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VirTra, Inc. (NASDAQ:VTSI) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 29%
VirTra, Inc. (NASDAQ:VTSI) shares have had a horrible month, losing 29% after a relatively good period beforehand. The last month has meant the stock is now only up 5.3% during the last year.
Even after such a large drop in price, VirTra may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.6x, since almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios greater than 17x and even P/E's higher than 32x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, VirTra has been doing quite well of late. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for VirTra
Keen to find out how analysts think VirTra's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Any Growth For VirTra?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, VirTra would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 53% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 85% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 21% as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 12%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's peculiar that VirTra's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Bottom Line On VirTra's P/E
VirTra's recently weak share price has pulled its P/E below most other companies. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that VirTra currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for VirTra (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on VirTra, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
About NasdaqCM:VTSI
VirTra
Provides use of force training and firearms training simulators for the law enforcement, military, and commercial markets worldwide.
Adequate balance sheet and fair value.