Graco Inc.

NYSE:GGG Stock Report

Market Cap: US$12.7b

Graco Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Graco is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 8% and 6.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 8.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 18.5% in 3 years.

Key information

8.0%

Earnings growth rate

8.07%

EPS growth rate

Machinery earnings growth16.3%
Revenue growth rate6.7%
Future return on equity18.46%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated13 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • Apr 12

GGG: Future Execution And Fluid Management Adoption Will Shape Balanced Earnings Expectations

Graco's updated analyst price target moves modestly lower to $94.13 from $96.00, as analysts factor in slightly adjusted assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E after recent research updates from multiple firms. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts lifting their price targets highlight confidence that Graco's current execution can support a higher valuation multiple than previously assumed.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 07

Graco: A Premium Business, Awarded A More Than Premium Valuation

Summary Graco maintains solid fundamentals and a strong balance sheet, but current valuations at 27–30x earnings are demanding. Recent M&A, including the $69M Radia deal and Corob S.p.A. acquisition, add 4% to pro forma sales growth, but organic growth guidance remains low single digits. Capital allocation includes a 15 million share buyback authorization and a 7% dividend hike, reflecting ongoing shareholder returns. Despite tripling over a decade, GGG's premium multiple outpaces its 5% average annual EPS growth; real appeal emerges only in the low $70s. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Mar 27

GGG: Refined Earnings Framework And Execution Quality Will Shape Future Expectations

Analysts have nudged their price targets on Graco higher by $3 to $10, citing updated views on fair value, discount rates, and future P/E assumptions that keep the stock’s modeled fair value around $96 per share. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates cluster around a similar conclusion, with multiple firms adjusting their price targets higher while keeping modeled fair value close to US$96 per share.
Narrative Update • Mar 12

GGG: Refined Earnings Assumptions And Modest Multiple Shift Will Shape Expectations

Narrative update on Graco The analyst price target for Graco has moved slightly higher to $96.00 per share. Analysts point to a modestly adjusted discount rate, largely unchanged growth and margin assumptions, and a slightly higher future P/E multiple to support the new level.
Narrative Update • Feb 26

GGG: Incremental Multiple Shift And Payout Actions Will Shape Forward Expectations

Narrative Update on Graco Analysts have lifted their average price target on Graco by combining recent $10, $3, and $8 upward revisions, reflecting updated views on its long term profit margin profile and a slightly higher future P/E assumption, while keeping fair value estimates broadly consistent. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Graco cluster around higher price targets, with analysts fine tuning their assumptions on profit margins and P/E levels rather than making sweeping changes to their underlying view of the business.
Narrative Update • Feb 12

GGG: Higher Multiples And Payouts Will Support Balanced Forward Expectations

Analysts have raised their average price target for Graco by about $2, citing updated models that incorporate slightly higher fair value estimates, a modest adjustment to the discount rate, and expectations for a somewhat higher future P/E and profit margins, even as revenue growth assumptions have become more tempered. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research points to a cluster of price target increases for Graco, with analysts updating their models based on refined fair value work, adjusted discount rates, and revised assumptions around future P/E and profitability.
Narrative Update • Jan 29

GGG: Dividend Hike And Buybacks Will Support Steady Forward Expectations

Analysts have lifted their price targets on Graco by a few dollars, reflecting updated views on fair value around $93.44, a slightly lower discount rate, and modest adjustments to revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts lifting price targets by a few dollars see support for the updated fair value around US$93.44, tying it to refined assumptions rather than a major shift in the story.
Narrative Update • Jan 14

GGG: Dividend Hike And New Buyback Authorization Will Support Balanced Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Graco by about US$1 per share. Higher assumed discount rates offset expectations for stronger revenue growth, slightly better profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple.
Analysis Article • Jan 02

Graco (NYSE:GGG) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

Graco Inc. ( NYSE:GGG ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment on...
Analysis Article • Dec 12

Graco (NYSE:GGG) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

The board of Graco Inc. ( NYSE:GGG ) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of $0.295 on the 4th of...
Analysis Article • Dec 02

Should You Think About Buying Graco Inc. (NYSE:GGG) Now?

Let's talk about the popular Graco Inc. ( NYSE:GGG ). The company's shares had a relatively subdued couple of weeks in...
Analysis Article • Oct 19

Graco (NYSE:GGG) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analysis Article • Sep 09

Graco (NYSE:GGG) Is Reinvesting To Multiply In Value

If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Ideally, a business will show two...
Analysis Article • Aug 22

What Is Graco Inc.'s (NYSE:GGG) Share Price Doing?

