Stock Analysis

Centuri Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:CTRI) Annual Results Just Came Out: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

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NYSE:CTRI

Centuri Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:CTRI) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 6.9% to US$17.35 in the week after its latest full-year results. Revenues were in line with expectations, at US$2.6b, while statutory losses ballooned to US$0.08 per share. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for Centuri Holdings

NYSE:CTRI Earnings and Revenue Growth March 1st 2025

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Centuri Holdings from six analysts is for revenues of US$2.72b in 2025. If met, it would imply a satisfactory 3.0% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Earnings are expected to improve, with Centuri Holdings forecast to report a statutory profit of US$0.27 per share. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$2.70b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.34 in 2025. The analysts seem to have become more bearish following the latest results. While there were no changes to revenue forecasts, there was a real cut to EPS estimates.

The consensus price target held steady at US$22.10, with the analysts seemingly voting that their lower forecast earnings are not expected to lead to a lower stock price in the foreseeable future. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on Centuri Holdings, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$29.00 and the most bearish at US$16.50 per share. This shows there is still a bit of diversity in estimates, but analysts don't appear to be totally split on the stock as though it might be a success or failure situation.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Centuri Holdings' past performance and to peers in the same industry. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Centuri Holdings' revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 3.0% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 4.6% over the past three years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 7.7% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Centuri Holdings is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Centuri Holdings. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Centuri Holdings' revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$22.10, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have forecasts for Centuri Holdings going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

It might also be worth considering whether Centuri Holdings' debt load is appropriate, using our debt analysis tools on the Simply Wall St platform, here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.