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Earnings Update: Curtiss-Wright Corporation (NYSE:CW) Just Reported Its Third-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Forecasts
Last week, you might have seen that Curtiss-Wright Corporation (NYSE:CW) released its quarterly result to the market. The early response was not positive, with shares down 2.9% to US$579 in the past week. Results were roughly in line with estimates, with revenues of US$869m and statutory earnings per share of US$3.31. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.
After the latest results, the seven analysts covering Curtiss-Wright are now predicting revenues of US$3.68b in 2026. If met, this would reflect a decent 9.1% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to climb 16% to US$14.61. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$3.66b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$14.03 in 2026. The analysts seems to have become more bullish on the business, judging by their new earnings per share estimates.
Check out our latest analysis for Curtiss-Wright
There's been no major changes to the consensus price target of US$588, suggesting that the improved earnings per share outlook is not enough to have a long-term positive impact on the stock's valuation. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. There are some variant perceptions on Curtiss-Wright, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$640 and the most bearish at US$537 per share. This is a very narrow spread of estimates, implying either that Curtiss-Wright is an easy company to value, or - more likely - the analysts are relying heavily on some key assumptions.
Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. The period to the end of 2026 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 7.2% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 7.4% annual growth over the past five years. Juxtapose this against our data, which suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 8.4% per year. So although Curtiss-Wright is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's only growing at about the rate of the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Curtiss-Wright's earnings potential next year. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have forecasts for Curtiss-Wright going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.
It might also be worth considering whether Curtiss-Wright's debt load is appropriate, using our debt analysis tools on the Simply Wall St platform, here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:CW
Curtiss-Wright
Provides engineered products, solutions, and services mainly to aerospace and defense, commercial power, process, and industrial markets worldwide.
Flawless balance sheet with acceptable track record.
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