CNH Industrial Valuation

Is CNH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CNH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CNH ($11.14) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($12.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CNH is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CNH?

Key metric: As CNH is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CNH. This is calculated by dividing CNH's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CNH's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.9x
EarningsUS$1.75b
Market CapUS$13.91b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CNH's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CNH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.1x
TTC Toro
19.7x5.8%US$8.2b
AGCO AGCO
41.1x56.6%US$7.0b
ALG Alamo Group
19x11.7%US$2.3b
DE Deere
16.5x-0.4%US$117.5b
CNH CNH Industrial
7.9x-0.3%US$13.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CNH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.9x) compared to the peer average (24.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CNH's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Machinery Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AIRJ AirJoule Technologies
2.3xn/aUS$530.51m
CVGI Commercial Vehicle Group
2.5x-46.6%US$69.23m
FATH Fathom Digital Manufacturing
2.6xn/aUS$35.24m
ZEVY Lightning eMotors
n/an/aUS$6.00
No more companies available in this PE range
CNH 7.9xIndustry Avg. 22.6xNo. of Companies9PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CNH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.9x) compared to the US Machinery industry average (22.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CNH's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CNH PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.9x
Fair PE Ratio18.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CNH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CNH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$11.14
US$13.66
+22.6%
16.8%US$18.00US$10.00n/a18
Dec ’25US$12.56
US$13.12
+4.5%
15.4%US$18.00US$10.00n/a19
Nov ’25US$11.26
US$13.57
+20.5%
16.4%US$18.00US$10.00n/a19
Oct ’25US$11.10
US$13.74
+23.7%
16.6%US$18.00US$10.00n/a20
Sep ’25US$10.34
US$13.91
+34.5%
16.5%US$18.00US$10.00n/a19
Aug ’25US$10.08
US$14.51
+43.9%
13.5%US$18.00US$10.00n/a19
Jul ’25US$9.76
US$15.10
+54.7%
11.5%US$18.00US$12.00n/a19
Jun ’25US$10.56
US$14.92
+41.3%
11.3%US$17.80US$12.00n/a18
May ’25US$11.33
US$15.25
+34.6%
9.7%US$18.00US$13.00n/a18
Apr ’25US$12.72
US$15.32
+20.4%
9.7%US$18.00US$12.70n/a18
Mar ’25US$12.06
US$15.12
+25.4%
10.5%US$19.00US$12.70n/a18
Feb ’25US$12.30
US$14.96
+21.6%
19.2%US$25.00US$11.50n/a19
Jan ’25US$12.18
US$15.83
+30.0%
19.6%US$25.00US$11.50n/a16
Dec ’24US$11.18
US$15.82
+41.5%
19.8%US$25.00US$11.50US$12.5615
Nov ’24US$11.02
US$17.47
+58.5%
24.0%US$31.00US$14.00US$11.2614
Oct ’24US$12.10
US$18.01
+48.8%
21.2%US$31.00US$14.00US$11.1015
Sep ’24US$13.83
US$18.51
+33.9%
19.5%US$31.00US$15.50US$10.3416
Aug ’24US$14.56
US$18.82
+29.3%
19.1%US$31.00US$15.50US$10.0815
Jul ’24US$14.40
US$19.36
+34.4%
18.1%US$31.00US$15.73US$9.7615
Jun ’24US$13.14
US$19.40
+47.6%
17.5%US$31.00US$15.73US$10.5616
May ’24US$14.10
US$19.45
+37.9%
17.0%US$31.00US$16.10US$11.3317
Apr ’24US$15.27
US$19.51
+27.8%
17.1%US$31.00US$16.10US$12.7217
Mar ’24US$16.49
US$19.50
+18.2%
17.1%US$31.00US$16.10US$12.0617
Feb ’24US$17.90
US$19.30
+7.8%
17.5%US$31.00US$15.39US$12.3017
Jan ’24US$16.06
US$17.86
+11.2%
10.8%US$21.00US$14.19US$12.1816
Dec ’23US$16.36
US$17.06
+4.3%
9.4%US$19.25US$14.19US$11.1815

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 02:06
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

CNH Industrial N.V. is covered by 45 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Hans-Peter WodniokAlphaValue
Fabrizio SpagnaAxia Financial Research
Mircea DobreBaird