation plc's (NYSE:GTES) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.9x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 17x and even P/E's above 33x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Gates Industrial has been doing quite well of late. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Gates Industrial

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Gates Industrial.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Gates Industrial's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 33%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 276% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 2.6% over the next year. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 10%.

In light of this, it's understandable that Gates Industrial's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

The Final Word

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Gates Industrial's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Gates Industrial, and understanding should be part of your investment process.

You might be able to find a better investment than Gates Industrial. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.