A. O. Smith Corporation

NYSE:AOS Stock Report

Market Cap: US$7.7b

A. O. Smith Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

A. O. Smith is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 5.8% and 4.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 7.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 27.9% in 3 years.

Key information

5.8%

Earnings growth rate

7.77%

EPS growth rate

Building earnings growth20.4%
Revenue growth rate4.3%
Future return on equity27.87%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated20 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Analysis Article Feb 14

Analyst Estimates: Here's What Brokers Think Of A. O. Smith Corporation (NYSE:AOS) After Its Full-Year Report

A. O. Smith Corporation ( NYSE:AOS ) last week reported its latest annual results, which makes it a good time for...
Analysis Article Oct 31

A. O. Smith Corporation (NYSE:AOS) Just Released Its Third-Quarter Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think

A. O. Smith Corporation ( NYSE:AOS ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell...

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 05

AOS: Share Repurchases And Incremental Guidance Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts reduced the consolidated price target on A. O.
Narrative Update Apr 17

AOS: Share Repurchases Will Support Upside Despite Mixed Street Sentiment

Narrative Update on A. O.
Analysis Article Feb 14

Analyst Estimates: Here's What Brokers Think Of A. O. Smith Corporation (NYSE:AOS) After Its Full-Year Report

A. O. Smith Corporation ( NYSE:AOS ) last week reported its latest annual results, which makes it a good time for...
Narrative Update Jan 22

AOS: Capital Returns And M&A Will Offset Softer Unit Shipments

Narrative Update on A. O.
Narrative Update Jan 07

AOS: Capital Returns And Acquisitions Will Drive Next Phase Of Shareholder Value

Analysts kept their price target for A. O.
Analysis Article Jan 02

A. O. Smith (NYSE:AOS) Could Become A Multi-Bagger

Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...
Seeking Alpha Dec 24

A. O. Smith: Growth Re-Acceleration Supported By Strong Execution And Macro Recovery

Summary A. O. Smith is rated Buy, with risk/reward attractive as growth and margins are set to accelerate from FY26. North America drives ~75% of revenue; interest rate cuts and housing recovery should fuel market share gains and sales growth. Margin expansion is supported by pricing, cost control, mix shift to high-efficiency products, and accretive acquisitions like Leonard Valve. Valuation at ~16.4x FY26 EPS is a 20% discount to historical averages, with China weakness offset by strength elsewhere. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Dec 15

AOS: Digital Leadership And Capital Returns Will Drive Next Phase Of Shareholder Value

Analysts have raised their price target on A. O.
Analysis Article Dec 06

There's Reason For Concern Over A. O. Smith Corporation's (NYSE:AOS) Price

With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 19x in the United States, you could be forgiven for...
Narrative Update Nov 30

AOS: Digital Transformation Initiatives Will Unlock Next Phase Of Shareholder Value

Analysts have slightly raised their price target for A. O.
Narrative Update Nov 16

AOS: Digital Leadership and Share Buybacks Will Drive Upside Momentum

Analysts have raised their price target for A. O.
Narrative Update Nov 01

AOS: Digital Leadership Will Drive Long-Term Expansion And Shareholder Value

Narrative Update on A. O.
Analysis Article Oct 31

A. O. Smith Corporation (NYSE:AOS) Just Released Its Third-Quarter Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think

A. O. Smith Corporation ( NYSE:AOS ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell...
Analysis Article Oct 17

A. O. Smith (NYSE:AOS) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To $0.36

The board of A. O. Smith Corporation ( NYSE:AOS ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend by 5.9% on the...
Analysis Article Sep 09

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of A. O. Smith Corporation (NYSE:AOS)

Key Insights A. O. Smith's estimated fair value is US$84.93 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With US$73.96...
Analysis Article Aug 27

Shareholders Should Be Pleased With A. O. Smith Corporation's (NYSE:AOS) Price

It's not a stretch to say that A. O. Smith Corporation's ( NYSE:AOS ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19.6x right...
Analysis Article Jul 14

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine A. O. Smith Corporation (NYSE:AOS)?

