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A Look at ESAB (NYSE:ESAB) Valuation Following Strong Q3 Growth and Outperformance
Reviewed by Simply Wall St
ESAB (ESAB) just released its third quarter results, reporting year-over-year revenue growth of 8% and outperforming expectations. This performance was driven by operational improvements, recent acquisitions, and strong demand in key markets.
See our latest analysis for ESAB.
Even with an impressive Q3 performance and beating revenue estimates, ESAB’s shares stumbled, down 11.7% over the past month and 16.6% on a one-year total shareholder return basis. This signals that recent gains have yet to shift overall momentum. Still, the company’s three-year total shareholder return of nearly 130% shows how much long-term value has been created, even as investors recalculate risk and reward after the latest results.
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With shares trading well below analyst price targets despite robust financial results, the big question is whether ESAB's recent dip signals an undervalued opportunity or if the market has already priced in all expected growth ahead.
Most Popular Narrative: 25% Undervalued
According to the most widely followed narrative, ESAB’s fair value is pegged at $141.91, a substantial premium to its last close at $106. The narrative suggests that ongoing momentum in high-growth regions and recent operational improvements might hold the key to future gains. Here is one core argument behind that optimistic outlook.
ESAB is positioned to benefit from rising global infrastructure investment and energy project activity, particularly in high-growth markets like Asia-Pacific and the Middle East. Recent wins and acquisitions in these regions are supporting robust volume growth and higher EBITDA margins, indicating stronger future revenue and earnings potential as these long-term demand drivers persist.
Want the full story behind this lofty valuation? The most compelling factors are bold assumptions for revenue, earnings, and margins that may surprise even seasoned investors. Which projections power this premium fair value? Click through to uncover the narrative’s numbers and what could send the stock much higher.
Result: Fair Value of $141.91 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, risks such as lingering tariff uncertainty in North America or volatility in emerging markets could quickly challenge the bullish outlook for ESAB shares.
Find out about the key risks to this ESAB narrative.
Build Your Own ESAB Narrative
If you want a different take or would rather reach your own conclusions, you can dive into the details and craft your own perspective in just a few minutes. Do it your way.
A great starting point for your ESAB research is our analysis highlighting 5 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if ESAB might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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About NYSE:ESAB
ESAB
Engages in the formulation, development, manufacture, and supply of consumable products and equipment for use in cutting, joining, automated welding, and gas control equipment.
Very undervalued with acceptable track record.
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