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Boeing (BA): Assessing Valuation as Delivery Delays Spark Investor Reassessment
Reviewed by Simply Wall St
See our latest analysis for Boeing.
Despite the recent dip, Boeing’s short-term momentum has cooled after a strong year. Its share price is still up 13% year-to-date, and its total shareholder return over the last year stands at an impressive 28%. The current pullback comes as investors weigh recent news about delivery delays against this longer-term recovery.
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With shares well below analyst price targets but still up strongly from last year, the key question now is whether Boeing is undervalued, or if expectations for future growth are already built into the current price.
Most Popular Narrative: 22.9% Undervalued
Boeing’s most widely followed narrative places its fair value at $252.57. That is well above the last closing price of $194.61, sparking debate among investors about what is driving this optimistic valuation gap.
Production stabilization and planned rate increases for key aircraft models (737 MAX, 787) position Boeing to benefit directly from robust global demand for air travel. Driven by expanding middle-class populations and urbanization in emerging markets, these demand tailwinds should support outsized revenue growth and eventual operating margin expansion as fixed costs are spread over higher unit volumes.
Curious what is behind this bullish target? The secret is not just pent-up demand. The narrative hints at bold revenue growth assumptions and an even more aggressive turnaround in profits. Flip through the full analysis to see what numbers have analysts so confident.
Result: Fair Value of $252.57 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, persistent production delays and ongoing reputational challenges remain key risks that could slow Boeing’s recovery and test analysts’ optimistic outlook.
Find out about the key risks to this Boeing narrative.
Build Your Own Boeing Narrative
If you see things differently or want to draw your own conclusions from the numbers, it only takes a few minutes to build your perspective. Do it your way.
A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding Boeing.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Boeing might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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About NYSE:BA
Boeing
Designs, develops, manufactures, sells, services, and supports commercial jetliners, military aircraft, satellites, missile defense, human space flight and launch systems, and services worldwide.
Very undervalued with high growth potential.
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