Stock Analysis

At US$72.78, Is A. O. Smith Corporation (NYSE:AOS) Worth Looking At Closely?

NYSE:AOS
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Let's talk about the popular A. O. Smith Corporation (NYSE:AOS). The company's shares saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the NYSE. With many analysts covering the large-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Let’s examine A. O. Smith’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

View our latest analysis for A. O. Smith

What's The Opportunity In A. O. Smith?

The stock is currently trading at US$72.78 on the share market, which means it is overvalued by 30% compared to my intrinsic value of $55.97. This means that the buying opportunity has probably disappeared for now. If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Given that A. O. Smith’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What does the future of A. O. Smith look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:AOS Earnings and Revenue Growth July 2nd 2023

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. A. O. Smith's earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? AOS’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe AOS should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on AOS for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for AOS, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you want to dive deeper into A. O. Smith, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for A. O. Smith you should know about.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.