A Look at CNH Industrial (NYSE:CNH) Valuation After Recent Share Price Decline

CNH Industrial (NYSE:CNH) shares have seen a steady decline over the past 3 months, falling around 23%. Investors are weighing company fundamentals and recent performance as they consider the stock's current valuation.

See our latest analysis for CNH Industrial.

CNH Industrial’s share price has steadily lost ground this year, dropping 12.9% year-to-date and sliding more than 22% over the past three months. While there have not been major headline events driving the decline, momentum has clearly faded, and the 1-year total shareholder return now sits at -7.7%. This serves as a reminder that recent volatility has weighed on long-term performance, despite past gains.

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But is this recent weakness creating an undervalued entry point for CNH Industrial, or is the market simply factoring in muted growth ahead? Investors must now decide if there is a real buying opportunity or if future prospects are already reflected in the price.

Most Popular Narrative: 31.5% Undervalued

CNH Industrial's most widely followed valuation narrative sees the stock priced well below its estimated fair value, with the last close of $9.66 compared to a calculated fair value of $14.11. This sets expectations for significant upside if the drivers behind these projections play out as anticipated.

The integration of advanced connectivity and precision technologies (e.g., the Starlink partnership, FieldOps platform, in-house tech stack) positions CNH to capture greater recurring, higher-margin revenue streams from software, data, and tech-enabled services, supporting net margin and long-term earnings growth.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious about what powers such a bold price target? The underlying thinking points to transformation bets that could reset the company's profit engine, along with key figures that most investors have yet to consider. Unlock the full narrative and see what could send valuations sharply higher if the assumptions take hold.

Result: Fair Value of $14.11 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, persistent input cost pressures and ongoing tariff uncertainties could quickly reshape CNH Industrial's outlook. These factors may challenge the current bullish valuation narrative.

Find out about the key risks to this CNH Industrial narrative.

Build Your Own CNH Industrial Narrative

If you feel the current view does not reflect your own perspective, you can explore the data firsthand and build an alternative narrative in just a few minutes with Do it your way.

A great starting point for your CNH Industrial research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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