Let's talk about the popular Graco Inc. ( NYSE:GGG ). The company's shares had a relatively subdued couple of weeks in...
Seeking Alpha • Jan 29

Graco: Not A Good Investment After Disappointing Q4 Earnings

Summary Graco's fiscal 2024 results were disappointing, with declines in revenue, operating earnings, and diluted EPS, leading to a "Hold" rating on the stock. Despite a 5% stock increase over seven months, Graco remains overvalued with high valuation multiples and expected low growth rates for 2025. Graco's business restructuring aims to drive growth, but all segments struggled in 2024, with the Contractor segment performing the best. Graco's wide economic moat and high RoIC are strengths, but current high valuation multiples and economic uncertainties suggest caution for investors. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 25

Graco: Huge Changes Are Coming

Summary Graco's strategic shift to the One Graco Strategy aims to drive double-digit bottom-line growth through M&A activity, leveraging its $500 million cash reserve. The company can create value by acquiring businesses at lower valuations and integrating them, thus enhancing shareholder value without altering its capital structure significantly. Despite the weakness in its end markets and the demand issues throughout the year, the company's optimization and its continued long-term-focused reinvestment remain intact. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 13

Graco: Like An Industrial ETF

Summary Graco, an industrial company with a robust balance sheet and no debt, offers a diverse product portfolio and strong growth potential, resembling an industrial ETF. The company’s business model includes three segments: Contractor, Industrial, and Process, all showing strong sales growth and high operating margins. Graco's competitive advantages include high R&D investment, niche market offerings, and strong customer relationships, contributing to its high EBIT margins and market dominance. Despite risks like declining R&D returns and potential reliance on acquisitions, Graco’s balanced capital allocation and strong financials justify a hold rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 29

Graco Acquisition Of Corob To Maintain Impressive Growth

Summary Graco announced their biggest acquisition in over a decade, agreeing to buy Corob for at least €230MM. Revenues were down in H1 and the company will need to execute on the merger to hit their aggressive 12% per year growth target. Shares currently trade at a price to free cash flow of over 32, which appears to be overvalued given current market conditions. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 20

Graco: A Shareholder-Oriented Compounder

Summary Graco is a dominant player in the fluid-handling market, known for its premium-quality products and strong brand value, which enable it to maintain superior margins compared to its competitors. The company has demonstrated robust financial health with consistently high gross margins (above 50%), strong ROIC (~26%), and exceptional cash conversion rates (above 90%). Graco could benefit from increased infrastructure spending, growth in e-commerce, and the rise of electric vehicles. However, it faces short-term headwinds from macroeconomic uncertainty and the risk of competitors. Although Graco stock trades at a premium valuation, its historical performance as a reliable compounder justifies a 'Buy' rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jun 06

Graco: Premium Player That Deserves A Premium Valuation

Summary Graco Inc. has seen significant growth and created value for investors over the past decade, delivering on solid top-line growth while persevering its steep margins. The company specializes in fluid and coating management systems and equipment, serving various industries and markets, and benefiting from leadership positions in niche segments. Despite a decline in first-quarter earnings, Graco remains financially strong with a net cash position, and management sees potential for growth through M&A opportunities. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:GGG - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20282,6306346927534
12/31/20272,46256860066611
12/31/20262,35553154363210
3/27/20262,248516631678N/A
12/26/20252,237522638684N/A
9/26/20252,192498625672N/A
6/27/20252,168483608672N/A
3/28/20252,149488548628N/A
12/27/20242,113486515622N/A
9/27/20242,131487464596N/A
6/28/20242,152498461627N/A
3/29/20242,158500495679N/A
12/29/20232,196507466651N/A
9/29/20232,184523398597N/A
6/30/20232,190506320525N/A
3/31/20232,179489245437N/A
12/30/20222,144461176377N/A
9/30/20222,128455173371N/A
7/1/20222,069442204372N/A
4/1/20222,028435227387N/A
12/31/20211,988440323457N/A
9/24/20211,918434380489N/A
6/25/20211,871445378472N/A
3/26/20211,731363368441N/A
12/25/20201,650330323394N/A
9/25/20201,592301311382N/A
6/26/20201,553271307397N/A
3/27/20201,615330306422N/A
12/27/20191,646344N/A419N/A
9/27/20191,640333N/A413N/A
6/28/20191,656341N/A361N/A
3/29/20191,652342N/A360N/A
12/28/20181,653341N/A368N/A
9/28/20181,622304N/A346N/A
6/29/20181,586287N/A373N/A
3/30/20181,541277N/A346N/A
12/29/20171,475252N/A338N/A
9/29/20171,449112N/A314N/A
6/30/20171,39691N/A318N/A
3/31/20171,36562N/A297N/A
12/30/20161,32941N/A276N/A
9/23/20161,306198N/A262N/A
6/24/20161,298195N/A186N/A
3/25/20161,285316N/A171N/A
12/25/20151,286346N/A191N/A
9/25/20151,267341N/A206N/A
6/26/20151,251350N/A254N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: GGG's forecast earnings growth (8% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: GGG's earnings (8% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (16.7% per year).

High Growth Earnings: GGG's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: GGG's revenue (6.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: GGG's revenue (6.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: GGG's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (18.5%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/14 01:49
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/14 00:00
Earnings2026/03/27
Annual Earnings2025/12/26

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Graco Inc. is covered by 22 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Michael HalloranBaird
Andrew BuscagliaBerenberg
Charles BradyBMO Capital Markets Equity Research