A. O. Smith Corporation ( NYSE:AOS ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a decent share price growth of...
Analysis Article Jun 28

Does A. O. Smith (NYSE:AOS) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Analysis Article Jun 12

Shareholders Would Enjoy A Repeat Of A. O. Smith's (NYSE:AOS) Recent Growth In Returns

There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. In a perfect world, we'd like to...
Analysis Article May 28

An Intrinsic Calculation For A. O. Smith Corporation (NYSE:AOS) Suggests It's 22% Undervalued

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, A. O. Smith fair value estimate is US$88.40 A. O. Smith's...
Seeking Alpha Mar 10

A. O. Smith: Benefiting From The Twin Tailwinds Of Water And Efficiency

Summary A. O. Smith Corp., manufacturer of a broad range of residential and commercial water heaters and boilers, along with water and air purification systems, is now an $8 billion (by market cap) water technology leader. To date, AOS increased its dividend for 31 consecutive years, with a 10-year dividend growth rate of 15.8%. A. O. Smith moved its revenue from $2.5 billion in FY 2015 to $3.8 billion in FY 2024, a compound annual growth rate of 4.8%. AOS is benefiting from the twin tailwinds of water and efficiency. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 19

A.O. Smith: Investors Should Wait For Demand To Return And A Better Entry Point

Summary A.O. Smith has a market cap of more than $10 billion and an annual CAGR of more than 18% since 2010. The Company is a Dividend Aristocrat and Champion, but the dividend growth has slowed in recent years. My current valuation suggests AOS is trading for a slightly premium, and thus, investors may need to wait for decent pullback before adding to or initiating a position. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Oct 09

Is A. O. Smith A Good Buy Ahead Of Its Q3 Results?

Summary A. O. Smith has underperformed other industrial stocks this year, generating only returns of 8%. A. O. Smith's Q3-24 results are expected to be weak, with revenue growth slowing to 2% from the 7% levels seen in Q2. Although the situation isn't alarming, we do have some concerns about the company's dwindling cash position and highlight why its net cash stance could shift to a net debt stance. Despite being a Dividend Aristocrat, AOS' forward yield is below par, and it does not offer a great deal of earnings growth for the P/E multiply it commands. The risk-reward on the long-term chart does not look too appealing. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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New Narrative Aug 22

Pureit Acquisition And Innovation Propel Global Water Purification Leadership

Expansion into South Asia with Pureit acquisition and gas tankless products in North America highlights growth in water treatment and energy-efficient solutions.
Seeking Alpha Jul 29

A. O. Smith: Short-Term Volatility Could Be A Long-Term Opportunity

Summary A. O. Smith has been around for 150 years and has an excellent track record when it comes to sustainable dividend growth. The company recently published its quarterly earnings, which were poorly received by investors. Higher steel prices and headwinds regarding growth in China are causing mild stagnation in growth and profitability. Based on discounted cash flow analysis, the fair value of AOS stock is $75.05 per share, which implies overvaluation. Despite the disappointing results, the company's fundamentals remain excellent, and the current headwinds could lead to a possible buying opportunity in the short term. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:AOS - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20284,2546005986835
12/31/20274,08556356965013
12/31/20263,91751853260613
3/31/20263,812528648708N/A
12/31/20253,830546546617N/A
9/30/20253,830531572656N/A
6/30/20253,790519495596N/A
3/31/20253,803523407514N/A
12/31/20243,818534474582N/A
9/30/20243,894561484591N/A
6/30/20243,929577481574N/A
3/31/20243,865577573657N/A
12/31/20233,853557598670N/A
9/30/20233,801299554616N/A
6/30/20233,738274533597N/A
3/31/20233,743243427495N/A
12/31/20223,754236321391N/A
9/30/20223,813495398479N/A
6/30/20223,854517424500N/A
3/31/20223,748509482553N/A
12/31/20213,539487566641N/A
9/30/20213,378468543609N/A
6/30/20213,223441516579N/A
3/31/20213,027391551612N/A
12/31/20202,895345505562N/A
9/30/20202,812316456507N/A
6/30/20202,780298439492N/A
3/31/20202,881332432489N/A
12/31/20192,993370N/A456N/A
9/30/20193,054405N/A440N/A
6/30/20193,080422N/A419N/A
3/31/20193,148435N/A427N/A
12/31/20183,188444N/A449N/A
9/30/20183,144341N/A465N/A
6/30/20183,140330N/A426N/A
3/31/20183,045308N/A381N/A
12/31/20172,997297N/A326N/A
9/30/20172,926357N/A333N/A
6/30/20172,860346N/A365N/A
3/31/20172,789341N/A409N/A
12/31/20162,686327N/A447N/A
9/30/20162,627324N/A378N/A
6/30/20162,568314N/A446N/A
3/31/20162,555298N/A379N/A
12/31/20152,537283N/A352N/A
9/30/20152,524256N/A337N/A
6/30/20152,480233N/A235N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: AOS's forecast earnings growth (5.8% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: AOS's earnings (5.8% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (16.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: AOS's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: AOS's revenue (4.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: AOS's revenue (4.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: AOS's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (27.9%)


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/20 05:28
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/20 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

A. O. Smith Corporation is covered by 30 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Michael HalloranBaird
Charles BradyBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Martin MauroBofA Global Research